Posted by gillispie1 on 1/26/2016 1:10:00 PM (view original):
bis, what was that one year when brady had an absolutely god awful set of receivers, and he still was able to put up some pretty impressive stats? i think it was like right before they got moss, maybe in the late 00s or something? i remember NE had a ****** off season and the receivers were all these guys nobody heard of, and still, their passing game was above average in the NFL. i could be off on the details, but i'm curious what your take on that season was. it seems to be a decent counter example to your claim, to me. i'm not a big brady fan but i thought that was a pretty convincing display that he is one of the better QBs in the league.
Brady's early career was built on a foundation of a solid and often great offensive line. He's had very few years where the line wasn't good (this happens to be one of the down seasons when the line was in flux somewhat, but it still did fine overall, at least until the AFC title game).
The NE coaches have also designed a system and plays to get the ball out of his hands quickly because he can't handle pressure, he's not a good downfield passer, and he isn't fast and elusive or able to shake tackles, the skills often possessed by the actual great NFL QBs.
Comparing Brady to other QBs who have had several years as a starter in the same era shows he doesn't complete as many downfield throws(percentage of throws 20+ and 40+ yards, from stats at NFL.com)
Brady - 14.17, 2.62
P. Manning - 14.42, 2.53
E. Manning - 14.97, 2.98
Roethlisberger - 16.25, 3.39
Kurt Warner* - 15.79, 2.89
Brady throws fewer 20+ completions, percentage wise, than anyone listed here, and fewer 40+ completions than all except Peyton Manning.
Shorter passes are easier to complete, so you'd think Brady would have the highest completion percentage and Roethlisberger would have the worst among the group, given the above stats, and
yet that's not the case.
Career Completion percentage (NFL.com):
Brady - 63.6
P. Manning - 65.3
E. Manning - 59.3
Roethlisberger - 64.1
Kurt Warner* - 65.5
On first glance we note
Eli Manning doesn't fare nearly as well as the others here. However, it is clear that
despite throwing more deep balls, Ben Roethlisberger still completes a higher percentage than Tom Brady. Peyton Manning is most similar to Brady from above, yet he too completes a higher percentage. The now retired Kurt Warner, who threw more deep balls percentage wise than anyone else on the list not named Roethlisberger,
has the highest completion percentage of them all.
A great offensive line and some elusiveness have helped Brady. Still, he's not as elusive as some of his contemporaries. Sacks as a percentage of total pass attempts (NFL.com):
Brady - 5.15
P. Manning - 3.23
E. Manning - 4.93
Roethlisberger - 8.10
Kurt Warner* - 6.39
Peyton Manning is notorious for a quick release, so it's not surprising to see his number is lowest. Eli Manning is surprisingly elusive for a QB who doesn't scramble much, and this may account for his lower number. Warner was never fleet of foot, and Roethisberger is all about extending plays and taking hits (and shaking tackles), which accounts for his higher numbers.
Brady gets other benefits from throwing short, quick passes and being a game manager. For example, his statistics indicate his interception percentage is the lowest among all the QBs I've compared him with. Interceptions occur more often on deeper throws. Also, they occur more often when a QB faces pressure. It is important that this is what a game manager does - keep from screwing up an otherwise talented team.
All in all, not surprisingly,
Brady is NOT a horrible QB when compared to his contemporaries, but then, I never said he was horrible. He's a good game manager with great coaching working on talented teams, but he's not one of the greats.
Honestly, if you look at that list, Peyton has so many intangibles he's clearly the best of the group. Kurt Warner is the best (and most accurate) passer of them all. Roethlisberger has a great arm and the ability to shake tackles and extend plays. Eli has some intangibles, is elusive, and has a knack for coming through in the clutch (Brady can testify to that thanks to two SBs).
Yet Brady doesn't have anything that defines him EXCEPT conservative game play and strategy, the key hallmarks of A GAME MANAGER, not a great and talented QB.