Projected Bowl Results and Final Standings From WhatIfSports.com image

Bowl Results and Final Standings

Scores and standings for every team
By Paul Bessire, WhatIfSports.com
August 26th, 2008

After previewing a 2008 week in college football each day for the last 15 days, we present final standings and bowl results. We did our best to slot teams based on their final regular season expected records and standings. With 68 teams no making a bowl and so many bowl ties to conferences like the SEC and ACC, we broadened bowl eligibility to include any team that finished .500 or above in expected or absolute record.

Rosters and depth charts are up-to-date and as accurate as possible as of August 1, 2008. A schedule of upcoming college football preview content including links to other previews that have already been posted is located here.

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Each FBS bowl game is simulated 1,000 times, with the sum of the winning percentages of those games being our Expected and Absolute Records as of the conclusion of that week. The Absolute Record is simply the total number of games in which a team is favored. The Expected Record, the more accurate approach, is the sum of the team's win probabilities from each game. The Expected Record accounts for the fact that some wins are less certain than others (a 50.1% win is different than a 99% win). Since the favored team does not win every game (otherwise, why would we watch?), the likelihood of an upset is important to take into account. We may ultimately say that six teams are favored to win all of their games, but we only expect one team to do so (stick around to August 26th to find out who).

Also, especially since we are rounding, it is possible for a team to win a game more often, yet score the same or fewer points than the opponent on average. In those cases, for Absolute Records, we always take higher winning percentage and are not predicting a tie or a win by an underdog. This is another reason why the expected records are more accurate, as the teams are so evenly matched, the game could easily go either way.

The inputs to the simulations are based on a rigorous analysis of each team that first considers strength-of-schedule-adjusted team and player ratings from 2007 and then makes modifications for 2008 based on returning starters (who, where and how many), expected progression of returning players in new roles, depth at each position and incoming recruits and transfers.

Today we preview bowl season. Please note the final season standings below. The ranking next to each team is its pre-season Power Ranking. Check back here tomorrow and throughout the season for our updated power rankings and actual weekly predictions.

BCS Championship Game: #1 OSU (13-0) 23 vs #2 Georgia 17 (12-2)
The Buckeyes erase the SEC demons of the past two years as well as any doubt as to who should be the 2008 national champion as Ohio State remains the country's lone undefeated team after defeating Georgia 61% of the time in the BCS Championship Game and by an average score of 23-17. Other BCS game winners include Clemson by a single point over West Virginia in the Orange Bowl, Oklahoma by more than two touchdowns over Wake Forest in the Fiesta Bowl, USC over another Big Ten #2 in the Rose Bowl and LSU by eight points over Missouri.

2008 Bowl Results

Poinsettia Bowl
#54 New Mexico 41 - #74 Temple 37 (New Mexico wins 61%)

New Orleans Bowl
#57 FAU 26 - #86 Rice 23 (FAU wins 67%)

Papajohns.com Bowl
#36 Louisville 38 - #56 Air Force 28 (Louisville wins 62%)

New Mexico Bowl
#34 TCU 25 - #51 Nevada 22 (TCU wins 60%)

Las Vegas Bowl
#20 BYU 30 - #29 Oregon 25 (BYU wins 59%)

Hawaii Bowl
#33 UCLA 31 - #45 Boise State 25 (UCLA wins 80%)

Motor City Bowl
#62 Ball State 34 - #66 Iowa 27 (Ball State wins 87%)

Holiday Bowl
#16 Texas Tech 30 - #22 Arizona State 22 (Texas Tech wins 68%)

Texas Bowl
#25 Cincinnati 35 - #65 Nebraska 25 (Cincinnati wins 68%)

Champs Sports Bowl
#39 Penn State 23 - #37 Florida State 19 (Penn State wins 52%)

Emerald Bowl
#52 Arizona 26 - #87 Louisiana-Monroe 19 (Arizona wins 77%)

Meineke Car Care Bowl
#31 Pitt 38 - #72 Miami (FL) 29 (Pitt wins 66%)

Liberty Bowl
#44 Houston 30 - #53 Kentucky 28 (Houston wins 55%)

Alamo Bowl
#15 Kansas 26 - #35 Indiana 13 (Kansas wins 81%)

