All Forums > Hardball Dynasty Baseball > Hardball Dynasty > Probability of College Ps Attaining Projections
2/15/2013 6:51 AM
How likely is it that college pitcher draftees will reach their projections? Obviously, they have less time to do so than high school guys (but they start more developed), but I wonder if there's been any real or anecdotal study on this. I've got the #2 pick in my draft coming up and this will impact my pick.

Thankya
2/15/2013 7:06 AM
The college guy, 22 y/o RH
Current
-
6-3
191
66
0
43
18
52
40
32
79
44
61
42
66
Projected
-
6-3
204
88
1
62
22
73
55
33
91
45
73
42
68
 
Batting & Pitching Ratings
Event
Season
CN
PW
LH
RH
BE
BR
BU
PP
ST
CT
LH
RH
VE
GB
P1
P2
P3
P4
P5
Current
-
18
4
32
15
23
17
46
73
79
62
55
68
31
67
70
69
47
27
0
Projected
-
25
4
45
18
24
24
66
80
81
91
78
95
37
78
81
75
67
37
0
2/15/2013 7:10 AM
The high school guy, 18 y/o LH

Event
Season
Height
Weight
OV
RA
GL
AS
AA
PC
DU
HE
SP
PA
TP
MK
Current
-
6-3
202
57
58
15
55
30
6
26
92
42
38
68
72
Projected
-
6-4
217
90
69
25
66
48
10
32
99
43
54
68
78
 
Batting & Pitching Ratings
Event
Season
CN
PW
LH
RH
BE
BR
BU
PP
ST
CT
LH
RH
VE
GB
P1
P2
P3
P4
P5
Current
-
7
7
11
20
15
14
53
58
58
52
51
50
76
64
68
67
45
34
0
Projected
-
10
7
18
33
17
23
91
62
76
82
93
86
91
83
85
83
73
53
0
2/15/2013 9:24 AM
College guys tend to grow a maximum 10-15 points in the pertinent categories, regardless of what their projections say.  High schoolers are usually able to grow 20-25 points.  Without knowing how much you have invested in HS and Coll. scouting, I would guess the 18 y/o will be the better player.  I would expect him to end up with mid 70s control, and LH/RH in the low 70s, with four solid pitches.  He looks like a reliable SP2 to me.  The 22 y/o's control and splits will be similar, but his pitches won't be as good.  I'd project him as a SP3/SP4...but he should be ready for the ML in one year, if that matters...
All Forums > Hardball Dynasty Baseball > Hardball Dynasty > Probability of College Ps Attaining Projections

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