Posted by jhard70 on 7/26/2012 11:57:00 PM (view original):
I don't know how to properly explain my thoughts, but could the number of upsets during the playoffs be a result of less games being simed?
I don't believe that has anything to do with it. Each game is independent of the other.
I think that its simply a matter of talent "equalization". Lets use D3 as an example. You won't find the #1 talent playing the #228 talent. You will have essentially top 35 talent levels playing each other, and the talent gap at that point is much less than the overall regular season.
When the talent advantage is reduced, even by a little bit, now the effects of gameplanning, FIQ, and single game chance become more significant.
And lets face it.....some coaches, even some that have won NCs are very, very predictable. I have not won a NC, but I have completely shut down some of those NC winning coaches in the playoffs (and regular season) because they are predictable. Give me a predictable opponent and decent talent and I'll at least make the game close.