Independence Bowl
#50 Kansas State 36 - #58 Mississippi State 33 (Kansas State wins 55%)

Armed Forces Bowl
#26 Utah 30 - #41 East Carolina 18 (Utah wins 85%)

Sun Bowl
#42 Cal 38 - #47 Notre Dame 36 (Cal wins 64%)

Humanitarian Bowl
#21 Fresno State 35 - #79 Western Michigan 25 (Fresno State wins 95%)

Music City Bowl
#23 Tennessee 34 - #30 Maryland 29 (Tennessee wins 58%)

Chick-fil-a Bowl
#17 Virginia Tech 19 - #43 South Carolina 14 (Virginia Tech wins 83%)

Insight Bowl
#28 Oklahoma State 31 - #24 Michigan 25 (Oklahoma State wins 56%)

Outback Bowl
#12 Illinois 25 - #18 Auburn 24 (Illinois wins 59%)

Cotton Bowl
#11 Texas 32 - #13 Alabama 27 (Texas wins 53%)

Gator Bowl
#19 South Florida 17 - #38 North Carolina 10 (South Florida wins 69%)

Capitol One Bowl
#8 Florida 27 - #27 Purdue 13 (Florida wins 82%)

International Bowl
#55 Central Michigan 34 - #80 Southern Miss 24 (Central Michigan wins 66%)

GMAC Bowl
#48 UCF 32 - #73 Miami (OH) 25 (UCF wins 64%)

St. Petersburg Bowl
#46 UConn 32 - #61 Tulsa 30 (Central Michigan wins 56%)

Congressional Bowl
#70 Navy 37 - #76 Duke 23 (Navy wins 75%)

Rose Bowl
#5 USC 28 - #10 Wisconsin 24 (USC wins 60%)

Sugar Bowl
#4 LSU 28 - #9 Missouri 20 (LSU wins 68%)

Fiesta Bowl
#3 Oklahoma 25 - #14 Wake Forest 10 (Oklahoma wins 91%)

Orange Bowl
#7 Clemson 19 - #6 West Virginia 18 (Clemson wins 52%)

BCS Championship
#1 Ohio State 23 - #2 Georgia 17 (Ohio State wins 61%)


