All Forums > Hoops Dynasty Basketball > Hoops Dynasty > Point Spread Question
3/15/2013 2:19 PM
I'm a first year HD player and have a question on the point spreads.

I was favored to win a game by 52 points! Which is just outrageous in any sport. However, I lost the game by 6... So, my question is how common is something like this? Once in a great while (CFB: Appalachian State beating Michigan) or something I should be expecting every year.

FYI: I didn't change my game plan in any way and I didn't have any injuries.

3/15/2013 2:33 PM
THose point spreads are way TOO high.  That said,  the games does do a pretty good job of determining favorites based on the rosters.  Without looking at the game, to me, a loss in that scenario would indicate either poor linep or poor game plan decisions.
3/15/2013 6:50 PM
At the beginning of the season, it does a great job determining point spreads based on rosters. But if you win a few close games and another team loses a few close games to comparable teams, you can suddenly end up as a 15-20 point favorite over a team just as good as you are. 

I've lost as a 30-point favorite before, but that's the worst it's been. Not sure if my game-plan was bad. It was the first pressing team I'd played all season, and I had a 28 average passing rating. Could get around it against man and zone teams, but it killed me against the press. 
3/15/2013 10:56 PM (edited)
There is an 80 pt spread in a game my team is playing tonight and the over/under is 150, which would mean the computer is predicting the score to be 115-35.

http://www.whatifsports.com/hd/TeamMatchup/Default.aspx?sid=9316081
3/15/2013 11:40 PM
The point spreads are a joke, always have been a joke, and always will be a joke.
3/15/2013 11:50 PM
Posted by tarvolon on 3/15/2013 6:50:00 PM (view original):
At the beginning of the season, it does a great job determining point spreads based on rosters. But if you win a few close games and another team loses a few close games to comparable teams, you can suddenly end up as a 15-20 point favorite over a team just as good as you are. 

I've lost as a 30-point favorite before, but that's the worst it's been. Not sure if my game-plan was bad. It was the first pressing team I'd played all season, and I had a 28 average passing rating. Could get around it against man and zone teams, but it killed me against the press. 
Absolutely.  A couple of seasons ago, I was a 1 seed, ranked number 1 and playing a 9 seed in the NT title game.  I was a 3 point dog (as the 1 seed, mind you).  How can a 1 seed, ranked number 1, be an underdog to a 9 seed (for what it's worth, the 1 seed beat the 9 seed by 26 points)?  The spreads are a joke.

I once lost a game to a Sim team when I was a 62 point favorite (I'm sure Pinkeye will make an appearance here at some point.  Every time I mention that game he shows up and trolls the rest of the thread.  It's almost like he's got some kind of alarm set whenever I mention that game).  I also finished the season 33-2 and won the National Championship.  I'm halfway decent as a coach and a game planner I think, but you really can't gameplan for a mid-teens Per PF to hit 4 threes against you, or a single digit Per C to hit 2 more in the same game.  I don't think I gameplanned badly, nor do I think I had a bad lineup in place.  Sometimes those things just happen (not often, thank goodness, or I think everyone would quit if the game ended up being THAT random) and I think it's a little rude to call the OP out on his decisions without looking at his game first (not you Tarvolon).

As I posted earlier, the spreads are a joke, always have been, always will be.  The best thing to do is pay them no mind as they are absolutely worthless.
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