Fantasy Football Advice for Week 10
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Every Tuesday during the NFL season, WhatIfSports.com will release its fantasy projections for the upcoming week. The statistical inputs to the thousands of NFL games simulated are based on rigorous analysis of each team's roster, depth chart and statistically-based player rankings. In addition to our computer forecasts, WhatIfSports.com will also offer a "creative" perspective at its fantasy football coverage in a weekly feature called "Fantasy Fever." Enjoy.
QB: Ben Roethlisberger, Steelers. Since his return from a league-mandated absence, Roethlisberger has sported a QB rating of 96.8 with 917 yards and six touchdowns. Facing a less-than pedestrian Patriot secondary this week (allowing 268.9 passing yards, 2nd worst in the AFC), Roethlisberger should continue to post first-class fantasy numbers in Week 10.
RB: Jahvid Best, Lions. After scoring five touchdowns in the first two weeks of the season, Best has been tremendously quiet. In his past six games, Best has accumulated just 247 yards on the ground and 186 yards in the passing game. However, Week 10 should prove opportunistic for Best, as the Lions travel to Buffalo. The Bills are ranked last in the league against the rush, surrendering 178.2 yards per contest. If Best can't submit a solid fantasy day, Best might be, um, best suited for the bench.
WR: Jeremy Maclin/DeSean Jackson, Eagles. Both Eagle wideouts earn "must-start" status against Washington, as the 'Skins are worst in the NFC against the pass, yielding 280.9 yards per game. Jackson appears to be fully recovered from his concussion scare, and Maclin has shown continuing improvement throughout the year despite the carousel routine at the quarterback position.
TE: Marcedes Lewis, Jaguars. The former 1st round pick out of UCLA is finally starting to fulfill expectations. Coming into the season, the tight-end had collected just seven touchdowns in his four-year NFL career. But through eight games in 2010, Lewis has equaled his career total, highlighted by three two-touchdown games. Aside from his seven scores, Lewis has 25 catches for 326 yards in helping Jacksonville stay relevant in the ultra-competitive AFC South. A bout against Houston should be fruitful for Lewis, as the Texans are putrid against the pass.
QB: Carolina QBs. Jimmy Clausen or Tony Pike? I'm pretty sure that's the fantasy equivalent of asking a man on death row his preference of execution.
RB: Peyton Hillis, Browns. The Browns back busted New England for 184 yards and two touchdowns in Week 9. However, a matchup against the stout defense of the Jets could prove problematic for Hillis, as New York is holding opponents to 87.4 yards on the ground, 2nd best in the AFC. Only start Hillis in deep leagues or emergency situations.
WR: Chad Ochocinco, Bengals. The flamboyant Bengal wide receiver has reached the Promised Land only twice this season, and has posted four or less receptions in six of eight games. It's becoming increasingly clear that Cincinnati quarterback Carson Palmer has built an affinity for Terrell Owens and Jordan Shipley, leaving Ocho out in the cold.
TE: Anthony Fasano, Dolphins. While the Dolphin tight-end is on pace for career marks in receptions and yards, Fasano has been consistently average in 2010. A date with Tennessee, a team with 13 interceptions on the year, won't help Fasano's cause. Stay away unless riddled with byes.
DEF: Detroit Lions. One would surmise a contest against the 0-8 Bills as a fantasy opportunity for an opposing defense. Yet, the Bills have been effective on offense this year since Ryan Fitzpatrick took the reins from Trent Edwards at quarterback. Furthermore, the game will be in Buffalo, taking the Lions out of their friendly confines of Ford Field. The Lions are best left in the free-agent pool of your league this week.
No TurkeyGarrett's Thanksgiving Day performance was one for the ages.
Fantasy Flashback Performance: Regardless the outcome of the Jason Garrett Coaching Era in Dallas, the former QB will always have a spot in the collective heart of the Cowboy faithful thanks to his performance on Thanksgiving Day in 1994. Filling in for an injured Troy Aikman, Garrett threw for 311 yards and two touchdowns in a 42-31 comeback win over the Green Bay Packers. Though many remember Garrett as a one-hit wonder, the Princeton product had an extended, solid career as a backup, featuring stints with the New York Giants, Tampa Bay Buccaneers, and Miami Dolphins before hanging 'em up after the 2004 season.
Waiver Wire Watch: With a matchup looming against the lowly Houston pass defense, David Garrard is projected to have a fantasy field day in Week 10. Although Garrard's stats have been less than impressive in 2010 (1,098 yards, 13 TDs), the Texans are allowing 298.2 yards per game through the air. The Jaguar QB is owned in just 43% of leagues, so if he's available, take a gamble with Garrard.
This Week in Kevin Walter: Counting the Bye, Walter has gone an entire month without a reception. I've stood at the pulpit, preaching to the masses that his statistical shortcomings were a byproduct of ignorance and jealousy from his quarterback, that Walter was on the cusp of duplicating his Week 2 performance (11 receptions, 144 yards, TD). But after a third straight no-show, my voice has fallen on deaf ears. So I make this ultimatum to you K-Walt: bring in, at minimum, three catches against Jacksonville, or else you lose this sacred segment. The gauntlet has been thrown down Mr. Walter. Ball's in your court.
Walter's 2010 stats:22 receptions, 266 yards, 3 touchdowns.
Walter's 2010 CBC (Cornerback Body Count) : 6
Rookie Review: With injuries to the Charger offense mounting, San Diego turned to rookie free-agent wideout Seyi Ajirotutu to burden some of the receiving responsibility. Ajirotutu answered, and answered with vigor. Hailing from Fresno State, Ajirotutu recorded four catches for 111 yards and two scores in San Diego's 29-23 victory over Houston. Until Vincent Jackson returns, Ajirotutu should continue to contribute to the Charger aerial attack.
Gatorade Shower Goes To: Philip Rivers. The Charger quarterback is on pace for 5,233 yards despite throwing to has-beens, castoffs, and undrafted rookies. In San Diego's win over Houston, Rivers' top receivers were Ajirotutu, Patrick Crayton, and Randy McMichael. Apparently Tim Dwight and Natrone Means were not available.
Personal Foul On: Channing Crowder. So what if Le'Ron McClain (allegedly) spit in your face? Hard for me to buy into Crowder as a bad-ass linebacker if he's crying over astray saliva.
Varsity Blues Quote of the Week:
Tagline: In a town where winning is everything, these guys have nothing to lose.
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