CFB Power Rankings

10/20/2008 Rankings
By Paul Bessire,
October 20th, 2008 utilizes its NCAA football simulation to present the most comprehensive, deterministic and unbiased ranking of all teams. We simulated every possible DI FBS match-up one hundred times, and used the winning percentages from 700,000+ games to evaluate every team. All 120 teams are ranked below with their average points for and against from the simulated games. Simulations are based on updated, strength-of-schedule-adjusted stats, so significant week-to-week changes could occur.

Teams Ranked by Winning Percentage
(everyone plays everyone 100 times)

 TeamChangeWin PctPF/GPA/G
1.Texas Longhorns098.3%56.89.2
2.Oklahoma State Cowboys+296.9%49.415.4
3.Oklahoma Sooners095.1%45.315.0
4.USC Trojans+395.0%44.610.0
5.Penn State Nittany Lions-394.8%45.010.9
6.Alabama Crimson Tide090.1%38.010.1
7.Missouri Tigers-289.9%42.820.6
8.GA Tech Yellow Jackets+289.2%33.211.8
9.Tulsa Golden Hurricane+588.8%49.623.1
10.Georgia Bulldogs+188.6%39.114.5
11.Boise State Broncos+288.5%39.112.2
12.Florida Gators086.8%37.714.3
13.Ball State Cardinals-486.0%40.919.0
14.Texas Tech Red Raiders-684.7%40.717.9
15.Ohio State Buckeyes+783.6%30.311.9
16.Florida State Seminoles+282.7%30.615.2
17.Utah Utes-182.3%36.215.1
18.TCU Horned Frogs+180.2%29.511.0
19.Pittsburgh Panthers+1777.2%28.317.0
20.Boston College Eagles+776.5%26.915.8
 TeamChangeWin PctPF/GPA/G
21.Illinois Fighting Illini+2076.2%33.022.0
22.South Florida Bulls+375.9%33.516.4
23.North Carolina Tar Heels-675.3%29.320.3
24.Iowa Hawkeyes+475.2%29.518.1
25.Kansas Jayhawks-573.9%29.320.4
26.Nebraska Cornhuskers+572.8%31.623.2
27.Air Force Falcons+1271.2%32.319.9
28.LSU Tigers+470.4%29.618.2
29.California Golden Bears-1469.2%28.618.6
30.Oregon Ducks+369.2%29.819.3
31.Arizona Wildcats+1269.1%27.318.3
32.Cincinnati Bearcats+267.2%30.519.5
33.Brigham Young Cougars-1067.0%29.419.2
34.Minn. Golden Gophers-465.7%27.822.0
35.Nevada Wolf Pack+765.5%30.624.5
36.Maryland Terrapins+165.2%26.022.0
37.Oregon State Beavers-1165.0%27.720.8
38.Northwestern Wildcats-364.5%24.218.5
39.Michigan State Spartans-1864.1%24.820.6
40.Northern Illinois Huskies+1962.3%25.320.5
 TeamChangeWin PctPF/GPA/G
41.Arkansas St. Indians+860.6%26.923.5
42.W. Virginia Mountaineers+960.0%22.020.4
43.Clemson Tigers+258.7%21.922.6
44.W. Michigan Broncos-458.7%25.622.2
45.WF Demon Deacons-1657.6%19.320.0
46.Troy Trojans+1457.3%26.920.3
47.Virginia Tech Hokies-2356.0%20.721.8
48.Mississippi Rebels055.5%25.522.4
49.Houston Cougars+454.9%28.224.3
50.Kansas State Wildcats-354.8%25.026.4
51.Wisconsin Badgers-154.2%22.422.5
52.S. Carolina Gamecocks-854.1%20.719.4
