Week 17 NFL Projections

BtB Previews Week 17 in Fantasy Football
By Paul Bessire, WhatIfSports.com
December 26th, 2007

NFL Football is here. With all of the work already done on our end, we figured we would share our comprehensive, week-by-week fantasy football projections with our users, as the focus of our weekly BtB feature. This thorough analysis and statistical evaluation of every player and team in the NFL is part of a broader endeavor with FOXSports.com's Fantasy Football. Each regular season game is simulated 61 times, with the averages of those games being our final predicted outcome. This allows us to account for ever player and stat. As Rosters and depth charts are up-to-date and as accurate as possible as of the Monday before each week's games. We will update these projections each week on Tuesday morning. The same is true for the widget that appears on this page and includes game scores.

To view a pop-up with positional rankings, please click on one of the links below. Good luck this season!

Quarterback Running Back Wide Receiver Tight End
Kicker Team Defense Individual Defense

Overall rankings

1.Kurt WarnerQBCardinalsRams23.3
2.Drew BreesQBSaintsBears22.5
3.Brian WestbrookRBEaglesBills21.5
4.Tom BradyQBPatriotsGiants21.4
5.Ben RoethlisbergerQBSteelersRavens20.8
6.David GarrardQBJaguarsTexans20.6
7.Derek AndersonQBBrowns49ers20.0
8.Frank GoreRB49ersBrowns20.0
9.Kyle OrtonQBBearsSaints19.6
10.Donovan McNabbQBEaglesBills19.4
11.Brodie CroyleQBChiefsJets19.3
12.Brett FavreQBPackersLions19.3
13.Tarvaris JacksonQBVikingsBroncos19.2
14.Jamal LewisRBBrowns49ers19.1
15.Shaun HillQB49ersBrowns18.7
16.Carson PalmerQBBengalsDolphins18.5
17.Michael TurnerRBChargersRaiders18.2
18.Sage RosenfelsQBTexansJaguars18.1
19.Chad PenningtonQBJetsChiefs18.0
20.Kenny WatsonRBBengalsDolphins17.6
21.Adrian PetersonRBVikingsBroncos17.5
22.Marc BulgerQBRamsCardinals17.2
23.Matt HasselbeckQBSeahawksFalcons17.1
24.Cleo LemonQBDolphinsBengals17.0
25.Kolby SmithRBChiefsJets16.9
26.Edgerrin JamesRBCardinalsRams16.9
27.Jay CutlerQBBroncosVikings16.4
28.Najeh DavenportRBSteelersRavens16.1
29.Jon KitnaQBLionsPackers16.1
30.Steven JacksonRBRamsCardinals16.0
31.Ryan GrantRBPackersLions15.9
32.Chris RedmanQBFalconsSeahawks15.5
33.Trent EdwardsQBBillsEagles15.3
34.Larry FitzgeraldWRCardinalsRams15.1
35.Aaron SteckerRBSaintsBears15.0
36.Philip RiversQBChargersRaiders15.0
37.Adrian PetersonRBBearsSaints14.5
38.T.J. DuckettRBLionsPackers14.4
39.Warrick DunnRBFalconsSeahawks14.1
40.Clinton PortisRBRedskinsCowboys14.1
41.Brandon MarshallWRBroncosVikings14.0
42.Todd CollinsQBRedskinsCowboys13.9
43.Jerricho CotcheryWRJetsChiefs13.8
44.Andre JohnsonWRTexansJaguars13.6
45.Tony GonzalezTEChiefsJets13.5
46.Braylon EdwardsWRBrowns49ers13.4
47.Thomas JonesRBJetsChiefs13.3
48.Troy SmithQBRavensSteelers13.1
49.Anquan BoldinWRCardinalsRams13.1
50.Bernard BerrianWRBearsSaints12.8
51.Chad JohnsonWRBengalsDolphins12.8
52.Vince YoungQBTitansColts12.8
