Posted by johnnyf on 1/31/2015 8:38:00 AM (view original):
Dublinuf, I'm not going to quote your post or go through it line by line, because I don't have to. Let me start with your hypothetical: the Alabama-Florida line(for purposes of argument, lets say Pensacola Florida). Within 360 miles, you have-and I'm just counting major programs here: FSU, Florida, UGA, Auburn, Alabama, Miss State, Ole, LSU and Arkansas. Within 500 miles, you add in Tennessee, South Carolina, Clemson, Baylor, Texas A&M, maybe Texas and UNC.
The problem with your Syriana type scenario is the same fallacy everyone who agrees is still making: that two teams colluding could keep competition to a minimum. While FSU and Bama might agree to divide up some guys in the panhandle, no one's made that agreement with the dozen or so other schools(human controlled schools) in that geographic area that are looking for similar prospects. Please explain why those schools have decided that they're not going to recruit the players that FSU and Bama decided to collude on? The whole "collusion gives a significant advantage" argument rests on the teams colluding not having to fight that hard to get those players that they've divvied up.
And you(and the others) also are making another fallacy: that teams focus their recruiting in their 360. I had recruits from Hawaii, Arizona, Wisconsin, Indiana, Missouri and Pennsylvania in my last recruiting class. Pulling up the classes of two of my divisional opponents also: Georgia(Minnesota, West Virginia, Maryland, PA and Texas) and Tennessee(illinois, Texas, Florida, Arkansas, Mississippi, Pennsylvania and Michigan). So its just not only me. And if teams, even big teams, are going out of their 360 regularly then two of the premises for "why teams would want to collude" are broken. Why would FSU waste the time and effort colluding over some players near them if they're going to Texas, the Northeast and the west coast for recruits along with their 360? And before you say "well, they want the top players around them" let me mention the second broken premise: that teams wouldn't face much competition for a colluded player. Instead of now discussing which teams in their 360 the colluders might have to still fight, we're talking nationwide(or at least teams within 1000 miles). And any collusion would be truly pointless.
Sorry, you still haven't made an argument for why collusion gives a significant advantage.
First off, let's start with the fact that you are just incorrect. Every school isn't active in every world. I gave you a scenario of who was, so in my scenario, Ole Miss, Miss. St.. and Arkansas were SIMs. Georgia and Auburn were not. So basically, you are now trolling. You ask for a specific scenario, so I design one, then you ignore it.
In any case, there is nothing on that border that is not within 180 miles of Alabama or Florida St, which is a huge difference to 360.
With your belief that people are going all over the country to compete with Elites for recruits, I am left with two options.
A) You haven't learned how to recruit yet.
B) You are just misleading people and trolling.
Show me a world, any world, where FSU goes to the Northeast and Texas and battles for recruits. That world doesn't exist. There is a big difference between competing with SIMs at great distance for OK players and battling schools at a distance. For instance, you reference Georgia, the kid from Minnesota is a SIM recruit. West Viriginia is within 360 of Athens. You mention Tennessee. Only 6 of their recruits are outside their 360 on a roster of 50. And there is no indication they battled for any of them. There is a difference between signing a player from Texas and battling Texas for a player from Texas, after all.
In your world, Camp, Florida St has six players not inside its 360, two of those are SIMs from Calif, and one is a second kicker, that isn't very good. Alabama, who has won four titles in the last 8 years and is ranked No. 1 has 0 players from states other than Mississippi, Louisiana, Tennessee, Arkansas, Alabama, Georgia, Florida or North Carolina. 0. There is a good chance they have no players outside 360 miles.
So, this fantasy you have about good players romping all over the country and battling for players is fiction. Good players don't do that at DIA. They may pick a spot every once and a while, but it is not a valid recruiting strategy to do nothing but that.
So, whether troll on neophyte, I am checking out. Enjoy learning it on your own. No sense listening to me. After all, what do I know about Division I recruiting, anyway. I am just coaching my lowly DII schools and one DIAA currently.