NFL Power Rankings

9/9/2008 Rankings
By Paul Bessire,
September 9th, 2008 utilizes its NFL football simulation engine to present the most comprehensive, deterministic and unbiased ranking of all 32 teams. We simulated every possible match-up in the NFL 100 times, and used the winning percentages from those nearly 50,000 games to evaluate all every team. All 32 teams are ranked below with their average points for and against from the simulated games. Simulations are based on strength-of-schedule-adjusted stats and updated depth charts so significant week-to-week changes could occur.

Teams Ranked by Winning Percentage
(everyone plays everyone 100 times)

 TeamChangeWin PctPF/GPA/G
1.Dallas Cowboys+188.9%29.316.2
2.New York Giants+971.5%24.816.9
3.Indianapolis Colts069.7%26.020.4
4.Green Bay Packers+569.5%23.919.4
5.Pittsburgh Steelers+569.5%25.417.6
6.Philadelphia Eagles+867.3%24.217.1
7.Buffalo Bills+562.7%21.621.3
8.Minnesota Vikings-459.7%21.819.2
9.New England Patriots-857.6%20.718.3
10.Carolina Panthers+657.4%22.918.0
11.Tennessee Titans+856.6%21.520.0
12.San Diego Chargers-756.3%24.520.1
13.Cleveland Browns-655.6%22.422.7
14.New Orleans Saints+655.6%24.622.1
15.New York Jets-955.6%25.022.2
16.Chicago Bears+1051.9%21.023.2
 TeamChangeWin PctPF/GPA/G
17.Arizona Cardinals049.5%23.722.3
18.Denver Broncos+1149.2%21.924.3
19.Jacksonville Jaguars-645.0%20.719.3
20.Atlanta Falcons+1144.0%20.826.7
21.Seattle Seahawks-1340.8%17.217.2
22.Tampa Bay Buccaneers-139.8%20.722.5
23.Miami Dolphins+238.4%20.924.6
24.Detroit Lions+337.6%19.325.9
25.Kansas City Chiefs+737.3%19.924.7
26.Houston Texans-335.5%21.823.3
27.San Francisco 49ers-535.5%21.024.3
28.Washington Redskins-1331.1%19.122.6
29.Baltimore Ravens-530.3%17.920.9
30.Oakland Raiders028.9%18.727.4
31.Cincinnati Bengals-1328.9%18.529.6
32.St. Louis Rams-422.7%17.228.6

Paul Bessire is the Senior Quantitative Analyst and Content Manager for and a member of the Pro Football Writers of America. With any comments, questions or topic suggestions, Paul can be reached at Thanks!

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