College Football Week 2 Picks and Predictions from From image

College Football Week 2 Picks and Predictions

Week 2 predictions for every D-I/FBS college football game

By Ryan Fowler -
September 5, 2011

Each Monday,'s NCAA college football simulation engine will provide you with game predictions for every D-1 FBS game that upcoming week. The college football simulation engine generates detailed information for each game including each team's chances of winning (Win%) and the average points scored for both teams. Make sure to share the college football information you gained here with your friends by either checking out our NCAA football widgets on the WhatIf To Go page or clicking on the social networking share bar at the top and bottom of this article.

Check out our 2011 College Football Season-to-Date page to follow our accuracy and for Upsets of the Week available on Wednesdays.

The statistical inputs to the thousands of college football simulations are based on rigorous analysis of each team's roster, depth charts and statistically based player rankings. Roster modifications are made in cases of injury or suspension and those players are removed from their team's game simulation for that week.

<a href="" target="_new" title="">Fowler: CFB Week 2 simulations</a>

Game of the Week: Notre Dame at Michigan

Coaches always talk about trying to find lightning in a bottle when speaking of their players. Turns out a few college football teams wished those bolts of energy were confined to a bottle this weekend. Iowa, Notre Dame, West Virginia, and Michigan were all impacted by nasty weather. The Wolverines and Mountaineers had to call their games due to lightning. Both schools won their abbreviated contests.

The same can't be said of Notre Dame.

The Irish, ranked 16th heading into week one, fell to South Florida in South Bend following a few rain/lightning delays. With no time to sulk, Notre Dame must now focus their attention on Michigan. The first night game ever at Big House is the first of two college football games of the week.

All eyes were on Heisman hopeful Denard Robinson and what his feet would do against Western Michigan last Saturday. The answer was: nothing much. Adapting to new head coach Brady Hoke's pro set offense, it was redshirt sophomore running back Fitzgerald Toussaint and, yes, the Michigan defense pushing the Broncos into a deep hole.

Toussaint rushed for 80 yards on 11 carries, while the defense managed to force two turnovers that immediately led to six points each.

In South Bend, Brian Kelly proved the human face can turn a shade of red thought only possible when eating candy in Wonkaland. What caused Kelly's Irish blood to boil was underwhelming quarterback play from Dayne Crist (Tommy Rees would relieve him) and five turnovers that muted over 500 yards of Notre Dame offense.

We simulated the Irish and Wolverines week two matchup 101 times and the Irish came out ahead 57.4 percent of the time by an average score of 31-29.

BYU at Texas

Like Michigan, our second game of the week features a program we've grown accustomed to seeing atop the polls, but remains unranked to start the 2011 season.

Amid rumors of eventually jumping to the Pac-12 with Oklahoma, Mack Brown's Texas Longhorns punched Rice in the mouth to win their season opener 34-9. They got it done mainly on the ground with 229 rush yards. Malcolm Brown led the way with 85 yards on 16 carries. The Longhorns' defense held the Owls to 224 total yards of offense.

For the first time since 1988, or when Ty Detmer was behind center, Texas will play BYU. The Cougars scored 14 unanswered fourth quarter points against Mississippi to rally and win 14-13 on Saturday. The Cougars defense helped keep them in the game holding the Rebels offense to 64 yards on the ground and 144 through the air. Mississippi's second turnover, a fumble in the fourth quarter, was returned for a touchdown by BYU for what wound up being the game winning score.

We simulated Texas versus BYU 101 times and the Longhorns came out ahead 57.4 percent of the time by an average score of 26-22.

