I received all the advanced standings. Analysis coming soon.

Expected Winning%
.
It's well known that Exp Win% can be skewed by blowout wins, especially against fatigued sub-300K pitchers. But here are the leaders in Exp Win% anyway. Most of the top owners probably are on the good side of those blowouts. Record in 1-run games is a better indicator of luck.
.

Owner	Actual Win%	Exp Win%	Diff
--------------------------	-----------------	-----------------	-----------
brianjw	0.576	0.612	-0.036
schwarze	0.598	0.611	-0.013
06gsp	0.581	0.606	-0.025
ozomatli	0.575	0.606	-0.030
skunk206	0.583	0.605	-0.023
jfranco77	0.580	0.600	-0.020
justinlee_24	0.590	0.591	-0.002
mjkrunner	0.569	0.583	-0.014
mensu1954	0.578	0.582	-0.004
discodemo	0.562	0.582	-0.020
d_rock97	0.552	0.576	-0.024
mildnhazy	0.549	0.575	-0.025
milest	0.566	0.574	-0.008
wink0094	0.557	0.572	-0.016
rbow923	0.546	0.569	-0.023
buddhagamer	0.543	0.567	-0.024
PennQuaker	0.555	0.567	-0.012
tigerrott	0.561	0.566	-0.005
ledfoot	0.542	0.564	-0.023
ejstockman	0.557	0.562	-0.005
hebdomad	0.538	0.560	-0.023
marinerrott	0.545	0.559	-0.014
jbohrman	0.544	0.559	-0.015
beauchamp	0.534	0.555	-0.021
thehuseman	0.553	0.552	0.002
NebHusker	0.534	0.549	-0.015
mpitt76	0.527	0.549	-0.022
magicdreamer	0.537	0.548	-0.011
wildthings1	0.520	0.546	-0.026
ballsweatsux	0.544	0.545	-0.001
dougpalm	0.541	0.543	-0.003
Humdogs	0.534	0.543	-0.009
Jtpsops	0.545	0.542	0.002
crystalao	0.530	0.540	-0.010
cstrohmier	0.529	0.538	-0.009
Fusion27s	0.513	0.537	-0.023
bottomlee	0.520	0.537	-0.017
redcped	0.524	0.536	-0.013
pkearns	0.560	0.536	0.024
doctorcc	0.551	0.533	0.018
teamhydro	0.529	0.533	-0.004
jetscanes	0.538	0.523	0.014
duhbigcat	0.486	0.522	-0.036
bheid408	0.514	0.520	-0.005
chargingryno	0.488	0.517	-0.030
daddyzander	0.495	0.517	-0.022
besterateam	0.536	0.517	0.019
barracuda3	0.529	0.514	0.014
BigScungil	0.501	0.512	-0.011
skinndogg	0.524	0.510	0.014
odalisgagne	0.521	0.509	0.011
thunder1008	0.498	0.509	-0.011
just4me	0.502	0.506	-0.004
sford	0.494	0.506	-0.013
newarkwilder	0.506	0.505	0.001
calhoop	0.486	0.503	-0.018
cubbies84	0.484	0.496	-0.013
dorkster	0.517	0.488	0.029
footballmm11	0.498	0.488	0.011
Jdh34	0.483	0.487	-0.005
pfan	0.480	0.485	-0.004
nordawg	0.463	0.481	-0.018
MitchellBade	0.464	0.481	-0.017
Chisock	0.485	0.480	0.004
markeking	0.480	0.477	0.004
thebubbaq	0.480	0.477	0.004
mllama54	0.495	0.477	0.018
elvisgump	0.467	0.476	-0.009
wetwillytwo	0.497	0.474	0.023
tracyr	0.456	0.472	-0.016
midknight	0.468	0.471	-0.003
contrarian23	0.474	0.471	0.004
big_dowg	0.466	0.466	0.000
npg32433	0.485	0.463	0.022
mickr9	0.494	0.461	0.032
DarthDurron	0.448	0.461	-0.014
trd3	0.471	0.458	0.013
gorbyruss	0.464	0.453	0.011
Sonofodin52	0.460	0.450	0.011
happyhours	0.444	0.449	-0.005
loyalcanuck	0.451	0.446	0.004
toddcommish	0.444	0.438	0.006
stroh23	0.449	0.434	0.014
garmansouth	0.437	0.433	0.005
sjh0825	0.418	0.423	-0.005
northof49	0.426	0.417	0.009
gigrant	0.434	0.417	0.017
deathdealer	0.408	0.402	0.007
jschirn	0.403	0.401	0.003
bigsteve12	0.408	0.393	0.016
cholatse	0.439	0.391	0.048
marvin_katko	0.368	0.377	-0.009
tridentric	0.378	0.369	0.008
spoonfed	0.353	0.329	0.024
Zachsmikle1	0.356	0.316	0.040
steelerfan19	0.219	0.209	0.011

