Posted by milest on 8/11/2020 1:25:00 PM (view original):
I said it last year and I'll probably say it every year going forward:
There shouldn't be a bonus for just making the playoffs... It simply is not fair and fairness should be what matters.
13 teams made the playoffs with 83 or fewer wins----- Fewest being 79 (x2)
11 teams with 90 or more wins missed the playoffs-----Most being 94 (x2)
You CANNOT justify giving a bonus to a team that won 79 games while a team winning 94 games gets no bonus. It makes no sense whatsoever.

As somebody who had a team miss the playoffs with 94 wins in this tournament, I can tell you that I'd much rather have that happen to me (and miss out on the "whopping" 2 point playoff bonus) then to see a team go 80-82 (elvisgump) and accumulate more bonus points (9) than my five playoff teams combined (8). And it's not even close. I'm pretty sure brianjw would agree with that sentiment.

If you are so worried about bad records winning the division, we can always go back to seeding teams into each division like I did when this tournament first started. This would be a way to eliminate luck... of course that assumes a division with at least one good owner won't have a bad record win the division. Interestingly enough, I changed that rule because a lot of people wanted the luck involved of random divisions.

That being said, I never meant to imply the rule should change this year.... But something to consider in the future.

Posted by schwarze on 8/11/2020 4:28:00 PM (view original):
It would be 1-run win differential (i.e., 1-run wins minus 1-run losses). And it wouldn't shock me if a few teams below .500 teams made the playoffs in this format.

Have to consider that this could actually create an incentive for teams to lose games at the end of the season badly, intentionally. If the whole thing depended on not losing a 1-run game, why not just put out your worst team and lose by a lot?

Posted by schwarze on 8/11/2020 4:28:00 PM (view original):
It would be 1-run win differential (i.e., 1-run wins minus 1-run losses). And it wouldn't shock me if a few teams below .500 teams made the playoffs in this format.

If this theme league was set up, I'd enter a team (or two if allowed)

Posted by redcped on 8/11/2020 5:05:00 PM (view original):

Posted by schwarze on 8/11/2020 4:28:00 PM (view original):
It would be 1-run win differential (i.e., 1-run wins minus 1-run losses). And it wouldn't shock me if a few teams below .500 teams made the playoffs in this format.

Have to consider that this could actually create an incentive for teams to lose games at the end of the season badly, intentionally. If the whole thing depended on not losing a 1-run game, why not just put out your worst team and lose by a lot?

Personally, having thought about this more, the strategy in this league would likely to be draft fewer high quality IP. Anytime your team is losing, make sure to throw a mop up pitcher so that the team has no chance of losing a 1 run game.

Posted by milest on 8/11/2020 1:32:00 PM (view original):
And I'm not sure why everyone thinks 1-run game results are just pure luck. That simply is not true. There is some luck involved, but there is luck involved in every game. If a team implements mop-up level pitchers, they will lose more 1 -run games when the mop-up comes in late, when the bullpen is depleted, as opposed to a team with quality pitchers throughout their bullpen with no drop-off/mop-up type pitchers.

There are a lot of data that show that margin of victory is a true indicator of team strength. While anything can happen in one game or a short series, over the course of a season better teams will have a higher winning percentage than weaker teams as the margin of victory increases. It's true that a particularly bad team in a division can distort this somewhat but the premise has held true over decades in real-life sports. Also, a team that significantly outperforms its expected winning percentage one year is ordinarily a good candidate to come back to earth the following season unless there are material changes in performance.

The 10 highest run differentials in real-life since 1901 are as follows:

1. 1939 Yankees +411, .702, won WS
2. 1927 Yankees +376, .714, won WS
3. 1936 Yankees +334, .667, won WS
4. 1906 Cubs +323, .763, lost WS
5. 1998 Yankees +309, .704, won WS
6. 1937 Yankees, +308, .662, won WS
7. 2001 Mariners, +300, .716, lost ALCS
8. 1942 Yankees, +294, .669, lost WS (The '42 Cards just missed this list with a +275 run differential.)
9. 1929 Athletics, +286, .693 won WS
10. 1944 Cardinals, +282, .682, won WS

The '54 Indians were at +242 with a .721 winning percentage and outperformed their Pythagorean projection by 7 wins. The '54 Yankees had exactly the same run differential but won 8 fewer games while outperforming their Pythagorean projection by only 2 wins. I wonder if the Indians had a better record in one-run games.

