Week 4 predictions for every D-I/FBS college football game
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Each Monday, WhatIfSports.com's NCAA college football simulation engine will provide you with game predictions for every D-1 FBS game that upcoming week. The college football simulation engine generates detailed information for each game including each team's chances of winning (Win%) and the average points scored for both teams. Make sure to share the college football information you gained here with your friends by either checking out our NCAA football widgets on the WhatIf To Go page or clicking on the social networking share bar at the top and bottom of this article.
Check out our 2011 College Football Season-to-Date page to follow our accuracy and for Upsets of the Week available on Wednesdays.
The statistical inputs to the thousands of college football simulations are based on rigorous analysis of each team's roster, depth charts and statistically based player rankings. Roster modifications are made in cases of injury or suspension and those players are removed from their team's game simulation for that week.
Game of the Week: Oklahoma State at Texas A&M
You might as well enjoy these Big 12 matchups while you can. Is it just me or does the Pac-12 add three more teams each weekend?
Oklahoma State at Texas A&M pits two of the top 20 scoring teams in the nation against each other.
Led by quarterback Brandon Weeden (384.7 pass yards per game / eight TDs / six INTs) and Justin Blackmon (109.7 receiving yards per game / three TDs), the Cowboys are averaging 52.3 points per game (third in nation). Their defense is a little suspect, allowing 27.0 ppg. Tulsa managed 33 points against OSU this past weekend.
Texas A&M head coach Mike Sherman may be six years removed from the "Lambeau leap" and traded the frozen tundra for the heat and humidity of College Station, but his offense-first mentality remains. The Aggies are averaging 41.5 points per game (17th in nation).
The Aggies lost on a last-second field goal to the Cowboys in the 2010 meeting. Former quarterback, Jerrod Johnson threw four interceptions in that game. This season it's Ryan Tannehill behind center. The former wide receiver replaced JJ at quarterback midway through last season and finished 2010 with 1638 yards and 13 touchdowns in eight games.
The WhatIfSports.com college football simulation engine "played" the Aggies and Cowboys 101 times and it's OSU winning 55.4 percent of the time by an average score of 38-35.
Arkansas at Alabama
The two SEC West foes meet a week after two differing outcomes in contests against members of the Sun Belt.
The Crimson Tide held the Mean Green of North Texas to 169 total yards in a 41-0 shutout.
The Razorbacks, on the other hand, had issues putting Troy to sleep in the second half. In fact, the Trojans outgained Arkansas 457-454. Bobby Petrino said in his post game press conference that he was frustrated with how the offense sputtered in the third and fourth quarters and allowed Troy to rally back.
Arkansas is adjusting to life without Ryan Mallett and with the growing pains that come with it. Junior quarterback Tyler Wilson was in coach Petrino's crosshairs for much of that second half and took the brunt of his rage. Wilson has thrown for 822 yards with five touchdowns and two picks in the first three games of the season.
Alabama will counter the Arkansas passing game with their backfield workhorse, Trent Richardson. The big guy is averaging 6.3 yards per rush with eight trips to the end zone in 'Bama's first three games.
Nick Saban's team ranks second in the nation in points allowed at 6.0. They allowed seven to Kent State, 11 to Penn State and as previously mentioned shutout North Texas.
The WhatIfSports.com college football simulation engine "played" Arkansas and Alabama 101 times and it's the Crimson Tide winning 70.4 percent of the time by an average score of 31-24.