1-Run Game Win%
.
Although it's not completely uncorrelated, the teams with very strong 1-run game records are typically on the lucky side. A good indicator of the strength of a team is their record in games decided by 2+ runs. This chart is sorted by 1-run game winning% Yours truly somehow had the best record in this category. Maybe this should have been a warning to me of future playoff performance (although it didn't affect doctorcc's playoff results).
.

Owner	Actual Win%	1-Run W%
--------------------------	-----------------	-----------------
schwarze	0.598	0.596
doctorcc	0.551	0.584
pkearns	0.560	0.576
thehuseman	0.553	0.562
mensu1954	0.578	0.560
jetscanes	0.538	0.553
dougpalm	0.541	0.551
justinlee_24	0.590	0.549
milest	0.566	0.549
Jtpsops	0.545	0.548
big_dowg	0.466	0.546
discodemo	0.562	0.545
jfranco77	0.580	0.545
ballsweatsux	0.544	0.543
odalisgagne	0.521	0.539
PennQuaker	0.555	0.538
deathdealer	0.408	0.538
tigerrott	0.561	0.537
NebHusker	0.534	0.536
dorkster	0.517	0.529
markeking	0.480	0.528
mllama54	0.495	0.527
just4me	0.502	0.526
skinndogg	0.524	0.525
footballmm11	0.498	0.522
brianjw	0.576	0.520
buddhagamer	0.543	0.520
Chisock	0.485	0.520
trd3	0.471	0.519
gorbyruss	0.464	0.518
Humdogs	0.534	0.517
MitchellBade	0.464	0.516
mildnhazy	0.549	0.515
redcped	0.524	0.513
teamhydro	0.529	0.513
skunk206	0.583	0.513
calhoop	0.486	0.512
bigsteve12	0.408	0.511
chargingryno	0.488	0.511
thebubbaq	0.480	0.510
newarkwilder	0.506	0.509
gigrant	0.434	0.507
bheid408	0.514	0.506
northof49	0.426	0.504
mickr9	0.494	0.504
wink0094	0.557	0.504
ejstockman	0.557	0.502
cstrohmier	0.529	0.502
06gsp	0.581	0.500
magicdreamer	0.537	0.500
crystalao	0.530	0.500
npg32433	0.485	0.500
Sonofodin52	0.460	0.500
barracuda3	0.529	0.496
beauchamp	0.534	0.495
Fusion27s	0.513	0.495
besterateam	0.536	0.495
midknight	0.468	0.494
toddcommish	0.444	0.493
tracyr	0.456	0.488
rbow923	0.546	0.488
mjkrunner	0.569	0.487
garmansouth	0.437	0.485
ledfoot	0.542	0.484
jbohrman	0.544	0.483
daddyzander	0.495	0.482
pfan	0.480	0.481
ozomatli	0.575	0.480
loyalcanuck	0.451	0.479
d_rock97	0.552	0.479
wetwillytwo	0.497	0.476
elvisgump	0.467	0.475
Jdh34	0.483	0.475
mpitt76	0.527	0.473
tridentric	0.378	0.472
happyhours	0.444	0.472
sford	0.494	0.464
wildthings1	0.520	0.463
cholatse	0.439	0.461
marinerrott	0.545	0.460
contrarian23	0.474	0.458
stroh23	0.449	0.458
thunder1008	0.498	0.457
bottomlee	0.520	0.452
hebdomad	0.538	0.450
cubbies84	0.484	0.450
jschirn	0.403	0.444
duhbigcat	0.486	0.444
BigScungil	0.501	0.444
spoonfed	0.353	0.443
Zachsmikle1	0.356	0.436
marvin_katko	0.368	0.432
nordawg	0.463	0.428
sjh0825	0.418	0.426
DarthDurron	0.448	0.423
steelerfan19	0.219	0.414

2+ Run Game Winning%
.
Look who's the leader in 2+ run games. Your fearless leader, ozomatli. The difference represents the winning% difference between 2+ run winning% and 1-run winning% A negative difference indicates bad luck. Sorted by 2+ Run winning%.
.

