Yeah, given that he's signed so cheaply next year and would stupid to try and play through the season to get to the open market, I don't think the deal is going to be that much of an overpay on the moranis scale.
People look at the maximum average total value of Kaepernick's deal and act like that's some sort of floor for Wilson. But that deal is so team friendly (his only guarantees are against injury, his base salary drops 2 million if he wasn't 1st/2nd team All-Pro and didn't take the team to the Super Bowl to the year prior) that it's probably not a fair comparison. Kaepernick decided to give up guarantees in exchange for a higher potential ceiling, and it looks like that might turn out to be a bust.
Unless Wilson goes the same route, I think 19-20 million per is the absolute max he gets.
Also, back to the blaming Kaepernick's contract for the 49er woes - he only counted for about 3 million dollars against the cap this year.
12/18/2014 11:14 AM (edited)