Are you in a tough division or an easy division?   Here are the average pre-season ranks by division.  For example, if the 1, 2, 3 and 4th ranked teams were all in the same division, the division average would be = 2.5.  If the 93, 94, 95 and 96th teams were in the same division, that division average would be 94.5.    The overall average is 48.5.

Some background:  The 96 teams are split into four leagues (A, B, C, D) where the teams are spread evenly throughout the leagues.  You will never see a situation where 10 of the top 16 teams are in the same league.  But once teams are designated to a specific league, the division alignment is purely random.  So, typically the top 16 teams are split evenly where four of these teams are placed into each of the four leagues.  It is still possible for all four Top-16 teams to get randomly assigned the same division.  That's exactly what happened in Division 6-C.

 

League	Lg#	DivAvg
6-C	90796	9.3
6-B	90694	19.3
5-D	90767	21.3
5-A	90742	23.8
6-D	90789	24.3
1-D	90688	24.5
4-A	90729	25.5
2-B	90716	26.0
6-D	90789	27.3
3-C	90738	27.3
3-B	90726	27.8
3-B	90726	28.3
3-A	90788	28.5
1-A	90807	30.8
5-D	90767	30.8
3-D	90691	31.8
2-D	90724	32.3
4-D	90692	32.5
5-B	90693	32.5
5-C	90755	33.0
4-C	90739	33.3
1-A	90807	33.3
5-A	90742	33.5
2-D	90724	33.8
4-B	90718	34.0
2-C	90690	34.8
1-D	90688	35.8
5-C	90755	36.0
1-B	90828	36.8
2-A	90779	38.8
3-C	90738	38.8
2-C	90690	39.8
1-C	90774	40.0
1-B	90828	40.0
4-D	90692	40.0
2-B	90716	40.3
6-B	90694	40.5
6-A	90730	40.8
3-D	90691	40.8
4-C	90739	41.3
1-C	90774	41.3
4-A	90729	41.3
5-D	90767	41.8
1-C	90774	42.0
6-A	90730	42.5
4-A	90729	42.8
5-C	90755	42.8
4-B	90718	43.5
2-A	90779	43.8
6-D	90789	43.8
2-D	90724	44.3
3-A	90788	44.3
2-A	90779	44.5
1-A	90807	44.5
5-A	90742	44.8
2-A	90779	44.8
4-C	90739	45.0
4-D	90692	45.0
1-D	90688	45.3
2-A	90779	46.0
4-A	90729	46.5
3-B	90726	46.5
4-B	90718	47.0
3-D	90691	47.0
3-A	90788	47.3
6-A	90730	47.3
2-C	90690	47.3
1-C	90774	48.8
5-B	90693	49.0
5-B	90693	49.0
1-A	90807	49.3
3-D	90691	49.8
6-A	90730	49.8
5-C	90755	51.0
2-C	90690	51.5
3-C	90738	51.5
1-B	90828	51.5
5-B	90693	52.0
3-A	90788	52.0
1-C	90774	52.0
1-D	90688	52.3
6-A	90730	52.3
4-A	90729	52.3
2-D	90724	52.3
6-B	90694	52.5
6-D	90789	52.5
5-B	90693	52.8
6-C	90796	53.0
1-B	90828	53.0
4-C	90739	53.0
3-B	90726	53.3
3-C	90738	53.3
1-D	90688	53.5
4-D	90692	53.5
2-B	90716	53.5
5-D	90767	54.0
3-A	90788	54.0
4-B	90718	54.3
4-C	90739	54.8
3-B	90726	54.8
3-C	90738	55.0
1-B	90828	55.5
6-B	90694	55.5
5-B	90693	55.5
6-C	90796	56.3
5-D	90767	56.8
5-A	90742	57.0
6-B	90694	57.3
6-D	90789	57.5
2-C	90690	57.8
2-B	90716	58.3
2-C	90690	58.8
2-D	90724	58.8
6-A	90730	58.8
1-C	90774	59.5
6-C	90796	59.5
5-A	90742	59.8
4-D	90692	60.0
2-A	90779	60.3
2-B	90716	60.8
6-B	90694	61.5
4-B	90718	61.5
2-B	90716	61.8
6-C	90796	62.0
1-A	90807	62.0
3-B	90726	62.5
6-C	90796	62.8
4-C	90739	63.0
4-B	90718	63.5
3-D	90691	63.8
4-A	90729	64.3
4-D	90692	66.5
1-B	90828	67.0
3-A	90788	67.8
5-A	90742	67.8
3-D	90691	68.5
5-C	90755	69.5
3-C	90738	70.0
1-D	90688	72.3
1-A	90807	73.5
5-C	90755	73.8
2-D	90724	74.5
5-D	90767	76.3
6-D	90789	78.3

Division 6-C
 

Owner	Rank
wildthings1	1
ballantine	9
mildnhazy	12
mpitt76	15

Division 6-D
 

Owner	Rank	DivgAvg
ejstockman	56	78.3
ncih	82	78.3
hagebono	83	78.3
hacker7	92	78.3

Which owners are in the toughest division, in aggregate?  One adjustment needs to be made.  The owners own ranking must be removed from the average.  Here is a summary of the average ranking of each owners' division-mates.  Low number = tough divisions.

