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Each Monday, WhatIfSports.com's NCAA college football simulation engine will provide you with game predictions for every D-1 FBS game that upcoming week. The college football simulation engine generates detailed information for each game including each team's chances of winning (Win%) and the average points scored for both teams. Make sure to share the college football information you gained here with your friends by either checking out our NCAA football widgets on the WhatIf To Go page or clicking on the social networking share bar at the top and bottom of this article.
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The statistical inputs to the thousands of college football simulations are based on rigorous analysis of each team's roster, depth charts and statistically based player rankings. Roster modifications are made in cases of injury or suspension and those players are removed from their team's game simulation for that week.
Game of the Week: Wisconsin at Ohio State
Braxton Miller is Ohio State's starting quarterback. This was the message Buckeyes' head coach Urban Meyer relayed to the media following Ohio State's 76-0 dismantling of Florida A&M last Saturday.
Miller's understudy, Kenny Guiton, has made a case to earn the starting gig following back-to-back wins at California and against the Rattlers. He's completed over 68 percent of his passes this season for 664 yards and 13 touchdowns - a school-record six against Florida A&M - with two interceptions and 92 rush yards against the Golden Bears. Now, coach Meyer's message to the media did come with a caveat that Guiton has earned playing time. How exactly Meyer and his offensive coordinators decide to utilize the tag-team quarterbacks isn't exactly clear.
Despite the passing prowess of Guiton, the Bucks still love to run the rock. They are sixth in the country at 311 rush yards per game. Jordan Hall has averaged over six yards per carry this season for over 400 yards and eight touchdowns. However, Carlos Hyde has returned from suspension and is working his way back up the depth chart in time for the Badgers. He carried the ball five times for 41 yards against the Rattlers in limited action. I think Hall and Hyde share the workload on Saturday night.
Even with a couple flubs on defense, against Buffalo Week 1 and at Cal Week 3, the Buckeyes still rank in the Top 15 in total defense (280.3 yards allowed per game) and Top 25 in points allowed (15.3).
The Badgers destroyed their first two opponents, Massachusetts and Tennessee Tech, by a combined score of 93-0. They then traveled to Arizona State and got hosed by the refs in the game's final seconds. Whether or not their kicker would have booted the game-winning field goal is debatable, but the Pac-12 commish publically criticized the officials' handling of the situation. If not for that, the Badgers would be 4-0, following a win over Purdue last Saturday, heading into their game against Ohio State.
The team lost Montee Ball to the NFL, but this backfield doesn't rebuild, it reloads. The three-headed running-back-by-committee is led by senior James White with 61 carries for 442 yards and three touchdowns, but we can't ignore sophomore sensation Melvin Gordon's 11.8 yards per rush on 53 carries! He's scored seven touchdowns in 2013. Corey Clement rounds out the RBBC with 44 carries for 334 yards and four scores.
It's truly hard to gauge the Badgers' defense with wins over a low-end FBS school, an FCS school and Purdue, which is ranked 78th in our WhatIfSports.com college football power rankings. In their only true test, Arizona State racked up 32 points on their defense.
We simulated the Badgers and Buckeyes 101 times and it's the Buckeyes winning 70.3 percent of the time by an average score of 25-19.
College Football Week 5
|Wake Forest Demon Deacons||16.8||17||Boxscore|
|@ Clemson Tigers||83.2||30|
|East Carolina Pirates||30.7||23||Boxscore|
|@ North Carolina Tar Heels||69.3||30|
|Central Michigan Chippewas||32.7||20||Boxscore|
|@ North Carolina State Wolfpack||67.3||28|
|@ Duke Blue Devils||59.9||27|
|@ Pittsburgh Panthers||58.4||22|
|Virginia Tech Hokies||46.0||21||Boxscore|
|@ Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets||54.0||22|
|Florida State Seminoles||78.7||26||Boxscore|
|@ Boston College Eagles||21.3||18|
|@ Ohio State Buckeyes||70.3||25|
|Miami (OH) RedHawks||30.7||20||Boxscore|
|@ Illinois Fighting Illini||69.3||27|
|@ Minnesota Golden Gophers||50.5||22|
|Northern Illinois Huskies||62.4||27||Boxscore|
|@ Purdue Boilermakers||37.6||22|
|@ Bowling Green Falcons||74.3||27|
|@ Ball State Cardinals||55.4||30|
|Kent State Golden Flashes||51.5||24||Boxscore|
|@ Western Michigan Broncos||48.5||23|
|@ Buffalo Bulls||42.6||20|
|California Golden Bears||21.8||18||Boxscore|
|@ Oregon Ducks||78.2||29|
|@ Oregon State Beavers||63.9||27|
|@ Arizona State Sun Devils||59.9||24|
|@ Washington Huskies||52.5||26|
|@ Washington State Cougars||32.2||17|
|@ Vanderbilt Commodores||82.2||28|
|Arkansas State Red Wolves||27.7||20||Boxscore|
|@ Missouri Tigers||72.3||29|
|Ole Miss Rebels||29.7||20||Boxscore|
|@ Alabama Crimson Tide||70.3||27|
|South Alabama Jaguars||35.6||21||Boxscore|
|@ Tennessee Volunteers||64.4||27|
|@ Georgia Bulldogs||60.4||25|
|Texas A&M Aggies||79.2||29||Boxscore|
|@ Arkansas Razorbacks||20.8||21|
|@ Kentucky Wildcats||16.8||16|
|Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders||33.7||20||Boxscore|
|@ BYU Cougars||66.3||26|
|@ Notre Dame Fighting Irish||46.5||22|
|@ Idaho Vandals||36.6||21|
|San Diego State Aztecs||74.8||27||Boxscore|
|@ New Mexico State Aggies||25.2||19|
|@ TCU Horned Frogs||72.3||25|
|Oklahoma State Cowboys||71.8||29||Boxscore|
|@ West Virginia Mountaineers||28.2||22|
|Florida Atlantic Owls||30.7||20||Boxscore|
|@ Rice Owls||69.3||28|
|Army Black Knights||45.5||25||Boxscore|
|@ Louisiana Tech Bulldogs||54.5||26|
|Iowa State Cyclones||55.4||24||Boxscore|
|@ Tulsa Golden Hurricane||44.6||23|
|@ Texas-San Antonio Roadrunners||43.6||28|
|Southern Miss Golden Eagles||17.8||17||Boxscore|
|@ Boise State Broncos||82.2||29|
|@ Colorado State Rams||60.4||26|
|Air Force Falcons||45.5||24||Boxscore|
|@ Nevada Wolf Pack||54.5||27|
|@ New Mexico Lobos||52.5||24|
|Utah State Aggies||68.3||29||Boxscore|
|@ San Jose State Spartans||31.7||24|
|Fresno State Bulldogs||85.6||29||Boxscore|
|@ Hawaii Rainbow Warriors||14.4||16|
|Tulane Green Wave||44.1||24||Boxscore|
|@ Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks||55.9||26|
|@ Western Kentucky Hilltoppers||42.6||24|
|@ Texas State Bobcats||35.1||24|
|South Carolina Gamecocks||59.4||25||Boxscore|
|@ UCF Knights||40.6||21|
|Miami (FL) Hurricanes||92.1||31||Boxscore|
|@ South Florida Bulls||7.9||16|
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