53.Kentucky Wildcats+1352.3%18.618.2
54.Connecticut Huskies-251.6%25.021.3
55.C. Michigan Chippewas+1551.3%23.624.1
56.Miami (FL) Hurricanes+1951.0%18.222.2
57.Navy Midshipmen-1951.0%28.525.5
58.Louisville Cardinals-251.0%25.522.7
59.San Jose State Spartans+250.8%17.519.4
60.Fresno State Bulldogs+750.7%28.926.9
 TeamChangeWin PctPF/GPA/G
61.Baylor Bears-1548.4%23.623.6
62.Tennessee Volunteers+1748.2%20.321.3
63.Arizona St. Sun Devils-547.6%22.024.1
64.East Carolina Pirates+1847.6%22.922.3
65.Virginia Cavaliers-1146.6%16.522.7
66.Purdue Boilermakers+546.2%19.624.7
67.Stanford Cardinal-544.8%21.524.7
68.New Mexico State Aggies-1344.7%21.126.3
69.Duke Blue Devils-644.4%17.425.0
70.LA-Laf Ragin' Cajuns+444.0%25.630.0
71.Akron Zips+542.7%21.426.8
72.Arkansas Razorbacks-442.0%22.025.6
73.Rice Owls+841.5%24.627.7
74.Indiana Hoosiers-1740.9%20.528.0
75.Vanderbilt Commodores-1139.8%16.622.3
76.UNLV Rebels-439.0%22.830.8
77.Hawaii Warriors-438.9%20.825.2
78.Colorado Buffaloes038.5%14.924.2
79.Notre Dame Fighting Irish-1037.7%19.522.8
80.Louisiana Tech Bulldogs+1037.0%17.726.1
 TeamChangeWin PctPF/GPA/G
81.Bowling Green Falcons-1635.6%16.125.0
82.NC St. Wolfpack+935.0%15.627.2
83.Auburn Tigers-333.8%13.220.6
84.New Mexico Lobos+1633.7%16.824.4
85.Rutgers Scarlet Knights+1633.7%16.928.9
86.Buffalo Bulls-333.1%19.425.0
87.Colorado St. Rams-1031.9%18.526.5
88.Ohio Bobcats-431.1%17.827.7
89.Florida Atlantic Owls+2030.6%20.326.6
90.Mid Tenn Blue Raiders-229.1%17.024.7
91.Temple Owls-228.8%12.626.5
92.UTEP Miners-728.4%21.030.2
93.Fla. Int. Golden Panthers+328.3%17.224.3
94.Tulane Green Wave+128.1%19.528.8
95.UCLA Bruins+1127.4%14.226.8
96.Memphis Tigers-327.2%20.130.2
97.Michigan Wolverines-326.5%12.627.4
98.S. Miss Golden Eagles-1125.6%18.929.3
99.Texas A&M Aggies-725.6%19.030.5
100.Iowa State Cyclones-1425.5%14.930.7
 TeamChangeWin PctPF/GPA/G
101.Marshall Thundering Herd-224.9%17.427.6
102.Toledo Rockets-524.5%14.728.9
103.Kent St. Golden Flashes+421.1%15.232.6
104.Miami (OH) RedHawks+1021.1%12.028.5
105.Mississippi State Bulldogs-720.9%11.126.5
106.E. Michigan Eagles-319.9%16.835.6
107.Wyoming Cowboys-219.2%12.428.0
108.Utah State Aggies-618.9%12.431.6
109.Army Black Knights+118.8%13.729.3
110.Syracuse Orange-618.5%12.834.2
111.UAB Blazers+518.1%18.433.1
112.SMU Mustangs017.0%16.634.0
113.UCF Knights013.9%10.126.5
114.Western Kentucky Hilltoppers-613.5%12.829.6
115.Washington Huskies010.9%12.937.0
116.San Diego State Aztecs-510.3%11.233.7
117.LA-Monroe Warhawks+27.8%14.940.7
118.North Texas Mean Green-13.4%9.541.2
119.Washington St. Cougars-13.1%8.844.7
120.Idaho Vandals03.0%9.043.5

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