Season 74, D3 Topic

The Player / Team / Conference Scores have all been updated for this season.  Millsaps is looking dominant again but also JsaJsa is beginning to make his presence felt.
Player Scores

Also the Coach Scores (Season 73) have been posted.  Check it out.
Coach Scores
6/17/2014 6:37 PM
Predicted Wins: onedrive.live.com/redir
Rosters: onedrive.live.com/redir

Predicted Tournament Field:

Rank Team Conference Wins Conf Wins Rating NT Seed
1 Kenyon N. Coast 24.40 15.28 58.18 1 1
2 Millsaps University 23.44 15.20 58.04 1 1
3 Johnson and Wales Great NE 21.00 14.26 56.43 1 1
4 Webster St. Louis 24.23 15.49 56.05 1 1
5 Whittier S. Cal. 23.82 15.77 55.44 1 2
6 Chapman Northwest 22.89 14.45 55.34 1 2
7 Ohio Wesleyan N. Coast 21.07 12.75 55.28 1 2
8 U.S. Merchant Marines Skyline 22.72 15.64 55.24 1 2
9 Lynchburg ODAC 22.84 15.16 55.07 1 3
10 S. Vermont Great NE 19.94 12.56 54.92 1 3
11 Penn St. Altoona CC 21.39 14.75 54.85 1 3
12 Vassar Empire 8 24.45 15.23 54.84 1 3
13 Wittenberg N. Coast 20.68 12.26 54.82 1 4
14 Sewanee University 21.54 12.20 54.82 1 4
15 Dickinson Centennial 21.47 15.57 54.63 1 4
16 Susquehanna CC 21.30 14.24 54.08 1 4
17 Babson Penn. 23.98 15.67 53.92 1 5
18 Menlo Northwest 21.68 13.20 53.89 1 5
19 Wisconsin, La Crosse Wisconsin 23.37 15.39 53.75 1 5
20 Ursinus Centennial 21.35 15.15 53.60 1 5
21 Rivier Great NE 18.30 10.62 53.58 1 6
22 Willamette Northwest 20.20 12.82 53.51 1 6
23 Emmanuel Great NE 18.38 10.55 53.37 1 6
24 Emory and Henry ODAC 20.53 14.07 53.29 1 6
25 Utica Empire 8 23.12 14.32 53.19 1 7
26 Christopher Newport USA South 19.54 13.17 52.94 1 7
27 Capital Ohio 21.58 14.00 52.93 1 7
28 Lebanon Valley CC 21.13 13.96 52.90 1 7
29 Suffolk Great NE 17.10 9.46 52.76 1 8
30 Lehman College CUNY 21.35 15.15 52.67 1 8
31 Greensboro USA South 19.48 12.83 52.66 1 8
32 Emory University 16.08 9.13 52.57 1 8
33 Wabash N. Coast 16.40 9.06 52.51 1 9
34 Palm Beach Atlantic USA South 19.72 13.08 52.46 1 9
35 Hiram N. Coast 18.21 9.34 52.45 1 9
36 Calvin Michigan 20.79 14.90 52.25 1 9
37 Augustana (IL) CCIW 22.40 15.17 52.21 1 10
38 Aurora St. Louis 19.10 12.29 52.01 1 10
39 Mississippi College Iowa IAC 21.08 15.18 51.99 1 10
40 Hendrix University 15.79 8.20 51.98 1 10
41 Mount St. Mary Skyline 20.90 14.29 51.91 1 11
42 N. Carolina Wesleyan USA South 16.87 12.31 51.90 1 11
43 Eureka Michigan 22.29 14.89 51.89 1 11
44 W. New England Great NE 15.83 7.97 51.86 1 11
45 Daniel Webster Great NE 16.43 8.12 51.81 1 12
46 Earlham N. Coast 15.60 8.56 51.81 1 12
47 Dallas University 14.85 9.03 51.76 1 12
48 Louisiana University 15.08 8.59 51.56 1 12
49 Stillman University 18.22 8.62 51.56 1 13
50 Newbury Great NE 14.84 7.56 51.53 1 13
51 Wooster N. Coast 12.31 7.67 51.51 1 13
52 Hardin-Simmons ASC 19.77 13.34 51.37 1 13
54 Bowdoin NESCAC 22.87 14.69 51.21 1 14
61 UMass, Dartmouth Little E. 18.78 13.83 50.93 1 14
62 Mary Washington Capital 21.00 13.64 50.91 1 14
63 Wentworth Tech. Coast 18.51 13.83 50.85 1 14
67 Mt. St. Joseph Heartland 21.83 14.11 50.70 1 15
71 Case Western Reserve Upstate 22.92 14.32 50.39 1 15
73 Ramapo New Jersey 21.35 14.21 50.28 1 15
77 Castleton St. N.Atlantic 22.84 14.52 50.09 1 15
81 Hamline Minn. IAC 19.12 13.53 50.00 1 16
96 Plattsburgh St. SUNYAC 20.17 13.59 49.14 1 16
113 Carnegie Mellon Freedom 19.37 13.35 48.40 1 16
117 Beloit Midwest 19.34 12.93 48.31 1 16
















6/17/2014 9:22 PM
Overrated already I see.
6/17/2014 10:34 PM
Well jsa, don't be so sure. The Starr Engine also threw out predictions similar to Bullman's. =SE has Millsaps at #1 and Kenyon at #2. Either way, you better make the championship game or everyone's going to be laughing at you.

=SE's Final 4 predictions are up on the site: (Gosh I'd love to have bullman's permission to make a special page for all of his stuff)

http://starrengine.yolasite.com/
6/17/2014 11:08 PM
Feel free to put any of my stuff on a page on your site, starr.
6/18/2014 12:03 AM
Well, since all the cool kids are doing it, here we go with the Way Too Early Final Four...