Final FBS Standings

ConferenceTeamAbs RecordExp Record
Atlantic CoastClemson14 - 013 - 1
Atlantic CoastVirginia Tech12 - 110 - 3
Atlantic CoastWF11 - 210 - 3
Atlantic CoastMaryland6 - 78 - 5
Atlantic CoastNorth Carolina10 - 38 - 5
Atlantic CoastFlorida State8 - 57 - 6
Atlantic CoastBoston College4 - 85 - 7
Atlantic CoastDuke3 - 106 - 7
Atlantic CoastGA Tech5 - 75 - 7
Atlantic CoastMiami (FL)6 - 75 - 8
Atlantic CoastVirginia2 - 103 - 9
Atlantic CoastNC St.1 - 112 - 10
Big EastW. Virginia12 - 111 - 2
Big EastSouth Florida11 - 29 - 4
Big EastCincinnati10 - 49 - 5
Big EastConnecticut8 - 58 - 5
Big EastLouisville8 - 58 - 5
Big EastPittsburgh11 - 28 - 5
Big EastRutgers4 - 87 - 5
Big EastSyracuse2 - 102 - 10
Big TenOhio State13 - 013 - 0
Big TenIllinois10 - 310 - 3
Big TenWisconsin11 - 29 - 4
Big TenIndiana8 - 57 - 6
Big TenMichigan8 - 57 - 6
Big TenPenn State8 - 58 - 5
Big TenPurdue11 - 27 - 6
Big TenIowa5 - 86 - 7
Big TenMichigan State4 - 86 - 6
Big TenNorthwestern5 - 75 - 7
Big TenMinn.3 - 94 - 8
Big TwelveOklahoma14 - 013 - 1
Big TwelveMissouri12 - 210 - 4
Big TwelveTexas Tech10 - 310 - 3
Big TwelveTexas11 - 210 - 3
Big TwelveKansas10 - 310 - 3
Big TwelveOklahoma State9 - 49 - 4
Big TwelveKansas State8 - 58 - 5
Big TwelveNebraska5 - 86 - 7
Big TwelveColorado5 - 75 - 7
Big TwelveTexas A&M4 - 85 - 7
Big TwelveBaylor2 - 103 - 9
Big TwelveIowa State1 - 112 - 10
Conference USAHouston12 - 210 - 4
Conference USAUCF12 - 211 - 3
Conference USAEast Carolina9 - 48 - 5
Conference USATulsa8 - 58 - 5
Conference USARice8 - 57 - 6
Conference USAS. Miss7 - 66 - 7
Conference USAMemphis3 - 95 - 7
Conference USASMU5 - 75 - 7
Conference USAUTEP3 - 94 - 8
Conference USAMarshall3 - 93 - 9
Conference USATulane2 - 103 - 9
Conference USAUAB1 - 112 - 10
Independents (FBS)Notre Dame7 - 67 - 6
Independents (FBS)Navy6 - 66 - 6
Independents (FBS)Western Kentucky4 - 85 - 7
Independents (FBS)Army1 - 112 - 10
Mid-AmericanBall State12 - 210 - 4
Mid-AmericanC. Michigan10 - 39 - 4
Mid-AmericanMiami (OH)9 - 57 - 7
Mid-AmericanTemple6 - 77 - 6
Mid-AmericanW. Michigan8 - 57 - 6
Mid-AmericanBowling Green6 - 66 - 6
Mid-AmericanKent St.6 - 66 - 6
Mid-AmericanOhio5 - 76 - 6
Mid-AmericanBuffalo3 - 95 - 7
Mid-AmericanE. Michigan2 - 104 - 8
Mid-AmericanNorthern Illinois3 - 94 - 8
Mid-AmericanToledo3 - 94 - 8
Mid-AmericanAkron2 - 103 - 9
Mountain WestBrigham Young12 - 111 - 2
Mountain WestTCU11 - 210 - 3
Mountain WestUtah11 - 210 - 3
Mountain WestAir Force7 - 67 - 6
Mountain WestNew Mexico9 - 48 - 5
Mountain WestWyoming6 - 67 - 5
Mountain WestColorado St.3 - 94 - 8
Mountain WestUNLV3 - 94 - 8
Mountain WestSan Diego State1 - 112 - 10
Pacific-10USC12 - 112 - 1
Pacific-10Arizona St.10 - 38 - 5
Pacific-10Arizona8 - 58 - 5
Pacific-10California11 - 28 - 5
Pacific-10Oregon8 - 57 - 6
Pacific-10UCLA6 - 77 - 6
Pacific-10Oregon State3 - 94 - 8
Pacific-10Washington3 - 94 - 8
Pacific-10Washington St.3 - 104 - 9
Pacific-10Stanford1 - 112 - 10
SoutheasternGeorgia13 - 112 - 2
SoutheasternLSU11 - 311 - 3
SoutheasternFlorida11 - 211 - 2
SoutheasternAlabama9 - 48 - 5
SoutheasternAuburn8 - 58 - 5
SoutheasternTennessee9 - 48 - 5
SoutheasternKentucky7 - 66 - 7
SoutheasternMississippi State5 - 86 - 7
SoutheasternS. Carolina6 - 66 - 6
SoutheasternArkansas5 - 75 - 7
SoutheasternMississippi4 - 85 - 7
SoutheasternVanderbilt0 - 122 - 10
Sun BeltFlorida Atlantic11 - 210 - 3
Sun BeltLA-Monroe8 - 57 - 6
Sun BeltArkansas St.7 - 56 - 6
Sun BeltLA-Laf3 - 95 - 7
Sun BeltMid Tenn5 - 74 - 8
Sun BeltNorth Texas2 - 104 - 8
Sun BeltTroy3 - 94 - 8
Sun BeltFla. Int.0 - 121 - 11
Western AthleticBoise State9 - 49 - 4
Western AthleticFresno State12 - 110 - 3
Western AthleticNevada9 - 48 - 5
Western AthleticHawaii7 - 67 - 6
Western AthleticIdaho5 - 75 - 7
Western AthleticNew Mexico State5 - 75 - 7
Western AthleticLouisiana Tech4 - 84 - 8
Western AthleticSan Jose State3 - 94 - 8
Western AthleticUtah State0 - 121 - 11

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