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Each Monday morning, Whatifsports.com's NCAA college football simulation engine will provide you with game predictions for every D-1 FBS game that upcoming week. The college football simulation engine generates detailed information for each game including the home team's chances of winning (Home Win%) and the average points scored for both teams. Make sure to share the college football information you gained here with your friends by either checking out our NCAA football widgets on the WhatIf To Go page or clicking on the social networking share bar at the top and bottom of this article.
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The statistical inputs to the thousands of college football simulations are based on rigorous analysis of each team's roster, depth charts and statistically based player rankings. Roster modifications are made in cases of injury or suspension and those player's are removed from their team's game simulation for that week.
Game of the Week: Auburn at Alabama
Over 117 years before Wrigley Field's valid attempt to stir up nostalgia by hosting a college football game inside a ballpark, only to become entangled in a controversial wall of ivy, Lakeview Park welcomed Alabama and Auburn in the first Iron Bowl.
Now for those critical of the layoff between a team's final game and bowl game, the Cadets' (they would later become the Tide) inaugural regular season ended on December 10, 1892. Over two months would pass before they would meet the Tigers in the Iron Bowl on February 22, 1893.
Alabama, who had learned how to play the game less than a year earlier, entered the Iron Bowl with a roster that consisted of a future Speaker of the House (William Bankhead) and future state governor (Bibb Graves). As is the case today, politics and sports don't really mix and the Tigers won the first Iron Bowl 32-22. The Cadets finished their first season with a 2-2 record, boasting wins over a local high school and Birmingham Athletic Club.
Fast forward to present day, 74 Iron Bowls later, and Auburn versus Alabama is arguably one of the most heated rivalries in all of sports. The stakes are higher than usual this week as both teams enter the game ranked in the Top 10 for the first time since 1994. Alabama (4th) took down Auburn (6th) that year, 21-14.
To the surprise of many, the Tigers possess the higher ranking and possible ticket to the BCS National Championship if they can pull off another SEC win Friday in Tuscaloosa. The Tide's only incentive is to play the role of spoiler as their SEC title hopes were dashed by LSU and chance to defend their national title by South Carolina.
The play of quarterback Cam Newton, not to mention his ability to ignore the 800-pound, $180k elephant on the field, will dictate the Tigers' play on offense. Although he's known for his elusiveness in the open field, Newton became the first quarterback in SEC history to pass for 2,000 and rush for 1,000 yards. The Tigers 42.8 points-per-game is 5th best in the country and based on their defensive prowess in SEC play, 43 points may not be enough.
Auburn has trailed in seven out of their eleven victories and in three of those wins they trailed by double-digits. Their pass-defense ranks second to last in the SEC and with Julio Jones ready to exploit their secondary, the Tigers are in for their stiffest test to date.
Known for his defensive ingenuity, Nick Saban is no doubt concocting a game plan to contain (spy) Cam Newton, thus forcing his supporting cast to step up and make plays. His third ranked defense is surrendering less than 13 points-per-game (12.8). Auburn has scored 20-plus points in all but one game this season (17, Mississippi St.).
Alabama enters the game with a balanced offensive attack. Greg McElroy has passed for over 2,300 yards and 17 touchdowns, while the rushing duo of Mark Ingram and Trent Richardson has run for over 1,400 yards and 15 touchdowns. The previously mentioned Julio Jones, who may enter the NFL Draft, has caught 65 balls for 885 yards with six trips to the end zone.
Using our college football simulation engine, we "played" the 75th Iron Bowl 101 times and it's the Alabama Crimson Tide winning 59.4-percent of the time by an average score of 30-28.
Iron Bowl Fun Fact: About 5,000 fans watched the first Iron Bowl in 1893. This Friday, inside Bryant-Denny Stadium, 101-thousand and change will enjoy the 75th edition of the Iron Bowl.