Way too early Final Four

Chapman (shine06) went 22-9 last season and was ousted in the first round of the national tournament. Shine is in his fourth season at the helm of the program with a 56-33 record to show for his first three seasons. Chapman's strength will be down low where seniors Thomas Gallaway and Ronnie Kelley combined to average nearly 17 points per game last season and should push that total higher this season. The team is also well poised with three seniors and five juniors who should be nice and mature in time for the post-season.

Johnson & Wales (spasticity) was 33-2 last year, bookending its season with losses to Millsaps, the latter coming in the national title game. This year's crew starts 55/50/56 in the Ath/Spd/Def trifecta and, like Chapman, has 3 seniors and five juniors on the roster. Unlike Chapman, J-Dub's strength is likely on the perimeter where Mark White and David Nanney both begin the year in the 700 club. Nanney has a ridonkulous 100 perimeter rating, probably why he averaged nearly 19 points per game last season. White was good for another 13 as a redshirt junior. No reason not to expect spas to make another deep run.

Millsaps (brianxavier) ran the table last season with a 35-0 national championship campaign. He could be right back there in the promised land again with a team sporting 10 upperclassmen. The Ath is a solid 58 and the Def, while down from its rating in the 70s last season, is still plenty salty beginning the year at 63. Senior Shon Leos averaged nearly 15 points last season and has almost 1,000 to show for his career already. Pierre Leigh also looks like he could have a monster campaign on the horizon. If there's a vulnerability for teams to exploit while looking to hang an L on Millsaps for the first time in more than a season, could it lie with a team pass rating that's just 30?

Whittier (windixies) was a Final Four program last season with a 29-5 mark. He's got the youngest roster of the four I'm featuring with only seven upperclassmen, but the team is already 54/50/52 to begin the year. Eddie Dickey averaged better than 10 points as a sophomore and looks to work his way up the ladder even more this season. Meanwhile, we don't know who Michal Rykaczewski will haunt more in his senior season, play-by-play announcers or opposing post defenders as he attacks with an LP of 99 and averaged 14 points a year ago.


UNDERRATED....if I had to go darkhorse this season, watch out for No. 16 and Sim-coached Lebanon Valley. The school hasn't danced in the national tournament since Season 39, but has a great superclass setup of six seniors and five juniors. The ATH value is lacking, but it still isn't a school I'd want to see on my schedule this year. We'll get a feel for just how good they are in the non-conference season as a host of humans spotted this power roster for non-conference fodder. Wooster gets first crack.

Staying in the Centennial, I also wouldn't go to sleep on zeuspole and Susquehanna, and not just because it's zeuspole and Susquehanna. Ranked No. 20 in the preseason, the number looks like a sick joke. This is a team that could easily be 10 slots higher and still potentially underrated. The LP rating of 23 might be a bit of a concern, but I'd be stunned not to see this group ranked higher than 20 when the dust settles at season's end for last year's PIT champion.
6/18/2014 12:37 AM
Hey guys, I've got another question if you don't mind. What is your advice on depth chart fatigue settings? Do you have the starters on Getting Tired and subs on Fairly Fresh? I'd like to hear your thoughts on that. Also good luck to everybody as the season starts tonight. I'm hoping on making any kind of postseason tourney
6/18/2014 11:22 AM
I usually have balanced teams with plenty of depth so i use fairly fresh on everybody. However, if your starters are a lot better than your reserves then putting them at getting tired is a good idea.
6/18/2014 12:23 PM
+1 on Carson's advice. There are some situations other than what Carson mentioned where you might consider using "getting tired" for some of your starters. You can send me a sitemail about it if you like and I'll go into more detail there, but think of "fairly fresh" as the ideal setting for every player and never set anyone to "tired" or "very tired" unless you are trying to lose to a #16 seed in the first round of the NT.
6/18/2014 12:58 PM
Ok thanks guys
6/18/2014 1:13 PM
Is pseudochamp planning on doing the GotD and Carson 330 SotD? They were pretty interesting when I read through last season's thread.
6/18/2014 7:49 PM
Apologies but I'm currently on vacation and returning this Sunday, so the GotD write-ups will get a late start this season. If someone wants to cover the first couple days, fire away, otherwise I'll post either Sunday or Monday. Good luck this season everybody.
6/18/2014 8:41 PM
Also, posting to the forums from a cruise ship! Boom!
6/18/2014 8:42 PM
I'll give it my best shot but can't promise the best results.
Disclaimer: I'm doing this on mobile so no bold headlines or cool formatting :)

GotN:
#4 Johnson and Wales (0-0) (spasticity) @ #5 Millsaps (0-0) (brianxavier)
Two DIII powerhouses will treat us to the start off the 74th season as Johnson and Wales will travel to Jackson, Missouri. Expect it to be every bit as exciting as last year which ended with Millsaps pulling off a 3 point victory. Millsaps will also get the 1 point spread due to being the home team. Either team could still be dancing come the Final Four and this will give us an early look of two solid teams.
It's also worth noting that Millsaps is on a 35 game win streak and we will see if spasticity will be able to snap that streak.

Matches Worth Noting:
Wooster @ #16 Lebanon Valley, #20 Susquehanna @ Aurora, #21 South Vermont @ Mississippi College, Dallas @ #25 Calvin, SUNY Farmingdale @ California Tech.(May or may not be biased :p)

Blowout Watch:
#1 Vassar(-62 spread) @ Waynesburg - Waynesburg fans might want to stay at home if they don't want to witness the slaughter that will take place

Good luck to everyone as Season #74 is officially underway!!
6/19/2014 11:27 AM (edited)
Three cheers for Tim for picking up the slack!
6/19/2014 10:54 AM
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Season 74, D3 Topic

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