53.Laurence MaroneyRBPatriotsGiants12.7
54.Roddy WhiteWRFalconsSeahawks12.2
55.Fred TaylorRBJaguarsTexans12.2
56.Chester TaylorRBVikingsBroncos12.2
57.DeAngelo WilliamsRBPanthersBuccaneers12.1
58.Ahmad BradshawRBGiantsPatriots12.0
59.LenDale WhiteRBTitansColts12.0
60.Kevin CurtisWREaglesBills11.9
61.T.J. HoushmandzadehWRBengalsDolphins11.9
62.LaDainian TomlinsonRBChargersRaiders11.8
63.Wes WelkerWRPatriotsGiants11.8
64.Marshawn LynchRBBillsEagles11.7
65.Kellen WinslowTEBrowns49ers11.7
66.Bobby EngramWRSeahawksFalcons11.6
67.Earnest GrahamRBBuccaneersPanthers11.5
68.Selvin YoungRBBroncosVikings11.5
69.David PattenWRSaintsBears11.4
70.Lee EvansWRBillsEagles11.3
71.Peyton ManningQBColtsTitans11.2
72.Jeff GarciaQBBuccaneersPanthers11.2
73.Shaun McDonaldWRLionsPackers11.1
74.Maurice Jones-DrewRBJaguarsTexans10.9
75.JaMarcus RussellQBRaidersChargers10.9
76.Adam VinatieriKColtsTitans10.8
77.Torry HoltWRRamsCardinals10.6
78.Plaxico BurressWRGiantsPatriots10.6
79.Jesse ChatmanRBDolphinsBengals10.5
80.Marion BarberRBCowboysRedskins10.5
81.Randy MossWRPatriotsGiants10.4
82.Eli ManningQBGiantsPatriots10.3
83.Ron DayneRBTexansJaguars10.2
84.Kenton KeithRBColtsTitans10.0
85.Tony RomoQBCowboysRedskins10.0
86.Nate KaedingKChargersRaiders10.0
87.Greg JenningsWRPackersLions9.9
88.Hines WardWRSteelersRavens9.8
90.Josh ScobeeKJaguarsTexans9.7
91.Jason ElamKBroncosVikings9.7
93.Arnaz BattleWR49ersBrowns9.6
94.Marques ColstonWRSaintsBears9.5
95.Derrick MasonWRRavensSteelers9.5
96.Matt MooreQBPanthersBuccaneers9.4
98.Mason CrosbyKPackersLions9.1
99.Dwayne BoweWRChiefsJets9.1
100.Chris CooleyTERedskinsCowboys9.1
101.Dominic RhodesRBRaidersChargers9.0
102.Vernon DavisTE49ersBrowns9.0
103.David AkersKEaglesBills8.9
104.Kevin FaulkRBPatriotsGiants8.9
105.Jerry PorterWRRaidersChargers8.8
106.Neil RackersKCardinalsRams8.7
107.Santonio HolmesWRSteelersRavens8.6
108.Musa SmithRBRavensSteelers8.6
109.Dennis NorthcuttWRJaguarsTexans8.6
110.Devery HendersonWRSaintsBears8.5
111.Chris ChambersWRChargersRaiders8.5
112.Donald DriverWRPackersLions8.5
113.Stephen GostkowskiKPatriotsGiants8.4
114.John CarneyKChiefsJets8.4
115.Josh BrownKSeahawksFalcons8.3
116.Reggie WayneWRColtsTitans8.3
117.Jason HansonKLionsPackers8.3
118.Mike FurreyWRLionsPackers8.2
119.Amani ToomerWRGiantsPatriots8.2
120.Jay FeelyKDolphinsBengals8.2
121.Zach MillerTERaidersChargers8.1
122.Anthony GonzalezWRColtsTitans8.1
123.Ryan LongwellKVikingsBroncos8.1
124.Shayne GrahamKBengalsDolphins8.0
125.Greg CamarilloWRDolphinsBengals8.0
126.Ronald CurryWRRaidersChargers8.0
127.Patrick CraytonWRCowboysRedskins8.0
128.Jeff WilkinsKRamsCardinals8.0
129.Deion BranchWRSeahawksFalcons8.0
130.Steve SmithWRPanthersBuccaneers7.9
131.Reggie WilliamsWRJaguarsTexans7.9
132.Matt StoverKRavensSteelers7.8
133.Sidney RiceWRVikingsBroncos7.8
134.Mike NugentKJetsChiefs7.8
136.Calvin JohnsonWRLionsPackers7.8
137.Phil DawsonKBrowns49ers7.7
138.Jeff ReedKSteelersRavens7.6
139.Kevin WalterWRTexansJaguars7.6