College Football Week 2
MatchupWin%Avg Score 
Wofford Terriers 5.07Boxscore
@ Clemson Tigers95.054 
Charleston Southern Buccaneers 5.07Boxscore
@ Florida State Seminoles95.061 
Rutgers Scarlet Knights15.818Boxscore
@ North Carolina Tar Heels84.231 
North Carolina State Wolfpack80.733Boxscore
@ Wake Forest Demon Deacons19.322 
Stanford Cardinal95.044Boxscore
@ Duke Blue Devils 5.016 
Maine Black Bears 5.08Boxscore
@ Pittsburgh Panthers95.058 
Ball State Cardinals 5.09Boxscore
@ South Florida Bulls95.035 
Rhode Island Rams 5.07Boxscore
@ Syracuse Orange95.050 
Norfolk State Spartans 5.06Boxscore
@ West Virginia Mountaineers95.058 
FIU Golden Panthers21.820Boxscore
@ Louisville Cardinals78.230 
Eastern Illinois Panthers 5.09Boxscore
@ Northwestern Wildcats95.054 
South Dakota State Jackrabbits 5.09Boxscore
@ Illinois Fighting Illini95.046 
Florida Atlantic Owls 5.012Boxscore
@ Michigan State Spartans95.044 
New Mexico State Aggies 6.911Boxscore
@ Minnesota Golden Gophers93.130 
Oregon State Beavers 8.918Boxscore
@ Wisconsin Badgers91.136 
Fresno State Bulldogs11.417Boxscore
@ Nebraska Cornhuskers88.633 
Toledo Rockets14.918Boxscore
@ Ohio State Buckeyes85.134 
Notre Dame Fighting Irish57.431Boxscore
@ Michigan Wolverines42.629 
Virginia Cavaliers59.927Boxscore
@ Indiana Hoosiers40.123 
Alabama Crimson Tide76.730Boxscore
@ Penn State Nittany Lions23.320 
Nicholls Colonels 5.08Boxscore
@ Western Michigan Broncos95.046 
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs 5.08Boxscore
@ Ohio Bobcats95.044 
Morgan State Bears 5.07Boxscore
@ Bowling Green Falcons95.035 
Stony Brook Seawolves 5.07Boxscore
@ Buffalo Bulls95.038 
Alabama State Hornets 7.910Boxscore
@ Eastern Michigan Eagles92.129 
Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns36.118Boxscore
@ Kent State Golden Flashes63.923 
Temple Owls95.035Boxscore
@ Akron Zips 5.011 
San Jose State Spartans 5.016Boxscore
@ UCLA Bruins95.033 
Nevada Wolf Pack 5.924Boxscore
@ Oregon Ducks94.143 
UNLV Rebels17.819Boxscore
@ Washington State Cougars82.230 
Missouri Tigers51.526Boxscore
@ Arizona State Sun Devils48.525 
Utah Utes58.930Boxscore
@ USC Trojans41.128 
California Golden Bears62.423Boxscore
@ Colorado Buffaloes37.621 
Hawaii Warriors63.432Boxscore
@ Washington Huskies36.627 
UAB Blazers 5.017Boxscore
@ Florida Gators95.036 
Southern Illinois Salukis 5.08Boxscore
@ Mississippi Rebels95.049 
Northwestern State Demons 5.06Boxscore
@ LSU Tigers95.060 
Central Michigan Chippewas31.720Boxscore
@ Kentucky Wildcats68.325 
South Carolina Gamecocks42.627Boxscore
@ Georgia Bulldogs57.429 
Cincinnati Bearcats62.427Boxscore
@ Tennessee Volunteers37.625 
Mississippi State Bulldogs67.331Boxscore
@ Auburn Tigers32.725 
Connecticut Huskies77.227Boxscore
@ Vanderbilt Commodores22.817 
Weber State Wildcats 5.08Boxscore
@ Utah State Aggies95.044 
North Dakota Fighting Sioux 5.09Boxscore
@ Idaho Vandals95.038 
Central Arkansas Bears 5.07Boxscore
@ Louisiana Tech Bulldogs95.046 
San Diego State Aztecs83.232Boxscore
@ Army Black Knights16.816 
Arizona Wildcats40.628Boxscore
@ Oklahoma State Cowboys59.432 
Brigham Young Cougars42.622Boxscore
@ Texas Longhorns57.426 
Iowa Hawkeyes89.129Boxscore
@ Iowa State Cyclones10.915 
Northern Illinois Huskies94.139Boxscore
@ Kansas Jayhawks 5.917 
UTEP Miners10.918Boxscore
@ Southern Methodist Mustangs89.138 
Boston College Eagles44.624Boxscore
@ UCF Knights55.427 
Virginia Tech Hokies85.136Boxscore
@ East Carolina Pirates14.924 
Southern Miss Golden Eagles86.138Boxscore
@ Marshall Thundering Herd13.921 
Tulsa Golden Hurricane88.636Boxscore
@ Tulane Green Wave11.423 
Purdue Boilermakers91.134Boxscore
@ Rice Owls 8.916 
Northern Colorado Bears 5.07Boxscore
@ Colorado State Rams95.038 
Texas State Bobcats 5.07Boxscore
@ Wyoming Cowboys95.031 
TCU Horned Frogs85.134Boxscore
@ Air Force Falcons14.919 
Arkansas Razorbacks95.043Boxscore
@ New Mexico Lobos 5.010 
Grambling State Tigers 5.06Boxscore
@ Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks95.042 
Memphis Tigers12.917Boxscore
@ Arkansas State Red Wolves87.134 
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets72.327Boxscore
@ Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders27.718 
Houston Cougars86.138Boxscore
@ North Texas Mean Green13.924 
Navy Midshipmen87.135Boxscore
@ Western Kentucky Hilltoppers12.918 
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