Owner	Actual Win%	1-Run W%	2+Run W%	Diff
--------------------------	-----------------	-----------------	-----------------	-----------
ozomatli	0.575	0.480	0.617	-0.137
06gsp	0.581	0.500	0.614	-0.114
skunk206	0.583	0.513	0.609	-0.096
justinlee_24	0.590	0.549	0.604	-0.055
mjkrunner	0.569	0.487	0.601	-0.114
schwarze	0.598	0.596	0.599	-0.003
brianjw	0.576	0.520	0.599	-0.079
jfranco77	0.580	0.545	0.594	-0.049
mensu1954	0.578	0.560	0.584	-0.024
d_rock97	0.552	0.479	0.582	-0.103
wink0094	0.557	0.504	0.577	-0.073
ejstockman	0.557	0.502	0.576	-0.074
marinerrott	0.545	0.460	0.575	-0.115
milest	0.566	0.549	0.573	-0.024
rbow923	0.546	0.488	0.571	-0.083
tigerrott	0.561	0.537	0.570	-0.033
hebdomad	0.538	0.450	0.570	-0.119
discodemo	0.562	0.545	0.569	-0.024
jbohrman	0.544	0.483	0.567	-0.084
ledfoot	0.542	0.484	0.565	-0.081
mildnhazy	0.549	0.515	0.562	-0.047
PennQuaker	0.555	0.538	0.561	-0.024
pkearns	0.560	0.576	0.554	0.023
magicdreamer	0.537	0.500	0.553	-0.053
besterateam	0.536	0.495	0.552	-0.058
buddhagamer	0.543	0.520	0.552	-0.032
beauchamp	0.534	0.495	0.551	-0.056
thehuseman	0.553	0.562	0.551	0.011
mpitt76	0.527	0.473	0.547	-0.073
bottomlee	0.520	0.452	0.544	-0.092
ballsweatsux	0.544	0.543	0.544	-0.001
Jtpsops	0.545	0.548	0.544	0.004
crystalao	0.530	0.500	0.543	-0.043
barracuda3	0.529	0.496	0.541	-0.045
wildthings1	0.520	0.463	0.541	-0.077
Humdogs	0.534	0.517	0.540	-0.023
cstrohmier	0.529	0.502	0.540	-0.039
doctorcc	0.551	0.584	0.539	0.045
dougpalm	0.541	0.551	0.537	0.014
teamhydro	0.529	0.513	0.536	-0.023
NebHusker	0.534	0.536	0.533	0.002
jetscanes	0.538	0.553	0.531	0.022
redcped	0.524	0.513	0.528	-0.014
skinndogg	0.524	0.525	0.523	0.002
BigScungil	0.501	0.444	0.522	-0.078
Fusion27s	0.513	0.495	0.521	-0.026
bheid408	0.514	0.506	0.518	-0.012
odalisgagne	0.521	0.539	0.514	0.025
thunder1008	0.498	0.457	0.513	-0.057
dorkster	0.517	0.529	0.513	0.016
newarkwilder	0.506	0.509	0.505	0.004
wetwillytwo	0.497	0.476	0.505	-0.029
sford	0.494	0.464	0.505	-0.041
duhbigcat	0.486	0.444	0.501	-0.057
daddyzander	0.495	0.482	0.500	-0.018
cubbies84	0.484	0.450	0.496	-0.046
just4me	0.502	0.526	0.493	0.033
footballmm11	0.498	0.522	0.490	0.032
mickr9	0.494	0.504	0.490	0.014
Jdh34	0.483	0.475	0.486	-0.011
mllama54	0.495	0.527	0.482	0.045
contrarian23	0.474	0.458	0.481	-0.022
pfan	0.480	0.481	0.480	0.001
npg32433	0.485	0.500	0.479	0.021
chargingryno	0.488	0.511	0.478	0.032
nordawg	0.463	0.428	0.476	-0.048
calhoop	0.486	0.512	0.475	0.038
Chisock	0.485	0.520	0.472	0.048
thebubbaq	0.480	0.510	0.470	0.040
elvisgump	0.467	0.475	0.464	0.011
markeking	0.480	0.528	0.461	0.067
midknight	0.468	0.494	0.459	0.036
DarthDurron	0.448	0.423	0.457	-0.034
trd3	0.471	0.519	0.454	0.066
Sonofodin52	0.460	0.500	0.447	0.053
stroh23	0.449	0.458	0.446	0.012
gorbyruss	0.464	0.518	0.445	0.073
tracyr	0.456	0.488	0.445	0.043
MitchellBade	0.464	0.516	0.443	0.073
loyalcanuck	0.451	0.479	0.441	0.038
big_dowg	0.466	0.546	0.437	0.109
happyhours	0.444	0.472	0.435	0.037
cholatse	0.439	0.461	0.431	0.030
toddcommish	0.444	0.493	0.425	0.067
garmansouth	0.437	0.485	0.419	0.066
sjh0825	0.418	0.426	0.415	0.011
gigrant	0.434	0.507	0.412	0.095
northof49	0.426	0.504	0.401	0.104
jschirn	0.403	0.444	0.390	0.055
bigsteve12	0.408	0.511	0.369	0.142
deathdealer	0.408	0.538	0.363	0.175
marvin_katko	0.368	0.432	0.345	0.087
tridentric	0.378	0.472	0.344	0.128
Zachsmikle1	0.356	0.436	0.332	0.104
spoonfed	0.353	0.443	0.324	0.119
steelerfan19	0.219	0.414	0.165	0.249

