NFL Power Rankings

12/9/2008 Rankings
By Paul Bessire,
December 9th, 2008 utilizes its NFL football simulation engine to present the most comprehensive, deterministic and unbiased ranking of all 32 teams. We simulated every possible match-up in the NFL 100 times, and used the winning percentages from those nearly 50,000 games to evaluate all every team. All 32 teams are ranked below with their average points for and against from the simulated games. Simulations are based on strength-of-schedule-adjusted stats and updated depth charts so significant week-to-week changes could occur.

Teams Ranked by Winning Percentage
(everyone plays everyone 100 times)

 TeamChangeWin PctPS/GPA/G
1.Tennessee Titans+190.330.57.7
2.Baltimore Ravens+486.325.27.7
3.Pittsburgh Steelers-81.525.19.1
4.Carolina Panthers-81.427.812.8
5.New York Giants-481.128.111.5
6.Philadelphia Eagles+278.024.410.8
7.Arizona Cardinals+768.827.017.8
8.Indianapolis Colts+267.923.314.7
9.New Orleans Saints+666.227.419.4
10.Tampa Bay Buccaneers-364.922.915.6
11.Dallas Cowboys-664.426.419.0
12.San Diego Chargers+957.925.020.8
13.Houston Texans+357.726.322.5
14.Minnesota Vikings-257.220.817.0
15.Chicago Bears+457.121.417.2
16.Miami Dolphins+156.923.219.1
 TeamChangeWin PctPS/GPA/G
17.New York Jets-655.125.322.4
18.Washington Redskins-549.521.921.5
19.Atlanta Falcons-1049.223.523.1
20.New England Patriots+248.021.722.0
21.San Francisco 49ers+245.621.722.6
22.Denver Broncos-240.822.726.9
23.Green Bay Packers-537.622.026.8
24.Buffalo Bills-28.319.027.5
25.Jacksonville Jaguars-26.116.927.9
26.Seattle Seahawks+319.615.430.6
27.Oakland Raiders+119.416.631.4
28.Cleveland Browns-219.215.330.7
29.Kansas City Chiefs-216.315.833.8
30.Cincinnati Bengals-11.911.732.6
31.St. Louis Rams+19.413.637.7
32.Detroit Lions-16.613.841.4

Paul Bessire is the Senior Quantitative Analyst and Content Manager for and a member of the Pro Football Writers of America. With any comments, questions or topic suggestions, Paul can be reached at Thanks!

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