2007 NFL Fantasy Projections From WhatIfSports.com image

LT and then the Rest

BtB Previews the 2007 Fantasy Football Season
By Paul Bessire, WhatIfSports.com
August 1st, 2007

The start of training camps means that fantasy football drafting season is upon us and, with all of the work already done on our end, we figured we would share our comprehensive, full-season fantasy football projections with you, our users, as the focus of our next BtB feature. This thorough analysis and statistical evaluation of every player and team in the NFL is part of a broader endeavor with FOXSports.com's Fantasy Football. Each regular season game is simulated 61 times, with the sum of the averages of those games being our final predicted outcome. This allows us to account for ever player and stat. Rosters and depth charts are up-to-date and as accurate as possible as of July 30th.

To view a pop-up with positional rankings, please click on one of the links below. Good luck this season!

Quarterback Running Back Wide Receiver Tight End
Kicker Team Defense Individual Defense


Overall rankings

 NamePosTeamGPPoints*
1.LaDainian TomlinsonRBChargers16366.3
2.Peyton ManningQBColts16341.9
3.Steven JacksonRBRams16325.9
4.Drew BreesQBSaints16296.3
5.Frank GoreRB49ers14290.6
6.Larry JohnsonRBChiefs15285.0
7.Tom BradyQBPatriots16278.7
8.Jon KitnaQBLions16275.8
9.Carson PalmerQBBengals16274.1
10.Joseph AddaiRBColts16273.8
11.Alex SmithQB49ers16273.3
12.Brian WestbrookRBEagles14258.9
13.Marc BulgerQBRams14253.9
14.Philip RiversQBChargers16251.6
 NamePosTeamGPPoints*
15.J.P. LosmanQBBills16247.0
16.Tony RomoQBCowboys15239.5
17.Rudi JohnsonRBBengals16238.3
18.Shaun AlexanderRBSeahawks15237.0
19.Laurence MaroneyRBPatriots14235.9
20.Jeff GarciaQBBuccaneers14232.2
21.Edgerrin JamesRBCardinals16231.9
22.Thomas JonesRBJets16228.0
23.Travis HenryRBBroncos16223.9
24.Matt SchaubQBTexans16220.8
25.Eli ManningQBGiants16220.5
26.Maurice Jones-DrewRBJaguars16217.4
27.Willie ParkerRBSteelers16215.7
28.Brett FavreQBPackers16214.7
29.Donovan McNabbQBEagles13214.5
 NamePosTeamGPPoints*
30.Cedric BensonRBBears16211.7
31.Jason CampbellQBRedskins15210.4
32.Reggie BushRBSaints16210.1
33.Vince YoungQBTitans16208.7
34.Chad PenningtonQBJets14205.7
35.Willis McGaheeRBRavens16202.5
36.Ronnie BrownRBDolphins15201.8
37.Matt LeinartQBCardinals14201.6
38.Reggie WayneWRColts16201.2
39.Marvin HarrisonWRColts16199.7
40.Joey HarringtonQBFalcons13197.3
41.Steve SmithWRPanthers16195.4
42.Roy WilliamsWRLions15194.2
43.Deuce McAllisterRBSaints16189.7
44.Torry HoltWRRams16187.1
 NamePosTeamGPPoints*
45.Matt HasselbeckQBSeahawks15185.4
46.BearsDEF16185.0
47.Jay CutlerQBBroncos16183.8
48.Lee EvansWRBills16182.9
49.Javon WalkerWRBroncos16182.8
50.Trent GreenQBDolphins15181.9
51.Andre JohnsonWRTexans16181.9
52.Jake DelhommeQBPanthers12181.7
53.Steve McNairQBRavens14180.8
54.Carnell WilliamsRBBuccaneers15179.9
55.Chad JohnsonWRBengals16179.7
56.Marques ColstonWRSaints16178.9
57.Tarvaris JacksonQBVikings14178.4
58.Deion BranchWRSeahawks16178.0
59.PatriotsDEF16175.9
 NamePosTeamGPPoints*
60.Marion Barber IIIRBCowboys16175.0
61.Rex GrossmanQBBears14174.6
