Posted by a_in_the_b on 1/16/2014 9:39:00 AM (view original):
Nol, that propensity is more likely related to the ratio of their lp to per.
But I'll see teams with multiple three shooters over eighty who shoot five percent of their shots tops from three. Just seems ... Oddish.
I'll assume you're talking D3 here A_B.
Speaking personally, it depends primarily on what offense I'm running, what tempo I'm running, and how good at FTs a kid is. But the depth of my opponent and their defensive ratings also play a factor. With a well-structured FB team, if you can get to the line 40+ times a game and shoot 70%+, I think that's a winning formula. You'll tire the other team out and cause foul problems and then it all snowballs against the other team in the 2H of most games. So maybe my 80 PER guard will be set at -1 to help him get to the FT line more and put those wheels in motion. Plus ,at a -1 setting I think his 3FG% will be a bit higher than at 0 or +1, offsetting his lesser 3FGA. I like to see consistently high Offensive Efficiencies, as I find it makes gamplanning a bit easier as well as post-game analysis, and with the FB/FCP combo, imo -1 works really well at generating a predictable offensive output. Sometimes I will keep the kid at 0, esp. if he's an upperclassmen with better IQ. The only time I let a sharp-shooter go +1 is when he has little athleticism to drive to the hoop or his BH and/or FT shooting is weak. And +2 is simply non-existent for my preferred style of play.
Having said that, my Monty St. team this season has three 80+ PE kids with a lot of good REB/LP guys down low for putbacks, so I'm going to be more liberal with the 3-ball this season and see if I can learn anything.
From my observations, I know bing-ball can work.
I know jacking up a ton of 3's with elite shooters in a non-FB offense can work.
And in the FB/FCP style, I know winning the game at the FT line can work really well also.
I've also seen where having elite BH and P ratings and speedy guards can work well too (think Elmhurst/ggallagh in Wooden).
A lot of effective mousetraps out there to try, but the variability of all the game factors can mask some good insights.
I know I'm not telling you anything you don't know already, but I am just giving you an example of why a team may shoot under ten threes a game even with solid PE (i.e. a FB/FCP system with good FT shooters and a deep bench).
I'd love to hear what other good coaches' thoughts are on this one.