Same table, sorted by difference. It looks like marinerrott could be the best team to miss round 2 (if he loses his World Series), based on this table. hebdomad is a close second.
.

Owner	Actual Win%	1-Run W%	2+Run W%	Diff
--------------------------	-----------------	-----------------	-----------------	-----------
ozomatli	0.575	0.480	0.617	-0.137
hebdomad	0.538	0.450	0.570	-0.119
marinerrott	0.545	0.460	0.575	-0.115
06gsp	0.581	0.500	0.614	-0.114
mjkrunner	0.569	0.487	0.601	-0.114
d_rock97	0.552	0.479	0.582	-0.103
skunk206	0.583	0.513	0.609	-0.096
bottomlee	0.520	0.452	0.544	-0.092
jbohrman	0.544	0.483	0.567	-0.084
rbow923	0.546	0.488	0.571	-0.083
ledfoot	0.542	0.484	0.565	-0.081
brianjw	0.576	0.520	0.599	-0.079
BigScungil	0.501	0.444	0.522	-0.078
wildthings1	0.520	0.463	0.541	-0.077
ejstockman	0.557	0.502	0.576	-0.074
wink0094	0.557	0.504	0.577	-0.073
mpitt76	0.527	0.473	0.547	-0.073
besterateam	0.536	0.495	0.552	-0.058
duhbigcat	0.486	0.444	0.501	-0.057
thunder1008	0.498	0.457	0.513	-0.057
beauchamp	0.534	0.495	0.551	-0.056
justinlee_24	0.590	0.549	0.604	-0.055
magicdreamer	0.537	0.500	0.553	-0.053
jfranco77	0.580	0.545	0.594	-0.049
nordawg	0.463	0.428	0.476	-0.048
mildnhazy	0.549	0.515	0.562	-0.047
cubbies84	0.484	0.450	0.496	-0.046
barracuda3	0.529	0.496	0.541	-0.045
crystalao	0.530	0.500	0.543	-0.043
sford	0.494	0.464	0.505	-0.041
cstrohmier	0.529	0.502	0.540	-0.039
DarthDurron	0.448	0.423	0.457	-0.034
tigerrott	0.561	0.537	0.570	-0.033
buddhagamer	0.543	0.520	0.552	-0.032
wetwillytwo	0.497	0.476	0.505	-0.029
Fusion27s	0.513	0.495	0.521	-0.026
discodemo	0.562	0.545	0.569	-0.024
milest	0.566	0.549	0.573	-0.024
mensu1954	0.578	0.560	0.584	-0.024
PennQuaker	0.555	0.538	0.561	-0.024
Humdogs	0.534	0.517	0.540	-0.023
teamhydro	0.529	0.513	0.536	-0.023
contrarian23	0.474	0.458	0.481	-0.022
daddyzander	0.495	0.482	0.500	-0.018
redcped	0.524	0.513	0.528	-0.014
bheid408	0.514	0.506	0.518	-0.012
Jdh34	0.483	0.475	0.486	-0.011
schwarze	0.598	0.596	0.599	-0.003
ballsweatsux	0.544	0.543	0.544	-0.001
pfan	0.480	0.481	0.480	0.001
skinndogg	0.524	0.525	0.523	0.002
NebHusker	0.534	0.536	0.533	0.002
Jtpsops	0.545	0.548	0.544	0.004
newarkwilder	0.506	0.509	0.505	0.004
thehuseman	0.553	0.562	0.551	0.011
sjh0825	0.418	0.426	0.415	0.011
elvisgump	0.467	0.475	0.464	0.011
stroh23	0.449	0.458	0.446	0.012
mickr9	0.494	0.504	0.490	0.014
dougpalm	0.541	0.551	0.537	0.014
dorkster	0.517	0.529	0.513	0.016
npg32433	0.485	0.500	0.479	0.021
jetscanes	0.538	0.553	0.531	0.022
pkearns	0.560	0.576	0.554	0.023
odalisgagne	0.521	0.539	0.514	0.025
cholatse	0.439	0.461	0.431	0.030
footballmm11	0.498	0.522	0.490	0.032
chargingryno	0.488	0.511	0.478	0.032
just4me	0.502	0.526	0.493	0.033
midknight	0.468	0.494	0.459	0.036
happyhours	0.444	0.472	0.435	0.037
calhoop	0.486	0.512	0.475	0.038
loyalcanuck	0.451	0.479	0.441	0.038
thebubbaq	0.480	0.510	0.470	0.040
tracyr	0.456	0.488	0.445	0.043
doctorcc	0.551	0.584	0.539	0.045
mllama54	0.495	0.527	0.482	0.045
Chisock	0.485	0.520	0.472	0.048
Sonofodin52	0.460	0.500	0.447	0.053
jschirn	0.403	0.444	0.390	0.055
trd3	0.471	0.519	0.454	0.066
garmansouth	0.437	0.485	0.419	0.066
toddcommish	0.444	0.493	0.425	0.067
markeking	0.480	0.528	0.461	0.067
gorbyruss	0.464	0.518	0.445	0.073
MitchellBade	0.464	0.516	0.443	0.073
marvin_katko	0.368	0.432	0.345	0.087
gigrant	0.434	0.507	0.412	0.095
Zachsmikle1	0.356	0.436	0.332	0.104
northof49	0.426	0.504	0.401	0.104
big_dowg	0.466	0.546	0.437	0.109
spoonfed	0.353	0.443	0.324	0.119
tridentric	0.378	0.472	0.344	0.128
bigsteve12	0.408	0.511	0.369	0.142
deathdealer	0.408	0.538	0.363	0.175
steelerfan19	0.219	0.414	0.165	0.249