62.Clinton PortisRBRedskins14174.1
63.Calvin JohnsonWRLions16172.4
64.Ben RoethlisbergerQBSteelers14170.9
65.Anquan BoldinWRCardinals16167.1
66.Jamal LewisRBBrowns14166.2
67.Larry FitzgeraldWRCardinals15163.9
68.Donald DriverWRPackers16163.8
69.DeAngelo WilliamsRBPanthers16161.1
70.Terrell OwensWRCowboys15160.9
71.Chester TaylorRBVikings15160.5
72.Joey GallowayWRBuccaneers16160.3
73.Ahman GreenRBTexans14159.9
74.Marshawn LynchRBBills16158.9
 NamePosTeamGPPoints*
75.Brandon JacobsRBGiants16158.8
76.Darrell JacksonWR49ers16156.3
77.T.J. HoushmandzadehWRBengals16154.4
78.Santana MossWRRedskins15151.6
79.Laveranues ColesWRJets16150.4
80.LaMont JordanRBRaiders16148.8
81.Plaxico BurressWRGiants16148.3
82.DolphinsDEF16147.7
83.Fred TaylorRBJaguars13146.4
84.JaguarsDEF16145.0
85.Brandon JacksonRBPackers16143.8
86.Braylon EdwardsWRBrowns15142.8
87.Jerious NorwoodRBFalcons16142.6
88.ChargersDEF16141.5
89.JaMarcus RussellQBRaiders12140.6
 NamePosTeamGPPoints*
90.Adrian PetersonRBVikings15140.2
91.DeShaun FosterRBPanthers13139.2
92.Vernand MorencyRBPackers14138.5
93.PanthersDEF16138.0
94.Terry GlennWRCowboys16136.7
95.LenDale WhiteRBTitans16135.6
96.Hines WardWRSteelers15135.2
97.Warrick DunnRBFalcons15134.1
98.Julius JonesRBCowboys14133.9
99.Ladell BettsRBRedskins16133.3
100.Randy MossWRPatriots16133.2
101.BroncosDEF16132.2
102.Joe HornWRFalcons14131.8
103.RavensDEF16131.7
104.Antonio GatesTEChargers16130.5
 NamePosTeamGPPoints*
105.Byron LeftwichQBJaguars10129.2
106.Jerricho CotcheryWRJets16128.2
107.Brady QuinnQBBrowns15127.6
108.Mark ClaytonWRRavens16127.6
109.Reggie BrownWREagles16126.4
110.Drew BennettWRRams15124.0
111.Tatum BellRBLions16123.7
112.Kellen WinslowTEBrowns15122.0
113.Chris ChambersWRDolphins16121.3
114.Reuben DroughnsRBGiants16120.5
115.Kevin JonesRBLions10118.3
116.SteelersDEF16117.0
117.Vernon DavisTE49ers16115.5
118.D.J. HackettWRSeahawks16114.2
119.Greg JenningsWRPackers16113.4
 NamePosTeamGPPoints*
120.PackersDEF16112.4
121.Bernard BerrianWRBears13110.4
122.CowboysDEF16110.3
123.Alge CrumplerTEFalcons16109.4
124.BengalsDEF16107.6
125.49ersDEF16107.1
126.Damon HuardQBChiefs9106.9
127.JetsDEF16106.7
128.Donte' StallworthWRPatriots16106.5
129.Mike BellRBBroncos16106.3
130.BuccaneersDEF16106.0
131.Robert MeachemWRSaints14104.3
132.Joe JureviciusWRBrowns15103.9
133.Mike FurreyWRLions16103.0
134.RaidersDEF16102.4
 NamePosTeamGPPoints*
135.Jeremy ShockeyTEGiants16101.2
136.Vincent JacksonWRChargers16100.9
137.EaglesDEF16100.9
138.Jason WittenTECowboys16100.3
139.Muhsin MuhammadWRBears16100.0
140.VikingsDEF1699.7
141.Kevin CurtisWREagles1699.4
142.Todd HeapTERavens1699.4
143.ChiefsDEF1698.8
144.SaintsDEF1697.9
145.Maurice StovallWRBuccaneers1697.5
146.Ronald CurryWRRaiders1697.1
147.Chris CooleyTERedskins1696.1
148.Matt JonesWRJaguars1695.2
149.Bobby WadeWRVikings1694.5
 NamePosTeamGPPoints*
150.Marty BookerWRDolphins1694.3
151.Dwayne JarrettWRPanthers1694.3
152.Jerry PorterWRRaiders1694.1
153.ColtsDEF1693.7
154.Eddie KennisonWRChiefs1692.9
155.Santonio HolmesWRSteelers1592.1
156.Troy WilliamsonWRVikings1592.1
157.BillsDEF1692.0
158.Benjamin WatsonTEPatriots1691.6
159.Michael ClaytonWRBuccaneers1491.2
