I usually take about 1/3 players that I've used before and can usually keep in the first round (eg, Goose Goslin), 1/3 cookies that are almost always blocked in the first round (eg, Vida Blue) and 1/3 players that I haven't tried yet. This year I took about 50% cookies and therefore will have to be very lucky to get more than 10 players in rd. 1. It'll be worth it if one of them makes it through, because with the higher cap I'll be able to afford him. If None of them get through, At least I won't have to play against them.