Week 12 NCAA Predictions

Scores from every upcoming game
By Paul Bessire, WhatIfSports.com
November 10, 2008

Each Monday morning, we will preview every college football DI FBS game of the upcoming week. All of our college football content, including our most recent power rankings and links to the pre-season preview are located here. If you want to take WhatIfSports weekly college football and/or NFL picks with you (to your MySpace, Facebook or personal homepage), please see the widget below on the right or at this page.

The inputs to the 10,001 simulations of these games are based on a rigorous analysis of each team that considers strength-of-schedule-adjusted team and player ratings and then makes modifications for injuries and depth at each position.

Games of the Week: #20 BYU 24 @ #19 Air Force 32
This is your marquee game of Week 12. With many top teams like Texas Tech and Oklahoma on byes - and others like Alabama (vs. Mississippi State), Penn State (vs. Indiana), Boise State (@ Idaho) and Utah (@ San Diego State) essentially getting bye weeks, there are just two games that feature two of our top 25. The other is #16 North Carolina @ #25 Maryland, but we'd much rather talk about the Mountain West than the ACC. Not only does this game feature two of the nation's top twenty teams, the outcome from the simulations could be viewed as an upset by many fans. Air Force is 8-2 on the season, losing both of its games (Utah and Navy) by a touchdown or less. Led by a rushing attack that averages 275.4 yards per game and ranking eighth in the country in turnover margin, the Falcons are outscoring their opponents 29-17. BYU, on the other hand, has struggled on defense recently, allowing 32, 35 and 42 to TCU, UNLV and Colorado State respectively. Despite being 9-1 overall, the Cougars have actually given up more total points in their four road games than they have scored. Points will be posted, but expect Air Force to dictate tempo and dominate with its ground game. The Falcons win 68.7% of the time and by an average score of 32-24. Every one of our top 14 teams, except for #6 Texas (80.6% to win at Kansas), is either on a bye or a 95%+ favorite to win this weekend. Do not expect much shakeup in the important standings/rankings until at least Week 13 when #1 Texas Tech plays at #2 Oklahoma, Michigan State faces #9 Penn State, #10 Boise State goes to Nevada, #7 Ball State plays at Central Michigan, #21 Cincinnati and Pitt fight for a possible BCS berth, #17 Florida State faces #25 Maryland, #14 TCU hosts #19 Air Force, #13 Utah takes on #20 BYU in the "Holy War," #15 Ohio State plays Michigan in a rivalry game and Miami (FL) travels to #18 Georgia Tech.

Week 12 Scores for Every FBS Game

MatchupHome Win%Avg Score
Indiana @ Penn State9510-33
Purdue @ Iowa958-35
Washington St. @ Arizona St.956-36
LA-Monroe @ Mississippi9515-34
Mississippi State @ Alabama956-33
S. Carolina @ Florida9511-37
San Jose State @ Nevada92.512-32
Minn. @ Wisconsin9112-30
Notre Dame @ Navy9016-36
Boston College @ Florida State86.110-26
Texas A&M @ Baylor86.120-36
SMU @ UTEP80.622-35
Toledo @ W. Michigan80.118-31
Duke @ Clemson79.611-24
Troy @ LSU79.615-27
UCF @ Marshall77.68-20
New Mexico State @ Fresno State75.126-37
Rutgers @ South Florida73.120-32
Utah State @ Louisiana Tech70.116-25
California @ Oregon State69.215-24
Brigham Young @ Air Force68.724-32
Wyoming @ UNLV68.715-24
UAB @ Tulane65.721-29
C. Michigan @ Northern Illinois63.720-26
Northwestern @ Michigan59.213-20
Virginia Tech @ Miami (FL)57.714-19
Buffalo @ Akron54.725-29
LA-Laf @ Florida Atlantic53.725-31
Vanderbilt @ Kentucky49.816-16
East Carolina @ S. Miss46.323-21
Mid Tenn @ Western Kentucky46.319-18
Temple @ Kent St.46.320-22
Arizona @ Oregon43.824-23
New Mexico @ Colorado St.40.824-20
Tulsa @ Houston31.833-38
UCLA @ Washington30.820-15
Ohio State @ Illinois27.427-20
Nebraska @ Kansas State22.939-32
WF @ NC St.19.919-12
Texas @ Kansas19.438-28
North Carolina @ Maryland18.429-19
Connecticut @ Syracuse12.430-15
Cincinnati @ Louisville8.531-14
Missouri @ Iowa State534-17
Oklahoma State @ Colorado534-11
Ball State @ Miami (OH)535-10
Utah @ San Diego State539-7
USC @ Stanford533-8
Georgia @ Auburn537-11
Boise State @ Idaho534-8

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