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Each Monday morning, Whatifsports.com's NCAA college football simulation engine will provide you with game predictions for every D-1 FBS game that upcoming week. The college football simulation engine generates detailed information for each game including the home team's chances of winning (Home Win%) and the average points scored for both teams. Make sure to share the college football information you gained here with your friends by either checking out our NCAA football widgets on the WhatIf To Go page or clicking on the social networking share bar at the top and bottom of this article.
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The statistical inputs to the thousands of college football simulations are based on rigorous analysis of each team's roster, depth charts and statistically based player rankings. Roster modifications are made in cases of injury or suspension and those player's are removed from their team's game simulation for that week.
Game of the Week: Arkansas (10) vs Alabama (1)
And with the first pick of the 2011 NFL Draft the Cleveland Browns select...
Ryan Mallett - Quarterback - University of Arkansas.
Woo Pig Sooie.
It's hard to avoid placing the cart before the horse in college football. Heck, America was ready to crown Denard Robinson the Heisman Trophy winner after week two before he ran into that FCS juggernaut Massachusetts last Saturday. Coincidentally, it was also the Wolverines who saw Mallett and his 6-7 frame walk out of the Big House following the arrival of Rich Rodriguez and his spread offense.
After sitting out the 2008 campaign, Mallett made Bobby Petrino's second year in Fayetteville a bit easier. The former back-up to Chad Henne racked up stats hefty enough to rank him in the top ten in most passing categories. He possessed a QB-rating of 152.5 and tossed 30 touchdowns his red-shirt sophomore season.
That was just an appetizer of what was to come this season. Although, Tennessee Tech and Louisiana-Monroe aren't the definition of college football excellence, the Razorbacks caught the attention of many with their win over Georgia on the road last weekend. Mallet's NFL stock continued to soar by throwing for 380 yards, three touchdowns and no interceptions against the Dawgs.
Now ranked 10th in our weekly power rankings, Mallett will try to lead Arkansas to the biggest win in the Petrino era by beating top ranked Alabama on Saturday.
The Tide didn't miss a beat with reigning Heisman Trophy winner, Mark Ingram, watching from the sidelines in weeks one and two. Back-up bulldozer Trent Richardson picked up the slack and proved he has the talents to lead this team to another BCS win. Well, Ingram returned this week against Duke. Let's just say the knee looks fine.
It took Ingram 3 plays to rush for over 100-yards against the Blue Devils. He later scored two touchdowns on rushes of one and 17 yards.
Not a bad first quarter.
Now the 3-0 Tide faces their second challenge in three weeks. Alabama controlled the tempo in their game against Penn State and dominated on both sides of the ball. They'll need more of the same to survive this SEC test and the uber-pass-happy Razborbacks.
Using our college football simulation engine, we simulated Arkansas versus Alabama 101 times. In the end, the Crimson Tide won over 79-percent of the time by an average score of 37-30. Taking a closer look at the box score, the Tide does their damage on the ground (5.1 ypr), while Mallett focuses his efforts on the passing game (342 yds pass/game).