FINAL ROUND 1 STANDINGS

Overall	Owner	80M	90M	110M	120M	140M	Var	Wins	Win%	Plyf	WS	Bonus	Total
1	justinlee_24	96	98	93	92	91	103	573	0.590	6		27	600
2	06gsp	101	84	88	94	96	102	565	0.581	4	1	33	598
3	jfranco77	88	106	99	90	90	91	564	0.580	5	1	31	595
4	milest	97	99	87	82	80	105	550	0.566	3	2	43	593
5	ozomatli	90	89	84	94	102	100	559	0.575	5	1	33	592
6	mensu1954	99	90	88	86	93	106	562	0.578	4	1	29	591
7	ejstockman	85	80	92	89	95	100	541	0.557	5	2	49	590
8	schwarze	94	94	88	90	100	115	581	0.598	5		8	589
8	skunk206	92	90	95	93	101	96	567	0.583	4		22	589
10	mildnhazy	79	84	87	90	98	96	534	0.549	4	2	49	583
11	doctorcc	94	94	88	87	95	78	536	0.551	4	1	46	582
12	wink0094	95	92	93	90	73	98	541	0.557	5	1	34	575
13	discodemo	82	90	104	93	86	91	546	0.562	4	1	24	570
14	pkearns	86	93	92	95	84	94	544	0.560	4	1	25	569
15	brianjw	92	93	106	79	95	95	560	0.576	5		8	568
16	dougpalm	68	94	86	86	89	103	526	0.541	5	1	41	567
17	mjkrunner	89	102	86	97	88	91	553	0.569	3		13	566
18	tigerrott	98	83	94	87	89	94	545	0.561	4		17	562
18	thehuseman	102	81	76	91	88	100	538	0.553	3	1	24	562
20	Jtpsops	87	96	76	96	81	94	530	0.545	2	1	31	561
21	d_rock97	91	87	89	86	91	93	537	0.552	4		19	556
22	marinerrott	84	81	109	85	82	89	530	0.545	2	1	23	553
23	beauchamp	80	99	98	81	83	78	519	0.534	3	1	28	547
24	PennQuaker	92	76	86	98	90	97	539	0.555	4		7	546
24	buddhagamer	87	91	86	87	84	93	528	0.543	3		18	546
26	jbohrman	94	88	84	95	74	94	529	0.544	3		16	545
27	NebHusker	94	89	79	90	89	78	519	0.534	5		25	544
28	besterateam	86	86	74	99	83	93	521	0.536	3		22	543
29	rbow923	87	72	79	88	100	105	531	0.546	2		11	542
30	ballsweatsux	86	99	77	77	95	95	529	0.544	3		11	540
31	mpitt76	97	93	75	77	80	90	512	0.527	2	1	27	539
32	barracuda3	90	79	73	83	97	92	514	0.529	3	1	24	538
33	ledfoot	83	92	92	81	95	84	527	0.542	3		6	533
34	magicdreamer	96	85	74	88	97	82	522	0.537	3		9	531
34	redcped	80	88	89	94	82	76	509	0.524	2	1	22	531
36	hebdomad	93	89	79	93	88	81	523	0.538	5		7	530
37	jetscanes	87	87	68	91	98	92	523	0.538	3		5	528
38	Humdogs	98	96	89	99	80	57	519	0.534	3		6	525
39	teamhydro	94	89	81	88	80	82	514	0.529	2		9	523
40	cstrohmier	73	89	99	83	93	77	514	0.529	2		3	517
40	wildthings1	80	84	93	76	87	86	506	0.520	2		11	517
42	crystalao	83	92	79	86	86	89	515	0.530	3		1	516
43	dorkster	95	85	85	73	82	83	503	0.517	2		12	515
44	skinndogg	90	88	76	87	79	89	509	0.524	1		2	511
45	odalisgagne	93	84	87	86	88	68	506	0.521	2		4	510
46	bheid408	76	93	93	87	75	76	500	0.514	3		9	509
47	bottomlee	84	77	91	89	80	84	505	0.520	1		2	507
48	thunder1008	80	85	91	77	83	68	484	0.498	2	1	22	506
49	Fusion27s	77	93	85	88	78	78	499	0.513	1		2	501
50	newarkwilder	85	78	75	81	80	93	492	0.506	2		7	499
51	just4me	71	84	85	77	90	81	488	0.502	2		5	493
52	footballmm11	78	81	78	82	71	95	485	0.498	1		7	492
53	BigScungil	89	73	90	78	68	89	487	0.501	1		2	489
