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College Football Power Rankings

Week 6 Rankings
By Paul Bessire, WhatIfSports.com
October 5th, 2009

WhatIfSports.com utilizes its college football simulation technology to present the most comprehensive, deterministic and unbiased ranking of all teams. We simulated every possible DI FBS match-up one hundred times, and used the winning percentages from 700,000+ games to evaluate every team. All 120 teams are ranked below with their average points for and against from the simulated games. Simulations are based on updated, strength-of-schedule-adjusted stats, so significant week-to-week changes could occur.

Teams Ranked by Winning Percentage
(everyone plays everyone 100 times)

 TeamChangeWin PctPS/GPA/G
1.Florida Gators-99.452.76.5
2.Alabama Crimson Tide-98.451.36.2
3.TCU Horned Frogs+194.544.29.2
4.USC Trojans+594.043.58.5
5.Texas Longhorns-294.042.78.5
6.Cincinnati Bearcats-91.444.010.6
7.Boise State Broncos-291.443.511.9
8.Nebraska Cornhuskers-190.443.211.9
9.South Florida Bulls+290.441.312.3
10.Oregon Ducks+289.137.29.3
11.Ohio State Buckeyes-189.135.39.4
12.Virginia Tech Hokies+288.642.013.1
13.Missouri Tigers-85.137.414.2
14.Auburn Tigers+283.740.015.7
15.Iowa Hawkeyes+283.333.011.1
16.Oklahoma State Cowboys+382.538.216.9
17.LSU Tigers+1082.030.511.1
18.Wisconsin Badgers+1380.539.418.0
19.Brigham Young Cougars-180.434.717.0
20.Oklahoma Sooners-1280.132.114.0
 TeamChangeWin PctPS/GPA/G
21.Kansas Jayhawks+178.635.015.7
22.Stanford Cardinal+1378.435.816.8
23.Miami (FL) Hurricanes+1878.431.615.3
24.Georgia Bulldogs-475.730.616.9
25.Penn State Nittany Lions+375.228.914.4
26.Utah Utes-74.431.216.6
27.Arizona Wildcats-473.929.414.4
28.Pittsburgh Panthers+1172.231.318.4
29.California Golden Bears-471.729.916.9
30.West Virginia Mountaineers+271.231.417.4
31.Baylor Bears-169.929.717.5
32.Mississippi Rebels+269.427.115.4
33.South Carolina Gamecocks-69.324.514.8
34.Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets+1267.029.719.4
35.Michigan State Spartans+1466.927.318.8
36.Notre Dame Fighting Irish+666.933.622.9
37.North Carolina State Wolfpack-866.523.215.0
38.Arkansas Razorbacks+2465.531.022.0
39.Fresno State Bulldogs+1264.334.624.9
40.Air Force Falcons-1963.023.817.0
 TeamChangeWin PctPS/GPA/G
41.Connecticut Huskies+763.020.214.5
42.Houston Cougars-2762.329.223.2
43.Boston College Eagles+1662.221.215.9
44.Texas A&M Aggies-2062.127.520.5
45.Tennessee Volunteers-561.823.817.1
46.Rutgers Scarlet Knights+161.526.319.2
47.Tulsa Golden Hurricane-1160.125.820.7
48.Wake Forest Demon Deacons+660.025.320.2
49.Florida State Seminoles-559.926.320.9
50.Southern Miss Golden Eagles-757.122.518.6
51.Idaho Vandals+1257.124.020.9
52.Navy Midshipmen+557.023.720.6
53.Utah State Aggies+754.826.324.6
54.Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks+1154.523.921.3
55.UCLA Bruins-253.418.016.8
56.Oregon State Beavers-53.420.119.4
57.Hawaii Warriors-2053.324.423.1
58.Arkansas State Red Wolves+352.521.620.2
59.Clemson Tigers-2152.016.716.5
60.Kansas State Wildcats+1851.320.320.0
 TeamChangeWin PctPS/GPA/G
61.Nevada Wolf Pack+1251.126.925.7
62.Toledo Rockets+1050.425.024.9
63.Michigan Wolverines-1149.823.022.5
64.Northern Illinois Huskies+349.523.022.6
65.Texas Tech Red Raiders-1549.217.719.5
66.North Carolina Tar Heels-2147.814.816.6
67.Temple Owls+846.218.922.2
68.Purdue Boilermakers-445.020.223.5
69.Central Michigan Chippewas-44.419.022.4
70.Colorado Buffaloes+2744.118.222.1
71.Arizona State Sun Devils-1642.613.918.2
72.Mississippi State Bulldogs-242.419.724.2
73.Minnesota Golden Gophers+341.916.722.8
74.Vanderbilt Commodores-641.614.620.3
75.Indiana Hoosiers-940.117.222.8
76.Illinois Fighting Illini-239.620.527.8
77.Washington Huskies+536.918.026.9
78.Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns+234.616.525.7
79.Ohio Bobcats+733.713.824.2
80.UAB Blazers+733.618.328.9
 TeamChangeWin PctPS/GPA/G
81.Kentucky Wildcats-1033.114.825.8
82.Wyoming Cowboys+2431.514.026.3
83.Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders-231.313.224.6
84.Colorado State Rams-2631.214.526.2
85.Virginia Cavaliers+1630.39.621.4
86.Iowa State Cyclones-729.315.329.1
87.Louisiana Tech Bulldogs+1628.314.427.6
88.Louisville Cardinals-1128.212.625.5
89.North Texas Mean Green+227.713.228.4
90.UTEP Miners+2527.615.530.5
91.Marshall Thundering Herd-727.115.428.6
92.Buffalo Bulls+126.414.229.5
93.East Carolina Pirates+225.711.826.1
94.Duke Blue Devils-25.613.227.2
95.Northwestern Wildcats-1225.413.128.9
96.Maryland Terrapins+625.212.426.8
97.Syracuse Orange-823.910.927.1
98.Troy Trojans-1023.413.730.0
99.UCF Knights-22.39.926.1
100.UNLV Rebels-1521.514.133.8
 TeamChangeWin PctPS/GPA/G
101.Tulane Green Wave-520.913.430.3
102.Army Black Knights-1020.610.229.4
103.Southern Methodist Mustangs-1318.89.329.1
104.San Diego State Aztecs-618.38.027.2
105.Western Michigan Broncos-516.69.030.5
106.Florida Atlantic Owls+316.512.136.9
107.Akron Zips+116.410.032.2
108.Bowling Green Falcons-113.58.134.0
109.New Mexico Lobos+413.38.231.4
110.Ball State Cardinals-512.77.834.0
111.Western Kentucky Hilltoppers+512.38.339.0
112.Memphis Tigers-11.28.634.4
113.Kent State Golden Flashes-210.66.732.5
114.Rice Owls-9.57.735.5
115.New Mexico State Aggies-118.25.736.9
116.Eastern Michigan Eagles-67.85.638.1
117.Miami (OH) RedHawks+37.35.836.3
118.Florida International Golden Panthers-6.76.738.4
119.San Jose State Spartans-6.16.741.5
120.Washington State Cougars-35.65.537.8

Paul Bessire is the Product Manager of Content and Quantitative Analysis for WhatIfSports.com, a division of FOX Sports Interactive specializing in NCAA Matchup analysis and college football sim games. With any comments, questions or topic suggestions, Paul can be reached at BtB@whatifsports.com. Thanks!

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