Runs - Scoring & Prevention
.
It's always interesting to see which people focus on offense vs pitching/defense. Here is a table that sums up runs scored and runs allowed.
.

Owner	Actual Win%	Runs	Run Allow	Run Diff
--------------------------	-----------------	-----------------	-----------------	-----------------
wink0094	0.557	5398	4631	767
duhbigcat	0.486	5241	5061	180
d_rock97	0.552	5124	4358	766
skunk206	0.583	5104	4076	1028
wildthings1	0.520	5009	4542	467
jfranco77	0.580	4982	4007	975
justinlee_24	0.590	4955	4037	918
bottomlee	0.520	4929	4574	355
pkearns	0.560	4905	4539	366
schwarze	0.598	4901	3822	1079
stroh23	0.449	4863	5809	-946
thehuseman	0.553	4824	4302	522
mjkrunner	0.569	4793	4007	786
hebdomad	0.538	4768	4197	571
tigerrott	0.561	4754	4127	627
footballmm11	0.498	4745	4828	-83
redcped	0.524	4739	4387	352
dorkster	0.517	4733	4858	-125
BigScungil	0.501	4721	4637	84
NebHusker	0.534	4717	4235	482
newarkwilder	0.506	4714	4646	68
rbow923	0.546	4711	4004	707
Humdogs	0.534	4711	4382	329
Jtpsops	0.545	4704	4318	386
beauchamp	0.534	4695	4169	526
buddhagamer	0.543	4683	4039	644
mildnhazy	0.549	4678	3978	700
Chisock	0.485	4677	4884	-207
trd3	0.471	4673	5112	-439
jbohrman	0.544	4672	4105	567
ozomatli	0.575	4666	3667	999
06gsp	0.581	4666	3690	976
marinerrott	0.545	4665	4083	582
bheid408	0.514	4644	4474	170
pfan	0.480	4635	4798	-163
mensu1954	0.578	4631	3848	783
discodemo	0.562	4629	3854	775
ledfoot	0.542	4629	4017	612
contrarian23	0.474	4628	4936	-308
barracuda3	0.529	4625	4478	147
Fusion27s	0.513	4621	4255	366
jetscanes	0.538	4601	4347	254
milest	0.566	4579	3871	708
brianjw	0.576	4578	3564	1014
besterateam	0.536	4567	4403	164
tracyr	0.456	4551	4897	-346
markeking	0.480	4549	4798	-249
mpitt76	0.527	4544	4061	483
mickr9	0.494	4539	4933	-394
Jdh34	0.483	4530	4676	-146
ejstockman	0.557	4529	3946	583
thebubbaq	0.480	4524	4776	-252
loyalcanuck	0.451	4476	5021	-545
daddyzander	0.495	4471	4298	173
cubbies84	0.484	4463	4459	4
PennQuaker	0.555	4462	3867	595
nordawg	0.463	4461	4661	-200
midknight	0.468	4454	4748	-294
crystalao	0.530	4450	4083	367
doctorcc	0.551	4442	4151	291
odalisgagne	0.521	4424	4376	48
thunder1008	0.498	4421	4339	82
skinndogg	0.524	4418	4306	112
sford	0.494	4416	4399	17
gorbyruss	0.464	4408	4889	-481
chargingryno	0.488	4386	4189	197
mllama54	0.495	4385	4602	-217
cstrohmier	0.529	4377	4054	323
MitchellBade	0.464	4377	4500	-123
happyhours	0.444	4369	4877	-508
sjh0825	0.418	4365	5278	-913
dougpalm	0.541	4362	3949	413
ballsweatsux	0.544	4361	3890	471
gigrant	0.434	4336	5216	-880
toddcommish	0.444	4285	4899	-614
jschirn	0.403	4265	5299	-1034
spoonfed	0.353	4264	6320	-2056
wetwillytwo	0.497	4254	4496	-242
northof49	0.426	4250	5061	-811
elvisgump	0.467	4243	4457	-214
marvin_katko	0.368	4216	6303	-2087
calhoop	0.486	4202	4168	34
DarthDurron	0.448	4184	4541	-357
teamhydro	0.529	4178	3887	291
magicdreamer	0.537	4172	3752	420
Sonofodin52	0.460	4172	4671	-499
garmansouth	0.437	4099	4741	-642
big_dowg	0.466	4085	4384	-299
deathdealer	0.408	4075	5050	-975
cholatse	0.439	4074	5172	-1098
tridentric	0.378	3959	5305	-1346
just4me	0.502	3954	3903	51
Zachsmikle1	0.356	3924	5842	-1918
npg32433	0.485	3877	4214	-337
bigsteve12	0.408	3687	4700	-1013
steelerfan19	0.219	3235	6631	-3396

Same table, sorted by fewest runs allowed...
.