160.Mike AndersonRBRavens1690.2
161.Kevin WalterWRTexans1690.1
162.Roddy WhiteWRFalcons1690.0
163.Lorenzo BookerRBDolphins1689.6
164.Sidney RiceWRVikings1689.6
 NamePosTeamGPPoints*
165.Drew CarterWRPanthers1688.6
166.Tony GonzalezTEChiefs1687.9
167.RedskinsDEF1686.2
168.Reggie WilliamsWRJaguars1685.8
169.Samie ParkerWRChiefs1685.3
170.Devery HendersonWRSaints1685.0
171.Brodie CroyleQBChiefs984.8
172.Doug GabrielWRRaiders1684.8
173.Bryant JohnsonWRCardinals1684.1
174.Owen DanielsTETexans1683.7
175.Michael PittmanRBBuccaneers1682.4
176.Chris HenryRBTitans1681.5
177.FalconsDEF1681.3
178.Arnaz BattleWR49ers1680.9
179.Eric ParkerWRChargers1579.9
 NamePosTeamGPPoints*
180.CardinalsDEF1679.7
181.David CarrQBPanthers779.3
182.Mark BradleyWRBears1679.0
183.Dwayne BoweWRChiefs1678.8
184.Demetrius WilliamsWRRavens1678.6
185.Michael JenkinsWRFalcons1678.6
186.GiantsDEF1678.4
187.SeahawksDEF1677.7
188.Peerless PriceWRBills1677.6
189.Charlie FryeQBBrowns676.7
190.Brandon JonesWRTitans1676.3
191.Leon WashingtonRBJets1676.2
192.Anthony GonzalezWRColts1675.7
193.L.J. SmithTEEagles1674.9
194.Craig DavisWRChargers1674.8
 NamePosTeamGPPoints*
195.Isaac BruceWRRams1673.7
196.Roscoe ParrishWRBills1473.3
197.Derrick MasonWRRavens1672.8
198.Anthony ThomasRBBills1472.1
199.BrownsDEF1671.6
200.Michael TurnerRBChargers1670.8
201.Michael BennettRBChiefs1270.2
202.Ron DayneRBTexans1670.1
203.Kenny IronsRBBengals1669.4
204.Garrett WolfeRBBears1669.2
205.RamsDEF1669.1
206.Steve SmithWRGiants1668.5
207.David GarrardQBJaguars668.4
208.Michael BushRBRaiders1666.0
209.Jason HillWR49ers1665.4
 NamePosTeamGPPoints*
210.Justin McCareinsWRJets1665.2
211.Ernest WilfordWRJaguars1665.1
212.Josh McCownQBRaiders1164.4
213.LionsDEF1664.2
214.Ted Ginn Jr.WRDolphins1563.4
215.Patrick CraytonWRCowboys1663.3
216.Kevin FaulkRBPatriots1663.2
217.Correll BuckhalterRBEagles1362.8
218.Desmond ClarkTEBears1662.7
219.Nate WashingtonWRSteelers1662.6
220.Tab PerryWRBengals1662.3
221.Antwaan Randle ElWRRedskins1661.7
222.Brandon LloydWRRedskins1661.6
223.TexansDEF1661.1
224.Najeh DavenportRBSteelers1361.1
 NamePosTeamGPPoints*
225.Michael RobinsonRB49ers1660.4
226.Verron HaynesRBSteelers1659.5
227.Maurice MorrisRBSeahawks1659.3
228.Dallas ClarkTEColts1259.1
229.Jacoby JonesWRTexans1658.8
230.Bo ScaifeTETitans1658.7
231.Amani ToomerWRGiants1458.2
232.Rod SmithWRBroncos1657.0
233.James JonesWRPackers1656.4
234.Matt SchobelTEEagles1654.8
235.Randy McMichaelTERams1654.2
236.Brian LeonardRBRams1654.0
237.Bobby EngramWRSeahawks1353.6
238.Chris BakerTEJets1651.9
239.David ThomasTEPatriots1651.6
 NamePosTeamGPPoints*
240.Dominic RhodesRBRaiders1251.5
241.Bryan FletcherTEColts1650.9
242.Alex SmithTEBuccaneers1650.8
243.Josh ReedWRBills1649.4
244.Johnnie Lee HigginsWRRaiders1649.4
245.Tim CarterWRBrowns1649.1
246.Wes WelkerWRPatriots1548.7
247.Mike WilliamsWRRaiders1647.4
248.Greg LewisWREagles1647.0
249.Eric JohnsonTESaints1646.2
250.TitansDEF1645.9
251.Heath EvansRBPatriots1644.9
252.Ashley LelieWR49ers1643.8
253.Reggie KellyTEBengals1642.8
254.David MartinTEDolphins1642.8
 NamePosTeamGPPoints*
255.Jerome HarrisonRBBrowns1642.4
256.Visanthe ShiancoeTEVikings1642.2
