Week 1 NFL Projections

BtB Previews Week 1 in Fantasy Football
By Paul Bessire, WhatIfSports.com
September 4th, 2007

NFL Football is here. With all of the work already done on our end, we figured we would share our comprehensive, week-by-week fantasy football projections with our users, as the focus of our weekly BtB feature. This thorough analysis and statistical evaluation of every player and team in the NFL is part of a broader endeavor with FOXSports.com's Fantasy Football. Each regular season game is simulated 61 times, with the averages of those games being our final predicted outcome. This allows us to account for ever player and stat. As Rosters and depth charts are up-to-date and as accurate as possible as of the Monday before each week's games. We will update these projections each week on Tuesday morning. The same is true for the widget that appears on this page and includes game scores.

To view a pop-up with positional rankings, please click on one of the links below. Good luck this season!

Quarterback Running Back Wide Receiver Tight End
Kicker Team Defense Individual Defense

Overall rankings

1.Peyton ManningQBColts21.7
2.Frank GoreRB49ers21.2
3.Joseph AddaiRBColts19.5
4.Larry JohnsonRBChiefs19.4
5.Matt HasselbeckQBSeahawks19.3
6.Jeff GarciaQBBuccaneers19.1
7.Steven JacksonRBRams18.5
8.LaDainian TomlinsonRBChargers18.4
9.Jon KitnaQBLions18.3
10.Shaun AlexanderRBSeahawks18.2
11.Daunte CulpepperQBRaiders17.7
12.Charlie FryeQBBrowns17.6
13.Tarvaris JacksonQBVikings17.6
14.Alex SmithQB49ers17.5
15.Laurence MaroneyRBPatriots17.1
16.Carson PalmerQBBengals16.9
17.Jake DelhommeQBPanthers16.2
18.Marc BulgerQBRams16.1
19.Tom BradyQBPatriots16.0
20.David GarrardQBJaguars16.0
21.Brian WestbrookRBEagles15.4
22.Tony RomoQBCowboys15.4
23.Drew BreesQBSaints15.3
24.Ronnie BrownRBDolphins15.3
25.Travis HenryRBBroncos15.3
26.Roy WilliamsWRLions14.8
27.Matt SchaubQBTexans14.5
28.Damon HuardQBChiefs14.4
29.Matt LeinartQBCardinals14.3
30.Ben RoethlisbergerQBSteelers14.3
31.Marvin HarrisonWRColts14.2
32.Donovan McNabbQBEagles14.1
33.Ahman GreenRBTexans13.6
34.Hines WardWRSteelers13.6
35.Edgerrin JamesRBCardinals13.5
36.Willis McGaheeRBRavens13.1
37.Steve McNairQBRavens13.1
38.Jay CutlerQBBroncos13.1
39.Reggie BushRBSaints13.0
40.Jason CampbellQBRedskins13.0
41.Rudi JohnsonRBBengals13.0
42.Maurice Jones-DrewRBJaguars12.9
43.Braylon EdwardsWRBrowns12.9
44.Reggie WayneWRColts12.9
45.Tatum BellRBLions12.8
46.Carnell WilliamsRBBuccaneers12.6
47.Vince YoungQBTitans12.3
48.Andre JohnsonWRTexans12.2
49.Fred TaylorRBJaguars12.0
50.Chester TaylorRBVikings12.0
51.J.P. LosmanQBBills12.0
52.Joey HarringtonQBFalcons11.9
53.Chad JohnsonWRBengals11.9
54.Cedric BensonRBBears11.9
55.Deion BranchWRSeahawks11.9
56.Eli ManningQBGiants11.9
57.Marion Barber IIIRBCowboys11.8
59.Brett FavreQBPackers11.8
60.Steve SmithWRPanthers11.8
61.DeShaun FosterRBPanthers11.7
62.Philip RiversQBChargers11.7
63.Marques ColstonWRSaints11.7
64.Javon WalkerWRBroncos11.6
65.Clinton PortisRBRedskins11.6
66.Calvin JohnsonWRLions11.6
67.Deuce McAllisterRBSaints11.5
68.Adrian PetersonRBVikings11.5
69.Trent GreenQBDolphins11.3
70.Kellen WinslowTEBrowns11.1
71.Rex GrossmanQBBears11.1
72.Anquan BoldinWRCardinals10.8
75.Torry HoltWRRams10.6
76.Larry FitzgeraldWRCardinals10.5
77.Santana MossWRRedskins10.5
78.Terrell OwensWRCowboys10.4
79.Lee EvansWRBills10.3
80.Jason ElamKBroncos10.3
81.Julius JonesRBCowboys10.2
82.DeAngelo WilliamsRBPanthers10.2
83.Jason HansonKLions10.2
84.Ronald CurryWRRaiders10.1
85.D.J. HackettWRSeahawks10.0
86.Plaxico BurressWRGiants10.0
87.Brandon JacobsRBGiants9.8
88.Thomas JonesRBJets9.8
89.Jay FeelyKDolphins9.8
90.Darrell JacksonWR49ers9.7
91.Selvin YoungRBBroncos9.5
92.Brandon JacksonRBPackers9.5