Owner	Actual Win%	Runs	Run Allow	Run Diff
--------------------------	-----------------	-----------------	-----------------	-----------------
brianjw	0.576	4578	3564	1014
ozomatli	0.575	4666	3667	999
06gsp	0.581	4666	3690	976
magicdreamer	0.537	4172	3752	420
schwarze	0.598	4901	3822	1079
mensu1954	0.578	4631	3848	783
discodemo	0.562	4629	3854	775
PennQuaker	0.555	4462	3867	595
milest	0.566	4579	3871	708
teamhydro	0.529	4178	3887	291
ballsweatsux	0.544	4361	3890	471
just4me	0.502	3954	3903	51
ejstockman	0.557	4529	3946	583
dougpalm	0.541	4362	3949	413
mildnhazy	0.549	4678	3978	700
rbow923	0.546	4711	4004	707
jfranco77	0.580	4982	4007	975
mjkrunner	0.569	4793	4007	786
ledfoot	0.542	4629	4017	612
justinlee_24	0.590	4955	4037	918
buddhagamer	0.543	4683	4039	644
cstrohmier	0.529	4377	4054	323
mpitt76	0.527	4544	4061	483
skunk206	0.583	5104	4076	1028
marinerrott	0.545	4665	4083	582
crystalao	0.530	4450	4083	367
jbohrman	0.544	4672	4105	567
tigerrott	0.561	4754	4127	627
doctorcc	0.551	4442	4151	291
calhoop	0.486	4202	4168	34
beauchamp	0.534	4695	4169	526
chargingryno	0.488	4386	4189	197
hebdomad	0.538	4768	4197	571
npg32433	0.485	3877	4214	-337
NebHusker	0.534	4717	4235	482
Fusion27s	0.513	4621	4255	366
daddyzander	0.495	4471	4298	173
thehuseman	0.553	4824	4302	522
skinndogg	0.524	4418	4306	112
Jtpsops	0.545	4704	4318	386
thunder1008	0.498	4421	4339	82
jetscanes	0.538	4601	4347	254
d_rock97	0.552	5124	4358	766
odalisgagne	0.521	4424	4376	48
Humdogs	0.534	4711	4382	329
big_dowg	0.466	4085	4384	-299
redcped	0.524	4739	4387	352
sford	0.494	4416	4399	17
besterateam	0.536	4567	4403	164
elvisgump	0.467	4243	4457	-214
cubbies84	0.484	4463	4459	4
bheid408	0.514	4644	4474	170
barracuda3	0.529	4625	4478	147
wetwillytwo	0.497	4254	4496	-242
MitchellBade	0.464	4377	4500	-123
pkearns	0.560	4905	4539	366
DarthDurron	0.448	4184	4541	-357
wildthings1	0.520	5009	4542	467
bottomlee	0.520	4929	4574	355
mllama54	0.495	4385	4602	-217
wink0094	0.557	5398	4631	767
BigScungil	0.501	4721	4637	84
newarkwilder	0.506	4714	4646	68
nordawg	0.463	4461	4661	-200
Sonofodin52	0.460	4172	4671	-499
Jdh34	0.483	4530	4676	-146
bigsteve12	0.408	3687	4700	-1013
garmansouth	0.437	4099	4741	-642
midknight	0.468	4454	4748	-294
thebubbaq	0.480	4524	4776	-252
pfan	0.480	4635	4798	-163
markeking	0.480	4549	4798	-249
footballmm11	0.498	4745	4828	-83
dorkster	0.517	4733	4858	-125
happyhours	0.444	4369	4877	-508
Chisock	0.485	4677	4884	-207
gorbyruss	0.464	4408	4889	-481
tracyr	0.456	4551	4897	-346
toddcommish	0.444	4285	4899	-614
mickr9	0.494	4539	4933	-394
contrarian23	0.474	4628	4936	-308
loyalcanuck	0.451	4476	5021	-545
deathdealer	0.408	4075	5050	-975
duhbigcat	0.486	5241	5061	180
northof49	0.426	4250	5061	-811
trd3	0.471	4673	5112	-439
cholatse	0.439	4074	5172	-1098
gigrant	0.434	4336	5216	-880
sjh0825	0.418	4365	5278	-913
jschirn	0.403	4265	5299	-1034
tridentric	0.378	3959	5305	-1346
stroh23	0.449	4863	5809	-946
Zachsmikle1	0.356	3924	5842	-1918
marvin_katko	0.368	4216	6303	-2087
spoonfed	0.353	4264	6320	-2056
steelerfan19	0.219	3235	6631	-3396

Sure, I may have been lucky with my 1-run game record, but I still had the best run differential, overall.
.