54	sford	93	77	86	86	79	59	480	0.494	1		6	486
55	mllama54	93	73	92	70	79	74	481	0.495	2		4	485
56	wetwillytwo	82	87	69	77	80	88	483	0.497				483
56	daddyzander	74	91	78	76	70	92	481	0.495	1		2	483
58	duhbigcat	80	78	71	99	74	70	472	0.486	2		9	481
58	Chisock	76	78	88	71	79	79	471	0.485	1		10	481
60	mickr9	87	81	83	76	64	89	480	0.494				480
61	chargingryno	86	97	73	79	69	70	474	0.488	1		4	478
62	calhoop	73	73	88	82	78	78	472	0.486	1		5	477
63	pfan	76	75	79	83	90	64	467	0.480	2		7	474
64	cubbies84	65	98	67	73	80	87	470	0.484	1		2	472
65	npg32433	81	82	78	78	72	80	471	0.485				471
66	Jdh34	88	63	74	80	87	77	469	0.483				469
67	thebubbaq	90	81	76	78	75	68	468	0.481	1		0	468
68	markeking	77	78	79	78	74	81	467	0.480				467
69	elvisgump	84	80	70	75	65	80	454	0.467	1		9	463
70	contrarian23	67	96	74	84	73	67	461	0.474	1		1	462
71	trd3	85	84	74	76	74	65	458	0.471	1		0	458
72	gorbyruss	60	68	97	73	72	81	451	0.464	2		6	457
73	midknight	71	87	82	69	74	72	455	0.468				455
74	big_dowg	77	77	69	76	75	79	453	0.466				453
75	MitchellBade	71	83	71	69	74	83	451	0.464				451
76	nordawg	76	72	73	87	82	60	450	0.463				450
77	Sonofodin52	79	75	76	76	85	57	448	0.460	2		1	449
78	loyalcanuck	60	71	88	74	65	80	438	0.451	1		8	446
79	tracyr	82	63	73	87	75	63	443	0.456	1		2	445
80	stroh23	67	48	77	78	86	80	436	0.449				436
81	DarthDurron	61	68	71	70	85	80	435	0.448	1		0	435
81	northof49	82	71	73	38	91	59	414	0.426	1	1	21	435
83	toddcommish	69	74	75	66	68	80	432	0.444				432
83	happyhours	67	78	82	76	69	60	432	0.444				432
85	cholatse	52	76	72	78	80	69	427	0.439				427
86	garmansouth	61	66	76	74	82	66	425	0.437	1		0	425
87	gigrant	76	64	83	77	61	61	422	0.434				422
88	sjh0825	77	57	82	62	51	77	406	0.418				406
89	bigsteve12	68	49	57	68	81	74	397	0.408				397
89	deathdealer	62	59	67	79	66	64	397	0.408				397
91	jschirn	53	58	61	68	73	79	392	0.403				392
92	tridentric	66	78	66	56	56	45	367	0.378				367
93	marvin_katko	69	23	66	63	68	69	358	0.368				358
94	Zachsmikle1	53	60	56	46	72	59	346	0.356				346
95	spoonfed	51	53	64	73	65	37	343	0.353				343
96	steelerfan19	45	42	32	41	36	17	213	0.219				213

Sucks to be eliminated by the virtue of the tie-breaker considering at one point I was up 3 games to 1 in one LCS and beginning the WS in another and in a span of 4 sessions, lost 7 consecutive games and not gain a single point.

Guess I'll settle to cheer on my son justinlee_24

Best of luck to the rest of you in the cage!

Schwarze post about division alignment made me come back to a question I've had since last year:

Why don't we play a more balanced schedule?

I'm not asking this to start an argument. I was just wondering. I don't really know all of the alignment & scheduling options, tbh. I was just wondering why this scheduling format was chosen over the others.