College Football Power Rankings From image

College Football Power Rankings

Week 3 Rankings
By Paul Bessire,
September 14th, 2009 utilizes its college football simulation to present the most comprehensive, deterministic and unbiased ranking of all teams. We simulated every possible DI FBS match-up one hundred times, and used the winning percentages from 700,000+ games to evaluate every team. All 120 teams are ranked below with their average points for and against from the simulated games. Simulations are based on updated, strength-of-schedule-adjusted stats, so significant week-to-week changes could occur.

Teams Ranked by Winning Percentage
(everyone plays everyone 100 times)

 TeamChangeWin PctPS/GPA/G
1.Florida Gators-98.848.17.3
2.Texas Longhorns-97.444.310.0
3.USC Trojans-95.240.510.0
4.Alabama Crimson Tide-
5.California Golden Bears+190.936.611.3
6.Brigham Young Cougars+1090.441.417.5
7.Oklahoma Sooners+189.335.812.7
8.Mississippi Rebels-187.837.115.4
9.Oklahoma State Cowboys-485.936.015.9
10.Ohio State Buckeyes+183.428.511.5
11.Nebraska Cornhuskers+982.633.816.5
12.LSU Tigers-381.732.216.1
13.Penn State Nittany Lions-381.229.814.0
14.Houston Cougars+880.638.021.7
15.Virginia Tech Hokies-79.929.514.0
16.Boise State Broncos+777.229.116.2
17.Kansas Jayhawks+776.533.119.5
18.West Virginia Mountaineers-476.230.516.1
19.Iowa Hawkeyes+2175.825.013.3
20.Pittsburgh Panthers+1975.728.915.9
 TeamChangeWin PctPS/GPA/G
21.Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets-875.030.016.4
22.Clemson Tigers+1374.726.014.8
23.Notre Dame Fighting Irish-674.629.717.0
24.TCU Horned Frogs-373.026.014.9
25.Texas Tech Red Raiders+1273.030.920.0
26.Georgia Bulldogs-772.228.617.7
27.Michigan Wolverines+1571.727.516.8
28.Missouri Tigers-1671.630.620.0
29.Cincinnati Bearcats+1970.830.019.8
30.Rutgers Scarlet Knights+167.926.318.4
31.Utah Utes-567.825.717.3
32.Baylor Bears+167.628.219.9
33.North Carolina Tar Heels-
34.Arizona Wildcats-64.323.617.4
35.Oregon Ducks-1764.227.520.4
36.Southern Miss Golden Eagles-663.325.319.4
37.Tulsa Golden Hurricane+762.929.022.6
38.Miami (FL) Hurricanes+361.921.516.0
39.Florida State Seminoles-1261.422.217.3
40.Navy Midshipmen+1160.626.020.9
 TeamChangeWin PctPS/GPA/G
41.Vanderbilt Commodores+1160.219.515.5
42.Air Force Falcons-1460.124.920.5
43.Illinois Fighting Illini-60.024.820.9
44.South Florida Bulls-659.922.618.6
45.Oregon State Beavers-1659.124.119.7
46.Tennessee Volunteers-2159.021.216.9
47.Michigan State Spartans-1158.221.017.7
48.UCLA Bruins+2158.122.518.1
49.Fresno State Bulldogs+757.324.220.6
50.Wake Forest Demon Deacons+857.320.817.6
51.Minnesota Golden Gophers+957.321.718.5
52.South Carolina Gamecocks+2557.020.117.8
53.Arkansas Razorbacks-756.925.522.2
54.Arizona State Sun Devils-756.820.818.0
55.Stanford Cardinal-555.824.922.1
56.Central Michigan Chippewas+1654.822.921.3
57.Boston College Eagles+
58.Wisconsin Badgers-951.724.023.2
59.Bowling Green Falcons+1151.422.522.2
60.Purdue Boilermakers+1551.221.921.4
 TeamChangeWin PctPS/GPA/G
61.Maryland Terrapins-851.022.022.7
62.Auburn Tigers+149.822.622.4
63.Nevada Wolf Pack-849.523.323.1
64.East Carolina Pirates-1047.919.320.6
65.Connecticut Huskies-444.416.519.6
66.North Carolina State Wolfpack-444.117.620.2
67.Kentucky Wildcats-343.615.819.0
68.Northwestern Wildcats-1143.517.221.4
69.UNLV Rebels+1343.320.223.3
70.Texas A&M Aggies-242.922.926.2
71.Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders+1342.919.723.0
72.Louisville Cardinals+142.619.823.6
73.Florida International Golden Panthers+
74.Arkansas State Red Wolves-2941.719.122.7
75.Washington Huskies-441.419.223.6
76.Mississippi State Bulldogs-1140.418.724.0
77.Troy Trojans-139.818.723.7
78.Northern Illinois Huskies+738.219.325.4
79.Louisiana Tech Bulldogs-1337.917.923.4
80.UAB Blazers-1337.323.329.6
 TeamChangeWin PctPS/GPA/G
81.Syracuse Orange+637.217.423.6
82.Colorado State Rams-
83.Buffalo Bulls-36.216.823.9
84.Duke Blue Devils+2035.818.325.3
85.Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns-734.917.425.5
86.Toledo Rockets+1134.020.228.0
87.San Jose State Spartans+832.814.021.9
88.Southern Methodist Mustangs+2631.719.729.4
89.Western Michigan Broncos-831.017.526.8
90.Ohio Bobcats-230.715.524.7
91.Utah State Aggies-230.517.526.9
92.Akron Zips+229.018.629.5
93.Kansas State Wildcats+1328.314.024.3
94.UCF Knights+827.513.024.4
95.Wyoming Cowboys+127.412.823.9
96.Indiana Hoosiers+527.214.725.5
97.Rice Owls-1126.717.630.2
98.North Texas Mean Green+1026.616.928.8
99.UTEP Miners-624.916.629.6
100.Marshall Thundering Herd-1024.815.427.6
 TeamChangeWin PctPS/GPA/G
101.Memphis Tigers-924.115.829.6
102.Hawaii Warriors+1022.216.831.1
103.Virginia Cavaliers+422.112.226.3
104.Kent State Golden Flashes-422.114.429.6
105.Florida Atlantic Owls-220.915.030.5
106.Eastern Michigan Eagles+1020.413.929.5
107.San Diego State Aztecs+420.114.429.8
108.Army Black Knights-1019.511.828.1
109.Temple Owls-418.511.126.7
110.Colorado Buffaloes-3118.213.730.5
111.Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks+
112.Tulane Green Wave-214.811.531.4
113.Iowa State Cyclones-2214.714.133.6
114.Idaho Vandals+114.311.331.9
115.New Mexico Lobos-613.710.629.6
116.New Mexico State Aggies+
117.Ball State Cardinals-
118.Washington State Cougars-7.97.433.6
119.Western Kentucky Hilltoppers-
120.Miami (OH) RedHawks-2.45.637.0

Paul Bessire is the Product Manager of Content and Quantitative Analysis for, a division of FOX Sports Interactive specializing in NCAA Matchup analysis and college football sim games. With any comments, questions or topic suggestions, Paul can be reached at Thanks!

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