Round 1 Sound Off, 2021 Topic

With one game left to play, 06gsp needs a decent final session to finish forty games ahead of the nearest competitor. Ay caramba
8/6/2021 4:50 PM
Thanks to a miracle finish in the variable cap, I’ll have 3 playoff teams. Some marginal hope remains of holding on to the bottom of the cage.
8/6/2021 6:07 PM
I believe this is the best finish I have had in this event. Far short of the cage. Ended up with 4 second place teams, two missing the division titles by one game thanks to collapsing at the end for both. redcped was the beneficiary of one of those :-)

Had two disastrous teams as well. Hopefully I can take some lessons from this to improve again next year.
8/6/2021 6:45 PM
No chance on the cage, but I’m happy to have 3 playoff teams, 4 teams over .500, and my two worst teams with 75 and 79 wins. Much better than last year and the best I’ve ever done in this tourney. I feel I grew a lot in this tourney and can’t wait for next year!
8/6/2021 6:49 PM
Even though my 3 potential playoff teams fell down to only 1 (s/o to the variable league!) this was a lot of fun.

Brutal 4th 162 cycle cost me a chance at Top 48, but I’m happy to finish over .500 and in the top half of the standings especially in my first year playing
8/6/2021 6:53 PM
Posted by mpitt76 on 8/6/2021 4:05:00 PM (view original):
Posted by barracuda3 on 8/2/2021 12:23:00 PM (view original):
It is eminently possible that I will end the season with all 6 of my teams over .500 but none of my teams in the playoffs.

There is also a less likely, but still significantly non-zero, possibility that I will end up with exactly one team below .500, with that team being my only team to make the playoffs.
That happened to me once barracuda - was so ******, took me a month to get over it.

too many good owners on the cusp with 4 playoff teams. will be tough for teams with 3 playoff teams to advance...


Yeah good point, although the 300 bonus points that will be distributed across the 30 league winners will certainly move teams around the standings some (on top of the 11 points each winning team will get on top of that). Will be interesting!
8/6/2021 7:10 PM
There will be many good players not making The Cage. Nobody needs to hang their heads, this has been a very competitive field. Congrats to those moving on to Round 2...
8/6/2021 7:10 PM
This was a blast. I finished 119th (by one game!) but learned so very much from this. I cannot wait to build my next teams, gonna start tonight. Thank you to ozomotli, the league commissioners, 06gsp and wink's backup standings, haikus and limericks, and everyone that participated - so many taught me so much!

Besides my second to last overall finish, I believe also had the single worst team of the tourney - I appreciate that league for putting up with that team. Holy Toledo did I screw up my IP there - I was in the red with 3/4 of my pitchers by week three. Then, I actually believed I could out maneuver the sim and make a team some 3/400 IP short work... Spinning the wheel of stupid there - but even that team had some bright spots. Second to everything I learned.... I won a division and made the playoffs - both for my very first time. So personally, this was a giant W for me.

Thanks again everyone.
8/6/2021 7:24 PM
Owner 1st 162 Games 2nd 162 Games 3rd 162 Games 4th 162 Games 5th 162 Games 6th 162 Games Total
Wins Rank Wins Rank Wins Rank Wins Rank Wins Rank Wins Rank Wins Rank
chargingryno 84 44 82 57 83 58 87 37 83 51 84 54 503 53

Wins at each 162 mark: 84, 82, 83, 87, 83, 84. I guess you could say I was consistent at least. It felt like I was constantly trading off hot streaks with cold streaks, but am happy to have finished .500+ in each 162 cycle.

Comparing to myself last year, during which I only had three 162 cycles over .500, and I improved by about 29 wins
Pre Rank Rank Owner 1st 162 Games 2nd 162 Games 3rd 162 Games 4th 162 Games 5th 162 Games 6th 162 Games Total
Wins Rank Wins Rank Wins Rank Wins Rank Wins Rank Wins Rank Wins Rank
72 59 chargingryno 68 85 85 33 82 43 84 39 75 67 80 57 474 59
8/6/2021 8:12 PM
another year, another underachievement...wonder if anyone can beat my cumulative under exp%...

real% exp%
.481 .522 -.41
.562 .620 -.58
.438 .474 -.36
.543 .539 +.04
.568 .569 -.01
.488 .533 -.45

-.177 or about 28.5 win below expected, makes the cage a little closer at least...sighhhhh
8/6/2021 8:31 PM (edited)
Posted by doctorcc on 8/6/2021 4:50:00 PM (view original):
With one game left to play, 06gsp needs a decent final session to finish forty games ahead of the nearest competitor. Ay caramba
We’ve had some very good fortune in one run games.
8/6/2021 8:54 PM
06gsp’s complete dominance was a lot more than some ‘good fortune’ in one run games. He had the top overall team out of all 720 (116 wins); he had five 100+ win teams and his ‘weak’ team still had 92 wins; he was the top owner in half of the six162 game cycles, top four in five of them, and his ‘weak’ cycle still had him 14th out of 120 very competitive owners.
I’m in a tie for 10th overall and yet the 56th place owner is closer in wins to myself than I am to 06gsp.
Well done and good luck in the playoffs and in round two.
8/6/2021 11:00 PM (edited)
This was a brutal division. My +235 run differential was good enough for third place.
West W-L PCT GB Division 1-Run G Extra Inn RS RA Exp.% Owner
Car .254, Where Are You? 100-62 0.617 - 21-21 23-22 10-2 826 566 0.668 redcped
They Came from Area 251 96-66 0.593 4 23-19 21-19 5-8 774 600 0.615 beauchamp
Got 259 problems but winning ain't one 91-71 0.562 9 24-18 21-27 7-7 888 653 0.642 DCNats4000
*2o20 90-72 0.556 10 16-26 29-18 8-9 714 507 0.648 calhoop
8/6/2021 10:56 PM
Wowzers! Last place with a .648 exp win.
8/6/2021 10:59 PM
Posted by ronthegenius on 8/6/2021 11:00:00 PM (view original):
06gsp’s complete dominance was a lot more than some ‘good fortune’ in one run games. He had the top overall team out of all 720 (116 wins); he had five 100+ win teams and his ‘weak’ team still had 92 wins; he was the top owner in half of the six162 game cycles, top four in five of them, and his ‘weak’ cycle still had him 14th out of 120 very competitive owners.
I’m in a tie for 10th overall and yet the 56th place owner is closer in wins to myself than I am to 06gsp.
Well done and good luck in the playoffs and in round two.
thanks, I have some good teams but they've also 100% benefitted from some good luck.

in the 140M my team had a .592 expected win percentage and won 100 games, in the same side of the league brianjw's team had a .582 expected win percentage and won 77 games. 25-16 in one run games to brian's 15-37. and in the 90M I won 102 and d_rock won 79 on the same side of the league with a very similar roster. the luck element is larger than people give it credit for, I certainly don't think I'm a standard deviation better than the rest of the best owners on the site.

8/7/2021 2:55 PM
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Round 1 Sound Off, 2021 Topic

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