Posted by indy_angels on 5/26/2015 2:18:00 PM (view original):
But what is wrong with that. Everyone who saw Kris Bryant play in college knew he was going to be good. But not exactly how good. I think there is still value in using the scouting budget to understand exactly how good; solid ML starter, All-Star or HOF.
No franchise in the real world is going to spend zero on any kind of scouting. A team with no college scouts, and no front-office personnel dedicated to researching college players, is not going be among those who "saw Kris Bryant play in college." A team with crappy scouting is not going to get an accurate read on players in the real world, current or projected. "What is wrong with that" is that someone spending 0 on COL should not be able to get the exact same data as someone who spends $20M. Spending 0 should mean you open up your local paper, see that some kid homered off an 0-15 opponent last week, and draft him because you have nothing better to go on. If you're lucky, he makes it out of Low A some day. The chances of getting a solid ML player with 0 scouting should be very close to 0%, instead of 90% as is the case when you see accurate Current ratings.