NFL Power Rankings

10/7/2008 Rankings
By Paul Bessire,
October 7th, 2008 utilizes its NFL football simulation engine to present the most comprehensive, deterministic and unbiased ranking of all 32 teams. We simulated every possible match-up in the NFL 100 times, and used the winning percentages from those nearly 50,000 games to evaluate all every team. All 32 teams are ranked below with their average points for and against from the simulated games. Simulations are based on strength-of-schedule-adjusted stats and updated depth charts so significant week-to-week changes could occur.

Teams Ranked by Winning Percentage
(everyone plays everyone 100 times)

 TeamChangeWin PctPF/GPA/G
1.New York Giants095.6%34.68.2
2.Washington Redskins+381.1%31.613.5
3.Dallas Cowboys+178.9%32.021.0
4.Carolina Panthers+676.3%28.012.7
5.Tennessee Titans-373.8%24.214.5
6.Chicago Bears+172.0%25.218.3
7.Miami Dolphins+870.6%26.818.6
8.Philadelphia Eagles-270.2%30.419.5
9.New York Jets+465.8%27.720.0
10.Pittsburgh Steelers-165.6%26.016.8
11.Buffalo Bills-862.7%24.022.0
12.Arizona Cardinals+1362.1%27.820.4
13.New Orleans Saints+159.9%27.522.8
14.Tampa Bay Buccaneers-356.4%26.520.2
15.Atlanta Falcons+655.9%25.726.3
16.San Diego Chargers-854.5%28.223.3
 TeamChangeWin PctPF/GPA/G
17.Denver Broncos-153.9%25.426.0
18.New England Patriots+449.6%25.125.0
19.Oakland Raiders049.4%25.826.3
20.Minnesota Vikings-245.0%24.025.7
21.Green Bay Packers-142.4%24.329.4
22.Baltimore Ravens-539.9%20.620.9
23.Indianapolis Colts-1138.7%23.329.7
24.San Francisco 49ers+338.1%24.527.2
25.Kansas City Chiefs-125.9%21.033.7
26.Jacksonville Jaguars-324.0%19.627.9
27.Cleveland Browns+119.9%16.433.9
28.Cincinnati Bengals+319.1%16.033.8
29.Houston Texans018.2%22.432.8
30.Seattle Seahawks-413.9%17.834.8
31.Detroit Lions-110.5%16.440.6
32.St. Louis Rams09.9%16.439.3

Paul Bessire is the Senior Quantitative Analyst and Content Manager for and a member of the Pro Football Writers of America. With any comments, questions or topic suggestions, Paul can be reached at Thanks!

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