257.Greg JonesRBJaguars1342.2
258.George WrighsterTEJaguars1642.1
259.Ruvell MartinWRPackers1642.1
260.Brandon MarshallWRBroncos1641.8
261.Kurt WarnerQBCardinals1141.6
262.Chris BrownRBTitans1641.6
263.Justin GageWRTitans1639.7
264.D.J. ShockleyQBFalcons1439.2
265.Cecil SappRBBroncos1639.0
266.DeDe DorseyRBColts1639.0
267.Steve HeidenTEBrowns1638.6
268.Leonard PopeTECardinals1638.1
269.Ovie MughelliRBFalcons1638.0
 NamePosTeamGPPoints*
270.Robert RoyalTEBills1637.7
271.Chris SimmsQBBuccaneers936.8
272.Heath MillerTESteelers1636.7
273.Ike HilliardWRBuccaneers1636.1
274.Dwayne WrightRBBills1636.0
275.Gus FrerotteQBRams1635.2
276.Zach MillerTERaiders1635.2
277.Greg OlsenTEBears1635.1
278.Ben TroupeTETitans1634.8
279.J.J. ArringtonRBCardinals1633.3
280.Dan CampbellTELions1533.1
281.Jesse ChatmanRBDolphins1632.8
282.Musa SmithRBRavens1632.5
283.Jermaine WigginsTEJaguars1632.5
284.Kellen ClemensQBJets1632.1
 NamePosTeamGPPoints*
285.Marcel ShippRBCardinals1631.9
286.Marcus PollardTESeahawks1631.8
287.Tony RichardsonRBVikings1631.2
288.Devin HesterWRBears1631.2
289.Mack StrongRBSeahawks1631.1
290.Tony HuntRBEagles1630.4
291.A.J. FeeleyQBEagles1530.2
292.Brandon StokleyWRBroncos1130.0
293.Wali LundyRBTexans1330.0
294.Nate BurlesonWRSeahawks1629.5
295.Daniel GrahamTEBroncos1629.1
296.Antonio PittmanRBSaints1629.1
297.David GivensWRTitans1029.1
298.Kevan BarlowRBSteelers1629.0
299.Shaun McDonaldWRLions1428.7
 NamePosTeamGPPoints*
300.Ben UtechtTEColts1628.4
301.Bubba FranksTEPackers1628.1
302.Jeff KingTEPanthers1628.1
303.Priest HolmesRBChiefs1327.9
304.Derek HaganWRDolphins1627.9
305.T.J. DuckettRBLions1627.7
306.Reche CaldwellWRPatriots1627.4
307.Brooks BollingerQBVikings426.9
308.Derek AndersonQBBrowns1026.7
309.Billy McMullenWRVikings1626.6
310.Brad HooverRBPanthers1626.4
311.Chris HenryWRBengals625.9
312.Marcedes LewisTEJaguars1625.7
313.Brian GrieseQBBears825.3
314.Joe KlopfensteinTERams1625.2
 NamePosTeamGPPoints*
315.Travis WilsonWRBrowns1624.9
316.Kyle BollerQBRavens1024.6
317.Mike SellersRBRedskins1624.6
318.Lawrence VickersRBBrowns1624.5
319.Mark CampbellTESaints1623.7
320.Antonio ChatmanWRBengals1323.6
321.Charlie BatchQBSteelers523.5
322.Cedrick WilsonWRSteelers1623.1
323.Brad JohnsonQBCowboys823.0
324.Adrian PetersonRBBears1622.7
325.Adam JenningsWRFalcons1622.7
326.Vonta LeachRBTexans1622.1
327.Lorenzo NealRBChargers1622.0
328.Ryne RobinsonWRPanthers1621.9
329.Darian BarnesRBJets1621.9
 NamePosTeamGPPoints*
330.Tony SchefflerTEBroncos1621.9
331.Donald LeeTEPackers1621.8
332.Hank BaskettWREagles1621.7
333.Quinn GrayQBJaguars421.6
334.Chris RedmanQBFalcons321.2
335.Trent DilferQB49ers1120.9
336.Paris WarrenWRBuccaneers1620.6
337.Sinorice MossWRGiants1320.5
338.Kevin KolbQBEagles319.8
339.LeRon McCoyWRCardinals1619.8
340.Michael GainesTEPanthers1619.5
341.Seneca WallaceQBSeahawks1119.4
342.Dwayne BlakleyTEFalcons1618.7
343.Glenn HoltWRBengals1617.9
344.Sage RosenfelsQBTexans917.8
 NamePosTeamGPPoints*
345.Derrick WardRBGiants1617.7
346.Jason McKieRBBears1617.4
347.Jeb PutzierTETexans1617.2
348.Sam HurdWRCowboys1616.9
349.Courtney AndersonTEDolphins1616.9
350.Mike AlstottRBBuccaneers1616.6