Owner	Actual Win%	Runs	Run Allow	Run Diff
--------------------------	-----------------	-----------------	-----------------	-----------------
schwarze	0.598	4901	3822	1079
skunk206	0.583	5104	4076	1028
brianjw	0.576	4578	3564	1014
ozomatli	0.575	4666	3667	999
06gsp	0.581	4666	3690	976
jfranco77	0.580	4982	4007	975
justinlee_24	0.590	4955	4037	918
mjkrunner	0.569	4793	4007	786
mensu1954	0.578	4631	3848	783
discodemo	0.562	4629	3854	775
wink0094	0.557	5398	4631	767
d_rock97	0.552	5124	4358	766
milest	0.566	4579	3871	708
rbow923	0.546	4711	4004	707
mildnhazy	0.549	4678	3978	700
buddhagamer	0.543	4683	4039	644
tigerrott	0.561	4754	4127	627
ledfoot	0.542	4629	4017	612
PennQuaker	0.555	4462	3867	595
ejstockman	0.557	4529	3946	583
marinerrott	0.545	4665	4083	582
hebdomad	0.538	4768	4197	571
jbohrman	0.544	4672	4105	567
beauchamp	0.534	4695	4169	526
thehuseman	0.553	4824	4302	522
mpitt76	0.527	4544	4061	483
NebHusker	0.534	4717	4235	482
ballsweatsux	0.544	4361	3890	471
wildthings1	0.520	5009	4542	467
magicdreamer	0.537	4172	3752	420
dougpalm	0.541	4362	3949	413
Jtpsops	0.545	4704	4318	386
crystalao	0.530	4450	4083	367
Fusion27s	0.513	4621	4255	366
pkearns	0.560	4905	4539	366
bottomlee	0.520	4929	4574	355
redcped	0.524	4739	4387	352
Humdogs	0.534	4711	4382	329
cstrohmier	0.529	4377	4054	323
teamhydro	0.529	4178	3887	291
doctorcc	0.551	4442	4151	291
jetscanes	0.538	4601	4347	254
chargingryno	0.488	4386	4189	197
duhbigcat	0.486	5241	5061	180
daddyzander	0.495	4471	4298	173
bheid408	0.514	4644	4474	170
besterateam	0.536	4567	4403	164
barracuda3	0.529	4625	4478	147
skinndogg	0.524	4418	4306	112
BigScungil	0.501	4721	4637	84
thunder1008	0.498	4421	4339	82
newarkwilder	0.506	4714	4646	68
just4me	0.502	3954	3903	51
odalisgagne	0.521	4424	4376	48
calhoop	0.486	4202	4168	34
sford	0.494	4416	4399	17
cubbies84	0.484	4463	4459	4
footballmm11	0.498	4745	4828	-83
MitchellBade	0.464	4377	4500	-123
dorkster	0.517	4733	4858	-125
Jdh34	0.483	4530	4676	-146
pfan	0.480	4635	4798	-163
nordawg	0.463	4461	4661	-200
Chisock	0.485	4677	4884	-207
elvisgump	0.467	4243	4457	-214
mllama54	0.495	4385	4602	-217
wetwillytwo	0.497	4254	4496	-242
markeking	0.480	4549	4798	-249
thebubbaq	0.480	4524	4776	-252
midknight	0.468	4454	4748	-294
big_dowg	0.466	4085	4384	-299
contrarian23	0.474	4628	4936	-308
npg32433	0.485	3877	4214	-337
tracyr	0.456	4551	4897	-346
DarthDurron	0.448	4184	4541	-357
mickr9	0.494	4539	4933	-394
trd3	0.471	4673	5112	-439
gorbyruss	0.464	4408	4889	-481
Sonofodin52	0.460	4172	4671	-499
happyhours	0.444	4369	4877	-508
loyalcanuck	0.451	4476	5021	-545
