NFL Power Rankings

11/24/2008 Rankings
By Paul Bessire,
November 25th, 2008 utilizes its NFL football simulation engine to present the most comprehensive, deterministic and unbiased ranking of all 32 teams. We simulated every possible match-up in the NFL 100 times, and used the winning percentages from those nearly 50,000 games to evaluate all every team. All 32 teams are ranked below with their average points for and against from the simulated games. Simulations are based on strength-of-schedule-adjusted stats and updated depth charts so significant week-to-week changes could occur.

Teams Ranked by Winning Percentage
(everyone plays everyone 100 times)

 TeamChangeWin PctPF/GPA/G
1.New York Giants093.7%33.87.5
2.New York Jets+385.5%30.812.8
3.Pittsburgh Steelers+382.1%25.39.4
4.Dallas Cowboys+378.7%30.315.0
5.Tampa Bay Buccaneers-177.5%26.012.7
6.Tennessee Titans-476.5%25.311.9
7.Baltimore Ravens+373.4%23.911.9
8.Arizona Cardinals071.2%29.118.7
9.Washington Redskins064.6%24.017.1
10.Atlanta Falcons+664.6%27.019.3
11.Indianapolis Colts+162.4%24.218.3
12.Chicago Bears+561.2%23.917.2
13.Carolina Panthers-1059.6%24.718.7
14.New England Patriots+659.4%24.418.9
15.Minnesota Vikings+657.8%22.718.4
16.New Orleans Saints-157.5%25.621.1
 TeamChangeWin PctPF/GPA/G
17.Houston Texans+852.7%26.324.0
18.San Diego Chargers050.8%26.124.5
19.Buffalo Bills045.4%22.123.3
20.Philadelphia Eagles-743.9%19.821.1
21.Miami Dolphins-1043.6%23.524.6
22.Green Bay Packers-842.9%21.924.6
23.Oakland Raiders+435.1%19.826.0
24.San Francisco 49ers028.7%19.129.5
25.Denver Broncos-328.0%20.430.7
26.Jacksonville Jaguars025.4%16.927.4
27.Cleveland Browns-423.2%17.431.7
28.Kansas City Chiefs+115.7%16.636.0
29.Cincinnati Bengals-113.7%12.131.2
30.Seattle Seahawks013.0%14.333.7
31.Detroit Lions+16.8%13.241.9
32.St. Louis Rams-15.7%11.342.4

Paul Bessire is the Senior Quantitative Analyst and Content Manager for and a member of the Pro Football Writers of America. With any comments, questions or topic suggestions, Paul can be reached at Thanks!

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