Posted by hockey1984 on 5/2/2023 11:46:00 AM (view original):
I remember forever ago someone (probably mikeT) said that a pitcher that is pitching the next day that has health of 100 is better rested then a pitcher pitching the next day that has health 80(100). Seems odd to me but has anyone noticed this one way or the other?
Let's say you have a relief pitcher with 70/25 Dur/Stam. He does not pitch in games 1-5 so is well rested. His fatigue level shows 100. In game 6 he throws 20 pitches. After game 6 and before game 7 his fatigue level will still show 100. Then in game 7 he throws another 20 pitches. After game 7 his fatigue level will be less than 100, probably something like 25(95). Anyone who has paid attention to their pitching staffs has noticed this.
Fact: He threw 20 pitches both times. After game 6 his fatigue stayed at 100. After game 7 his fatigue dropped way down. Obviously not all 100 fatigue levels are equal. This is not opinion, this is how the game plays out.
Opinion: I don't have any hard facts for this.....While it is fact that not all 100 fatigue levels are the same, I believe that the
effectiveness of all pitchers at 100 fatigue level is the same regardless of what their true fatigue level is
until their fatigue level drops below 100 at some point in the game. It is only after a pitcher becomes tired (fatigue drops below 100) that their effectiveness starts to drop. The reason well rested pitchers seem to perform better than slightly rested pitchers (both at 100 to start the game) is because slightly rested pitchers drop below 100 much sooner in their outing than well rested ones do.