toddcommish	0.444	4285	4899	-614
garmansouth	0.437	4099	4741	-642
northof49	0.426	4250	5061	-811
gigrant	0.434	4336	5216	-880
sjh0825	0.418	4365	5278	-913
stroh23	0.449	4863	5809	-946
deathdealer	0.408	4075	5050	-975
bigsteve12	0.408	3687	4700	-1013
jschirn	0.403	4265	5299	-1034
cholatse	0.439	4074	5172	-1098
tridentric	0.378	3959	5305	-1346
Zachsmikle1	0.356	3924	5842	-1918
spoonfed	0.353	4264	6320	-2056
marvin_katko	0.368	4216	6303	-2087
steelerfan19	0.219	3235	6631	-3396

Let me know if you want to see any other tables.

Do you have the advanced standings at the all star breaks?

It would be interesting to compare results in the second half with (a) results in the first half, (b) exp win % in the first half and (c) record in 2+ run games in the first half. When I did that one time (b) was the best correlate, which was surprising because I really expected it to be (c).

Which of these best predicts wins, or best predicts the others, is arguably the one that is best indicator of skill rather than luck. I still have a gut feeling that it's record in 2+ run games, but it would be good to back that up.

I'm not sure what it means, but my actual (.545), expected (.542), 1-run (.548), and 2+ run (.544) winning percentages were all unbelievably close.

Does that mean I had pretty much no luck, good or bad?

Posted by brianjw on 8/9/2020 10:09:00 PM (view original):
Do you have the advanced standings at the all star breaks?

It would be interesting to compare results in the second half with (a) results in the first half, (b) exp win % in the first half and (c) record in 2+ run games in the first half. When I did that one time (b) was the best correlate, which was surprising because I really expected it to be (c).

Which of these best predicts wins, or best predicts the others, is arguably the one that is best indicator of skill rather than luck. I still have a gut feeling that it's record in 2+ run games, but it would be good to back that up.

Sorry - I never got the advanced standings at the half-way point. (I did ask for ozomatli for them).

Posted by Jtpsops on 8/9/2020 11:18:00 PM (view original):
I'm not sure what it means, but my actual (.545), expected (.542), 1-run (.548), and 2+ run (.544) winning percentages were all unbelievably close.

Does that mean I had pretty much no luck, good or bad?

In a nutshell, you were luck-neutral.

So top 3 in scoring, high expected win %, and terrible 1-run game luck... sounds about right.

I was well short on innings and pas so a bunch of blowout losses skew it all for me like you said...