2010 NFL Week 16 Picks and Predictions from Whatifsports.com From WhatIfSports.com image

2010 NFL Week 16 Picks and Predictions

NFL Week 16 box scores and stats included

By Joel Beall - Whatifsports.com
Update: December 23rd, 2010

Each Tuesday morning, Whatifsports.com's NFL simulation engine will provide you with predictions, box scores and statistics for every NFL game that week. The NFL simulation engine generates detailed information including the home team's chances of winning (Home Win %), average score and comprehensive box score link. If you want to share your new found NFL knowledge with friends and family, make sure to check out our NFL Widgets on the WhatIf To Go page or click on the social networking share bar located at the top and bottom of the article.

The statistical inputs to the thousands of NFL games simulated are based on rigorous analysis of each team's roster, depth chart and statistically based player ranking. Roster modifications have been made for injuries and suspensions and those players are not part of their team's game simulation.

To account for injuries and roster moves announced late in the week, we will be re-simulating some games on Thursdays throughout the 2010 NFL season.

Check out our 2010 NFL Season-to-Date page to follow our accuracy week-to-week and find Locks and Upsets of the Week.

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Game of the Week: Jets vs Bears

<a href="http://msn.foxsports.com/video?vid=5433b127-ccb9-486a-a3d9-5d4c7b622eef" target="_new" title="">WhatIfSports: NFL Game of the Week</a>

"Pretty" does not describe how the New York Jets or Chicago Bears play football, and it sure as hell isnít befitting of rugged-weather NFL games in December. A possible winter wonderland awaits the Jets and Bears on the frozen tundra of Soldier Field, making it the WhatIfSports Game of the Week.

The Jetsí Darrelle Revis might be one of the league's better cornerbacks, but the success of the New York defense stems from its ability to stop the run. The Jets are holding opponents to 92.7 yards on the ground, third best in the AFC. But, besides limiting the run game, New York has been effective at stripping the ball and is tied for first in the NFL in rushing fumble recoveries. This stout run defense has offset the secondary's shaky showing (21 touchdowns with just seven picks) and led to Gang Green limiting adversaries to 21.1 points per game.

Unfortunately for New York, this resistance has been a requirement, as quarterback Mark Sanchez has regressed to his rookie form. In the first five weeks of 2010, Sanchez threw eight touchdown passes without committing a turnover as the Jets jumped to a 4-1 start. In the nine games since, the Southern Cal product has thrown 12 interceptions with just eight TD passes. Fortunately for Sanchez, a rushing attack led by a refreshed LaDainian Tomlinson and Shonn Greene have bailed out the putrid passing game, averaging 141 yards per ballgame.

Bears fans understand Sanchez's plight, considering Chicago QB Jay Cutler isn't exactly a model of consistency. Although he has cut down on the amount of picks from 2009 (26 to 13, so far), Cutler has still turned the ball over 19 times this season. This issue has been offset by the reinvigoration of Matt Forte, who appears to have awakened from his season and a half slumber. Forte had a breakout rookie season in 2008 with 1,238 rushing yards and 477 receiving. His receiving stats were almost identical in 2009, but Forte's rushing production dropped to 929, mainly because of a decrease in carries. Forte started the 2010 season almost the same way, crossing the 60-yard rushing barrier just once in the first eight games. However, in Chicagoís past six contests, Forte has surpassed the 60-yard plateau five times, all Bears victories.

While the Bearsí offensive production has been a pleasant surprise, their key resource remains their dominating defense. Offseason acquisition Julius Peppers has teamed with stalwarts Lance Briggs and Brian Urlacher to form the NFC's top rushing defense, limiting opponents to 89.8 yards per contest. Yet, these Monsters of the Midway are not a one-trick pony. Unlike other run-stopping squads, the Bears have a stifling secondary, having limited quarterbacks to a 73.0 QB rating and only 12 TD passes.

So who wins in this clash of defensive titans? According to the WhatIfSports NFL simulation engine, the Chicago Bears come out on top 55.0 percent of the time by an average score of 18-17. For the rest of this week's picks, check below:

NFL Week 16
MatchupWin%Avg Score
Minnesota Vikings11.913Boxscore
@ Philadelphia Eagles88.128Simulate Game
Carolina Panthers17.814Boxscore
@ Pittsburgh Steelers82.225Simulate Game
Detroit Lions31.715Boxscore
@ Miami Dolphins68.321Simulate Game
Seattle Seahawks39.319Boxscore
@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers60.724Simulate Game
New York Jets45.017Boxscore
@ Chicago Bears55.018Simulate Game
Indianapolis Colts46.819Boxscore
@ Oakland Raiders53.220Simulate Game
Tennessee Titans48.221Boxscore
@ Kansas City Chiefs51.822Simulate Game
San Francisco 49ers52.818Boxscore
@ St. Louis Rams47.217Simulate Game
Baltimore Ravens56.719Boxscore
@ Cleveland Browns43.317Simulate Game
New Orleans Saints60.723Boxscore
@ Atlanta Falcons39.319Simulate Game
Washington Redskins63.528Boxscore
@ Jacksonville Jaguars36.523Simulate Game
Dallas Cowboys69.927Boxscore
@ Arizona Cardinals30.120Simulate Game
New York Giants70.524Boxscore
@ Green Bay Packers29.516Simulate Game
Houston Texans73.632Boxscore
@ Denver Broncos26.424Simulate Game
New England Patriots93.431Boxscore
@ Buffalo Bills 6.612Simulate Game
San Diego Chargers93.530Boxscore
@ Cincinnati Bengals 6.513Simulate Game

Joel Beall is a Content Writer for Whatifsports.com. He can be reached at jbeall@whatifsports.com.

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