College Football Week 4
|Florida International Golden Panthers||5.0||11|
|@ Maryland Terrapins||95.0||38|
|Virginia Military Keydets||5.0||7|
|@ Virginia Cavaliers||95.0||44|
|North Carolina State Wolfpack||7.9||22|
|@ Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets||92.1||41|
|Wake Forest Demon Deacons||9.9||21|
|@ Florida State Seminoles||90.1||41|
|Army Black Knights||20.8||16|
|@ Duke Blue Devils||79.2||29|
|Virginia Tech Hokies||77.2||31|
|@ Boston College Eagles||22.8||21|
|Western Kentucky Hilltoppers||5.0||11|
|@ South Florida Bulls||95.0||45|
|@ Syracuse Orange||95.0||54|
|@ Connecticut Huskies||93.1||36|
|Miami (FL) Hurricanes||34.7||26|
|@ Pittsburgh Panthers||65.3||34|
|@ Cincinnati Bearcats||26.7||29|
|North Carolina Tar Heels||80.2||24|
|@ Rutgers Scarlet Knights||19.8||15|
|Ball State Cardinals||5.0||7|
|@ Iowa Hawkeyes||95.0||44|
|Northern Colorado Bears||5.0||9|
|@ Michigan State Spartans||95.0||60|
|Eastern Michigan Eagles||5.0||5|
|@ Ohio State Buckeyes||95.0||58|
|Austin Peay Governors||5.0||6|
|@ Wisconsin Badgers||95.0||65|
|Bowling Green Falcons||7.9||16|
|@ Michigan Wolverines||92.1||38|
|Central Michigan Chippewas||19.8||17|
|@ Northwestern Wildcats||80.2||29|
|@ Purdue Boilermakers||76.2||31|
|@ Penn State Nittany Lions||71.3||29|
|@ Indiana Hoosiers||64.4||28|
|Northern Illinois Huskies||70.3||26|
|@ Minnesota Golden Gophers||29.7||21|
|California Golden Bears||38.6||28|
|@ Arizona Wildcats||61.4||32|
|@ Arizona State Sun Devils||7.9||13|
|@ Washington State Cougars||5.0||16|
|@ Florida Gators||91.1||38|
|@ Tennessee Volunteers||90.1||36|
|South Carolina Gamecocks||31.7||23|
|@ Auburn Tigers||68.3||33|
|West Virginia Mountaineers||49.5||24|
|@ LSU Tigers||50.5||25|
|Fresno State Bulldogs||55.4||33|
|@ Mississippi Rebels||44.6||32|
|@ Mississippi State Bulldogs||21.8||23|
|Alabama Crimson Tide||79.2||37|
|@ Arkansas Razorbacks||20.8||30|
|Charleston Southern Buccaneers||5.0||6|
|@ Hawaii Warriors||95.0||55|
|Oregon State Beavers||24.8||32|
|@ Boise State Broncos||75.2||42|
|Southern Miss Golden Eagles||66.3||33|
|@ Louisiana Tech Bulldogs||33.7||30|
|@ Notre Dame Fighting Irish||37.6||34|
|New Mexico State Aggies||5.0||11|
|@ Kansas Jayhawks||95.0||35|
|South Dakota State Jackrabbits||5.0||4|
|@ Nebraska Cornhuskers||95.0||61|
|Northern Iowa Panthers||5.0||9|
|@ Iowa State Cyclones||95.0||44|
|Miami (OH) RedHawks||5.0||9|
|@ Missouri Tigers||95.0||43|
|@ Texas Longhorns||89.1||31|
|@ Kansas State Wildcats||56.4||27|
|Central Arkansas Bears||5.0||9|
|@ Tulsa Golden Hurricane||95.0||36|
|Tulane Green Wave||5.9||22|
|@ Houston Cougars||94.1||44|
|@ UTEP Miners||78.2||34|
|@ Marshall Thundering Herd||38.6||21|
|@ Rice Owls||12.9||21|
|TCU Horned Frogs||95.0||41|
|@ Southern Methodist Mustangs||5.0||24|
|San Jose State Spartans||5.0||8|
|@ Utah Utes||95.0||44|
|New Mexico Lobos||34.7||19|
|@ UNLV Rebels||65.3||27|
|Utah State Aggies||55.4||26|
|@ San Diego State Aztecs||44.6||25|
|Nevada Wolf Pack||63.4||35|
|@ Brigham Young Cougars||36.6||31|
|Air Force Falcons||84.2||31|
|@ Wyoming Cowboys||15.8||19|
|@ Colorado State Rams||5.9||23|
|Southeastern Louisiana Lions||5.0||9|
|@ Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks||95.0||46|
|Arkansas State Red Wolves||6.9||19|
|@ Troy Trojans||93.1||38|
|North Texas Mean Green||26.7||26|
|@ Florida Atlantic Owls||73.3||34|
|Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders||86.1||29|
|@ Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns||13.9||15|
Ryan Fowler is the Content Manager for Whatifsports.com. He can be reached at firstname.lastname@example.org.