 

Owner	___Rank	___DivAvg	___AdjAvg
razorclams	67	40.2	31.3
sford	10	26.5	31.9
msleath	32	33.4	33.9
dahsdebater	45	37.6	35.2
boozerep	68	43.5	35.3
bardin	11	30.0	36.3
Jdh34	89	49.6	36.5
leeelci	91	51.3	38.1
ajackson8282	47	40.5	38.3
beirnej1	88	51.3	39.1
batandball	53	42.7	39.3
Rose 4D Hall	35	38.4	39.5
fortywins	84	50.7	39.6
Dalefan1	95	53.6	39.8
newarkwilder	14	34.2	40.9
happyhours	78	50.4	41.2
Yaz_Benders	31	39.3	42.0
mildnhazy	12	34.6	42.2
eman_wi	43	42.7	42.6
ctorkelson	42	42.5	42.7
zlionsfan	62	48.0	43.4
fandodger	54	46.3	43.7
toddcommish	75	52.1	44.5
rick0513	96	57.6	44.8
wildthings1	1	34.0	45.0
alleyviper	29	41.0	45.1
hagebono	83	54.9	45.5
ff09	44	45.3	45.8
EasyE7273	79	54.2	45.9
shysters3	63	50.3	46.1
just4me	73	53.1	46.4
mpitt76	15	38.6	46.5
contrarian23	23	41.0	47.1
nocomm999	52	48.7	47.6
tridentric	76	54.8	47.7
calhoop	21	41.0	47.7
footballmm11	50	48.4	47.9
bighooze	27	42.7	47.9
BLCROW	86	57.6	48.1
kevad0	94	59.6	48.2
mllama54	49	48.6	48.4
simhead777	72	54.3	48.4
jetscanes	51	49.1	48.4
jjgreen14	46	47.8	48.4
jfranco77	8	38.5	48.7
ybjsports	17	40.8	48.8
bigsteve12	77	56.0	49.0
r90377	80	56.8	49.1
Jtpsops	90	59.4	49.2
ballantine	9	39.2	49.3
bigmc	5	38.2	49.3
odalisgagne	34	45.5	49.3
ncih	82	57.5	49.4
moneymen	60	52.1	49.4
beauchamp	85	58.3	49.4
ejstockman	56	51.1	49.5
schwarze	2	37.6	49.5
oskies	38	47.3	50.4
sgsmith	18	42.5	50.6
BastanRedsox	93	61.3	50.7
besterateam	66	54.7	50.9
thebubbaq	87	60.1	51.1
hacker7	92	61.5	51.3
PennQuaker	7	40.3	51.3
daronb	6	40.1	51.4
ryan_horner	36	47.6	51.4
astro123	65	54.9	51.5
mensu1954	3	39.5	51.7
smeric	57	53.0	51.7
nasty_llama	69	56.3	52.0
dlchow	64	55.1	52.2
marlowe	55	53.2	52.6
Oli35	41	49.8	52.8
shaybee	20	45.0	53.3
acn24	24	46.3	53.8
specsman	70	58.1	54.1
tulsaslide	30	48.2	54.3
maddog162	74	59.2	54.3
wetwillytwo	13	44.1	54.4
markeking	16	45.3	55.0
tjefferson	26	48.0	55.4
Chisock	81	61.9	55.5
jbohrman	19	46.9	56.2
ennam_iv	39	52.0	56.3
Whiteslave	22	47.9	56.6
bighappyguy	71	60.6	57.2
Yabahos	28	50.0	57.4
thejuice6	61	58.3	57.4
ronthegenius	25	49.4	57.6
dippedncrack	40	53.2	57.6
acediamond77	48	55.7	58.2
gorbyruss	59	59.0	59.0
tracyr	37	54.5	60.3
mw100	58	60.2	60.9
The Taint	33	54.2	61.2
rbow923	4	47.7	62.3

rbow923 will have no excuse if he doesn't advance to round 2.  The average ranking of all 18 of his division mates is 62.

my deadbeat division mates are already 6 games over .500, apparently nobody told them they were supposed to lose.

i'm pretty sure this will be the only list where i'm near the top.

Good, now I have a built-in excuse... (begin whining voice...) MY DIVISIONS ARE TOO HARD (end whining voice...)

Tought I had some tough draws...interesting statistics to back it up.  Thanks

Posted by bardin on 8/5/2010 4:54:00 PM (view original):
Good, now I have a built-in excuse... (begin whining voice...) MY DIVISIONS ARE TOO HARD (end whining voice...)

This.  I hadn't really noticed they looked exceptionally challenging, but I don't have very consistent internet access right now so I haven't been paying all that much attention...

Any idea when we will get a standings link? I'd like to see me in the top 10 for a few moments before I disappear off to the bottom half of the competition..hehe..

I've already contacted Tom Z. about this.  But I haven't heard back.

my toughest is 1-D at 53.3 :)

Interesting ... so we could do a very crude weighting system to estimate relative performance. If we assume that owners are evenly spaced in rank (so that we don't need to peek into schwarze's rating system), that the top-rated owner would win a fixed percentage of games against the bottom-rated owner over time, and that teams from the same rank would split their games (obviously not possible in a single game, but possible in aggregate terms: an owner might be in a division where the mean rank of the opponents was equal to his or her own), we could then generate an expected winning percentage and compare that to actual winning percentage.

Naturally, crude is an understatement for a calculation like this - aside from confusing discrete and continuous ratings, it ignores the strength of non-division opponents, which represent a significant portion of the schedule - but it's fun and I have spare time.

Say that we assume a winning percentage of .800 for 1 facing 96. My rank is 62, and the composite rank of my opponents is 43.4. My expected winning percentage would be .441; through the AM cycle today, it's actually .449, which means I'm exceeding expectations. lolz. (If we assume .850 for the 1-v-96 matchup, then it drops to .431; at .750, my winning percentage should be .451.)

It's fun! It's meaningless! Try it yourself! I call it Zlionsfan's Ordinal Measurement Grade.

i'm good with numbers zlionsfan and I dont quite follow. I now what your saying and I love the thought and the logic is there I just feel lie I'm missing a step in your equation