140.Bobby WadeWRVikingsBroncos7.6
141.Rian LindellKBillsEagles7.6
142.Lorenzo BookerRBDolphinsBengals7.5
143.John KasayKPanthersBuccaneers7.5
144.Darrell JacksonWR49ersBrowns7.4
145.Jason WittenTECowboysRedskins7.4
146.Owen DanielsTETexansJaguars7.3
147.Shaun AlexanderRBSeahawksFalcons7.3
148.Antonio GatesTEChargersRaiders7.3
149.Vincent JacksonWRChargersRaiders7.3
150.Justin GageWRTitansColts7.3
151.Roydell WilliamsWRTitansColts7.3
155.Marty BookerWRDolphinsBengals7.2
156.Josh ReedWRBillsEagles7.1
157.James JonesWRPackersLions7.1
158.Reggie BrownWREaglesBills7.1
159.Brandon StokleyWRBroncosVikings7.1
160.Isaac BruceWRRamsCardinals7.1
161.Shaun SuishamKRedskinsCowboys7.0
162.Heath MillerTESteelersRavens7.0
163.Joe NedneyK49ersBrowns7.0
164.Robbie GouldKBearsSaints7.0
165.Nick FolkKCowboysRedskins6.9
166.Ike HilliardWRBuccaneersPanthers6.9
167.Justin McCareinsWRJetsChiefs6.8
168.Rob BironasKTitansColts6.8
169.Maurice MorrisRBSeahawksFalcons6.8
170.Santana MossWRRedskinsCowboys6.8
171.Antwaan Randle ElWRRedskinsCowboys6.8
174.Matt BryantKBuccaneersPanthers6.8
175.Marcedes LewisTEJaguarsTexans6.7
176.Laurent RobinsonWRFalconsSeahawks6.6
177.Muhsin MuhammadWRBearsSaints6.5
178.Sebastian JanikowskiKRaidersChargers6.5
179.Michael ClaytonWRBuccaneersPanthers6.5
181.Sam HurdWRCowboysRedskins6.4
182.Donald LeeTEPackersLions6.4
183.Michael PittmanRBBuccaneersPanthers6.3
186.Martin GramaticaKSaintsBears6.2
187.Verron HaynesRBSteelersRavens6.2
188.Jerious NorwoodRBFalconsSeahawks6.1
189.Travis HenryRBBroncosVikings6.1
191.Willis McGaheeRBRavensSteelers6.0
192.Andre DavisWRTexansJaguars6.0
193.Ernest WilfordWRJaguarsTexans6.0
194.Lawrence TynesKGiantsPatriots6.0
196.Morten AndersenKFalconsSeahawks5.9
197.Desmond ClarkTEBearsSaints5.8
198.DeShaun FosterRBPanthersBuccaneers5.7
199.Kris BrownKTexansJaguars5.7
200.Visanthe ShiancoeTEVikingsBroncos5.6

* The individual players and defensive teams are ranked based entirely on projected weekly fantasy points using the FOX Fantasy Football Default Scoring where for QBs, RBs, WRs and TE, all TDs are 6 points, each 25 yards passing are 1 point, interceptions are -2 points, fumbles lost are -2 points, each ten yards receiving or rushing are 1 point and two-point conversions are 2 points. For kickers, all extra points are 1 point and all field goals are at least 3 points with an extra bonus point for field goals made over 40 yards and another bonus point for field goals made over 50 yards. Individual defensive players (linked to below, but not inlcuded in overall rankings) earn 1 point for each solo tackle, 1 point for each sack, 2 points for each interception and six points for each touchdown. Team defenses include special teams and are treated similarly for sacks, interceptions and touchdown returns, while a more complex system, based on the outcome of each individual game, is utilized for points allowed per game.

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