93.LaMont JordanRBRaiders9.5
94.Adam VinatieriKColts9.4
96.Sebastian JanikowskiKRaiders9.3
97.Nate KaedingKChargers9.3
98.Phil DawsonKBrowns9.0
99.Rian LindellKBills9.0
100.Chad PenningtonQBJets9.0
101.Tony GonzalezTEChiefs9.0
102.Joe HornWRFalcons9.0
103.T.J. HoushmandzadehWRBengals8.9
104.Joey GallowayWRBuccaneers8.9
105.Joe JureviciusWRBrowns8.8
106.Marshawn LynchRBBills8.7
107.John KasayKPanthers8.7
108.Shayne GrahamKBengals8.6
110.Travis WilsonWRBrowns8.5
111.Jerry PorterWRRaiders8.4
112.Vernand MorencyRBPackers8.3
113.Jeff WilkinsKRams8.3
114.Jeff ReedKSteelers8.3
115.Josh BrownKSeahawks8.3
116.Drew BennettWRRams8.1
117.Mason CrosbyKPackers8.0
118.Nate WashingtonWRSteelers8.0
120.Johnnie Lee HigginsWRRaiders8.0
121.Warrick DunnRBFalcons8.0
122.Maurice StovallWRBuccaneers7.9
123.Randy MossWRPatriots7.9
124.Jerious NorwoodRBFalcons7.9
125.Mark ClaytonWRRavens7.9
126.Matt StoverKRavens7.9
127.Charlie BatchQBSteelers7.9
128.Chris ChambersWRDolphins7.9
129.David AkersKEagles7.9
130.Bernard BerrianWRBears7.9
131.Neil RackersKCardinals7.8
133.Donald DriverWRPackers7.7
135.Reggie BrownWREagles7.6
136.Robbie GouldKBears7.6
137.Troy WilliamsonWRVikings7.5
138.Brady QuinnQBBrowns7.5
139.Nick FolkKCowboys7.5
140.Jamal LewisRBBrowns7.4
141.Todd HeapTERavens7.4
142.Joe NedneyK49ers7.3
143.Ryan LongwellKVikings7.3
144.Shaun SuishamKRedskins7.2
145.Laveranues ColesWRJets7.2
146.Vernon DavisTE49ers7.2
147.Jason WittenTECowboys7.1
148.Donte' StallworthWRPatriots7.1
149.Justin MedlockKChiefs7.1
150.Josh ScobeeKJaguars7.1
151.Cedrick WilsonWRSteelers7.1
153.Mike FurreyWRLions6.9
155.Muhsin MuhammadWRBears6.8
156.Bobby WadeWRVikings6.8
157.Mike AndersonRBRavens6.8
158.Jerricho CotcheryWRJets6.8
159.Matt BryantKBuccaneers6.7
160.Olindo MareKSaints6.7
163.Michael BennettRBChiefs6.7
164.Antonio GatesTEChargers6.6
165.Ladell BettsRBRedskins6.5
168.Bobby EngramWRSeahawks6.4
169.Vincent JacksonWRChargers6.4
170.Devery HendersonWRSaints6.4
171.Travis TaylorWRRaiders6.4
174.Brandon MarshallWRBroncos6.2
175.Jacoby JonesWRTexans6.2
177.Reuben DroughnsRBGiants6.2
178.Michael KoenenPFalcons6.1
180.LenDale WhiteRBTitans6.0
181.Jeremy ShockeyTEGiants5.9
182.Willie ParkerRBSteelers5.9
183.Jesse ChatmanRBDolphins5.9
185.Zach MillerTERaiders5.8
186.Ernest WilfordWRJaguars5.8
187.David BostonWRBuccaneers5.7
188.Stephen GostkowskiKPatriots5.7
189.Greg JenningsWRPackers5.7
190.Kris BrownKTexans5.6
191.Ron DayneRBTexans5.6
192.Marty BookerWRDolphins5.6
193.Owen DanielsTETexans5.5
194.Willie ReidWRSteelers5.5
195.Josh McCownQBRaiders5.5
196.Dwayne JarrettWRPanthers5.5
197.Samie ParkerWRChiefs5.5
198.Chris BrownRBTitans5.5
199.Robert FergusonWRVikings5.3

* The individual players and defensive teams are ranked based entirely on projected weekly fantasy points using the FOX Fantasy Football Default Scoring where for QBs, RBs, WRs and TE, all TDs are 6 points, each 25 yards passing are 1 point, interceptions are -2 points, fumbles lost are -2 points, each ten yards receiving are 1 point and two-point conversions are 2 points. For kickers, all extra points are 1 point and all field goals are at least 3 points with an extra bonus point for field goals made over 40 yards and another bonus point for field goals made over 50 yards. Individual defensive players (linked to below, but not inlcuded in overall rankings) earn 1 point for each solo tackle, 1 point for each sack, 2 points for each interception and six points for each touchdown. Team defenses include special teams and are treated similarly for sacks, interceptions and touchdown returns, while a more complex system, based on the outcome of each individual game, is utilized for points allowed per game.

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