College Football Week 13
|@ Virginia Tech Hokies||95.0||37|
|South Florida Bulls||19.8||20||Boxscore|
|@ Miami (FL) Hurricanes||80.2||31|
|@ Florida State Seminoles||56.4||31|
|North Carolina State Wolfpack||78.2||36||Boxscore|
|@ Maryland Terrapins||21.8||26|
|South Carolina Gamecocks||87.1||34||Boxscore|
|@ Clemson Tigers||12.9||21|
|North Carolina Tar Heels||89.1||34||Boxscore|
|@ Duke Blue Devils||10.9||15|
|Boston College Eagles||43.6||21||Boxscore|
|@ Syracuse Orange||56.4||23|
|West Virginia Mountaineers||56.4||25||Boxscore|
|@ Pittsburgh Panthers||43.6||23|
|@ Connecticut Huskies||40.6||26|
|@ Rutgers Scarlet Knights||39.6||20|
|@ Ohio State Buckeyes||95.0||40|
|@ Wisconsin Badgers||77.2||34|
|@ Purdue Boilermakers||69.3||30|
|Michigan State Spartans||58.4||26||Boxscore|
|@ Penn State Nittany Lions||41.6||25|
|@ Minnesota Golden Gophers||5.0||9|
|Western Michigan Broncos||50.5||21||Boxscore|
|@ Bowling Green Falcons||49.5||20|
|Central Michigan Chippewas||59.9||27||Boxscore|
|@ Toledo Rockets||40.1||23|
|@ Akron Zips||19.8||16|
|@ Kent State Golden Flashes||8.9||13|
|@ Miami (OH) RedHawks||7.4||15|
|Northern Illinois Huskies||95.0||43||Boxscore|
|@ Eastern Michigan Eagles||5.0||8|
|Oregon State Beavers||7.9||22||Boxscore|
|@ Stanford Cardinal||92.1||38|
|@ Oregon Ducks||83.2||37|
|@ Arizona State Sun Devils||76.2||30|
|@ California Golden Bears||76.7||29|
|Notre Dame Fighting Irish||55.4||29||Boxscore|
|@ USC Trojans||44.6||28|
|@ Alabama Crimson Tide||59.4||30|
|@ Arkansas Razorbacks||52.0||35|
|Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets||58.4||30||Boxscore|
|@ Georgia Bulldogs||41.6||27|
|@ Tennessee Volunteers||39.6||21|
|Mississippi State Bulldogs||66.3||32||Boxscore|
|@ Mississippi Rebels||33.7||26|
|Wake Forest Demon Deacons||77.2||26||Boxscore|
|@ Vanderbilt Commodores||22.8||17|
|@ Fresno State Bulldogs||55.4||35|
|Louisiana Tech Bulldogs||93.6||31||Boxscore|
|@ San Jose State Spartans||6.4||15|
|Boise State Broncos||94.1||48||Boxscore|
|@ Nevada Wolf Pack||5.9||31|
|@ New Mexico State Aggies||5.0||8|
|@ Texas Tech Red Raiders||80.2||39|
|@ Nebraska Cornhuskers||76.7||29|
|@ Oklahoma State Cowboys||51.5||37|
|Texas A&M Aggies||73.3||33||Boxscore|
|@ Texas Longhorns||26.7||25|
|@ Kansas Jayhawks||5.0||15|
|Tulane Green Wave||54.5||26||Boxscore|
|@ Marshall Thundering Herd||45.5||23|
|@ Rice Owls||27.7||26|
|Southern Methodist Mustangs||73.3||33||Boxscore|
|@ East Carolina Pirates||26.7||25|
|Southern Miss Golden Eagles||77.2||41||Boxscore|
|@ Tulsa Golden Hurricane||22.8||31|
|@ Memphis Tigers||5.0||12|
|@ San Diego State Aztecs||95.0||41|
|Brigham Young Cougars||25.7||23||Boxscore|
|@ Utah Utes||74.3||32|
|TCU Horned Frogs||95.0||53||Boxscore|
|@ New Mexico Lobos||5.0||6|
|Western Kentucky Hilltoppers||25.7||24||Boxscore|
|@ Troy Trojans||74.3||35|
|Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns||31.7||24||Boxscore|
|@ Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks||68.3||28|
|Florida Atlantic Owls||36.6||23||Boxscore|
|@ Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders||63.4||28|
|Arkansas State Red Wolves||58.4||31||Boxscore|
|@ Florida International Golden Panthers||41.6||27|
|Kansas State Wildcats||68.8||30||Boxscore|
|@ North Texas Mean Green||31.2||22|
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