* The individual players and defensive teams below are ranked based entirely on projected full-season fantasy points using the FOX Fantasy Football Default Scoring where for QBs, RBs, WRs and TE, all TDs are 6 points, each 25 yards passing are 1 point, interceptions are -2 points, fumbles lost are -2 points, each ten yards receiving are 1 point and two-point conversions are 2 points. For kickers, all extra points are 1 point and all field goals are at least 3 points with an extra bonus point for field goals made over 40 yards and another bonus point for field goals made over 50 yards. Individual defensive players (linked to below, but not inlcuded in overall rankings) earn 1 point for each solo tackle, 1 point for each sack, 2 points for each interception and six points for each touchdown. Team defenses include special teams and are treated similarly for sacks, interceptions and touchdown returns, while a more complex system, based on the outcome of each individual game, is utilized for points allowed per game.

Please note: These overall fantasy rankings are strictly based on total points earned for the season. They do not account for position scarcity, number of owners drafting and their drafting style, roster restrictions, custom league scoring rules or other items that should be considered while drafting. Injuries are accounted for based on a player's past history and the likelihood of missing games due to injury. This is reflected in his games plaed (GP) value. However, unless the injury is already known and takes place at the beginning of the season, the players are arbitrarily injured throughout the season (as opposed to just at the end or beginning of the year). Players with less than 16 GP will likely vary the most from their projected numbers because they are injury-prone or have depth chart and playing time concerns.

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