2011 NCAA Football Army vs. Navy Prediction From WhatIfSports.com image

Army vs. Navy will be more running than gunning

Navy seeks 10th consecutive win over Army

By Ryan Fowler and Jake Westrich - WhatIfSports.com
December 5, 2011

Each Monday, WhatIfSports.com's NCAA college football simulation engine will provide you with game predictions for every D-1 FBS game that upcoming week. The college football simulation engine generates detailed information for each game including each team's chances of winning (Win%) and the average points scored for both teams. Make sure to share the college football information you gained here with your friends by either checking out our NCAA football widgets on the WhatIf To Go page or clicking on the social networking share bar at the top and bottom of this article.

Check out our 2011 College Football Season-to-Date page to follow our accuracy and for Upsets of the Week available on Wednesdays.

The statistical inputs to the thousands of college football simulations are based on rigorous analysis of each team's roster, depth charts and statistically based player rankings. Roster modifications are made in cases of injury or suspension and those players are removed from their team's game simulation for that week.

<a href='http://msn.foxsports.com/video/college-football?videoId=207ca816-a4d4-46c5-b651-005ecf481e66&from=&src=v5:embed::uuids' target='_new' title='WhatIfSports: Army/Navy Pick'>Video: WhatIfSports: Army/Navy Pick</a>

Army vs. Navy

Just so we all are speaking the same language, Army's Trent Steelman and Navy's Kriss Proctor are the Tim Tebow of college football. That is to say, to pass the football is to indulge in needless vices.

Steelman, who is scheduled to play after battling injuries the last month, has thrown 39 passes all season with two touchdowns and two picks. Army averages eight passes per game as a team.

More of a gun slinger, Proctor has chucked the rocked around the yard 100 times this season in ten games (he did not play against Notre Dame) with seven touchdowns and six interceptions. So, in 10 games, he's averaged 10 passes per contest.

Some call them option offenses, but we know darn well the Black Knights' and Midshipmen's top option is to run the ball this Saturday. Army is first in the country in rushing at 350.9 yards per game (62.7 carries/gm) with Navy fourth at 313.9 yards per game (57.1 carries/gm).

The game may come down to who possesses the better rush defense. If only the stats were that black and white. Navy is 82nd in the country at 176.8 yards allowed per game and Army is 92nd at 185.7 yards allowed per game.

The Black Knights may dig into their bag of tricks and try to pass against the weak Navy secondary like they did in 2010. Last season, Steelman bucked the trend and tossed 20 passes, two of which resulted in touchdowns in a 31-17 loss.

Navy has won nine straight against their rival.

Using our college football simulation engine, we "played" Navy and Army 101 times and it's the Midshipmen winning 65.3 percent of the time by an average score of 26-20.

College Football Week 15
MatchupWin%Avg Score 
Navy Midshipmen65.326Boxscore
@ Army Black Knights34.720 
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Ryan Fowler is the Content Manager for WhatIfSports.com. He can be reached at rfowler@whatifsports.com.

Jake Westrich is the Digital Content Coordinator for WhatIfSports.com. He can be reached at jwestrich@whatifsports.com.

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