College Football Week 4
|@ Boston College Eagles||95.0||46|
|Kansas State Wildcats||31.7||22||Boxscore|
|@ Miami (FL) Hurricanes||68.3||28|
|Tulane Green Wave||32.7||24||Boxscore|
|@ Duke Blue Devils||67.3||29|
|@ Maryland Terrapins||67.3||30|
|Southern Miss Golden Eagles||59.4||30||Boxscore|
|@ Virginia Cavaliers||40.6||26|
|North Carolina Tar Heels||64.4||26||Boxscore|
|@ Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets||35.6||22|
|Florida State Seminoles||70.3||30||Boxscore|
|@ Clemson Tigers||29.7||23|
|@ South Florida Bulls||95.0||37|
|@ Syracuse Orange||58.4||29|
|North Carolina State Wolfpack||47.5||30||Boxscore|
|@ Cincinnati Bearcats||52.5||31|
|Notre Dame Fighting Irish||49.5||27||Boxscore|
|@ Pittsburgh Panthers||50.5||28|
|@ West Virginia Mountaineers||37.6||21|
|@ Rutgers Scarlet Knights||35.6||21|
|Eastern Michigan Eagles||5.0||9||Boxscore|
|@ Penn State Nittany Lions||95.0||42|
|North Dakota State Bison||5.0||7||Boxscore|
|@ Minnesota Golden Gophers||95.0||39|
|South Dakota Coyotes||5.0||6||Boxscore|
|@ Wisconsin Badgers||95.0||66|
|Central Michigan Chippewas||7.9||19||Boxscore|
|@ Michigan State Spartans||92.1||35|
|Western Michigan Broncos||25.2||23||Boxscore|
|@ Illinois Fighting Illini||74.8||30|
|@ Iowa Hawkeyes||72.8||29|
|@ Ohio State Buckeyes||67.8||28|
|San Diego State Aztecs||42.6||30||Boxscore|
|@ Michigan Wolverines||57.4||32|
|South Alabama Jaguars||5.5||8||Boxscore|
|@ Kent State Golden Flashes||95.5||36|
|Cal Poly Mustangs||5.0||9||Boxscore|
|@ Northern Illinois Huskies||95.0||53|
|Virginia Military Keydets||6.9||8||Boxscore|
|@ Akron Zips||93.1||30|
|Bowling Green Falcons||26.2||17||Boxscore|
|@ Miami (OH) RedHawks||73.8||25|
|@ Buffalo Bulls||23.8||16|
|Army Black Knights||81.2||26||Boxscore|
|@ Ball State Cardinals||18.8||13|
|California Golden Bears||49.5||22||Boxscore|
|@ Washington Huskies||50.5||23|
|@ Oregon State Beavers||45.0||24|
|@ Arizona State Sun Devils||38.1||26|
|@ Arizona Wildcats||16.8||23|
|Florida Atlantic Owls||5.5||12||Boxscore|
|@ Auburn Tigers||95.5||37|
|@ South Carolina Gamecocks||89.1||34|
|Louisiana Tech Bulldogs||21.8||22||Boxscore|
|@ Mississippi State Bulldogs||78.2||35|
|@ Alabama Crimson Tide||70.3||31|
|@ Kentucky Wildcats||22.8||16|
|@ Mississippi Rebels||8.9||20|
|UC Davis Aggies||5.0||7||Boxscore|
|@ Hawaii Warriors||95.0||53|
|New Mexico State Aggies||28.2||18||Boxscore|
|@ San Jose State Spartans||71.8||25|
|Colorado State Rams||40.6||25||Boxscore|
|@ Utah State Aggies||59.4||30|
|Fresno State Bulldogs||84.2||32||Boxscore|
|@ Idaho Vandals||15.8||20|
|@ Brigham Young Cougars||50.5||29|
|@ Baylor Bears||89.1||41|
|@ Oklahoma Sooners||77.2||33|
|Nevada Wolf Pack||38.6||26||Boxscore|
|@ Texas Tech Red Raiders||61.4||29|
|Oklahoma State Cowboys||55.4||38||Boxscore|
|@ Texas A&M Aggies||44.6||35|
|Georgia State Panthers||5.0||7||Boxscore|
|@ Houston Cougars||95.0||53|
|@ East Carolina Pirates||84.2||35|
|Virginia Tech Hokies||93.1||36||Boxscore|
|@ Marshall Thundering Herd||6.9||14|
|Southern Methodist Mustangs||95.0||45||Boxscore|
|@ Memphis Tigers||5.0||11|
|Southern Utah Thunderbirds||5.0||8||Boxscore|
|@ UNLV Rebels||95.0||33|
|Tulsa Golden Hurricane||5.0||26||Boxscore|
|@ Boise State Broncos||95.0||46|
|Portland State Vikings||5.0||8||Boxscore|
|@ TCU Horned Frogs||95.0||63|
|Tennessee State Tigers||5.0||7||Boxscore|
|@ Air Force Falcons||95.0||49|
|Sam Houston State Bearkats||7.9||10||Boxscore|
|@ New Mexico Lobos||92.1||30|
|@ Wyoming Cowboys||5.0||8|
|Central Arkansas Bears||5.0||7||Boxscore|
|@ Arkansas State Red Wolves||95.0||43|
|Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns||17.8||19||Boxscore|
|@ FIU Golden Panthers||82.2||31|
|Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders||39.6||26||Boxscore|
|@ Troy Trojans||60.4||30|
|@ North Texas Mean Green||29.7||25|
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