Super Bowl XLIV Prop Bets From image

Seeing Kim Kardashian, It's Worth the Gamble

WhatIfSports Predicts 10 Vegas Super Bowl XLIV Prop Bets
By Ryan Fowler,
February 3rd, 2010

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One of my favorite comedic exchanges of all-time is from the movie "Dumb & Dumber". Now that I may have lost half of my audience with this admission, I will share with you the Jim Carey, Jeff Daniels hilarity:

Lloyd: I'll bet you twenty bucks I can get you gambling before the end of the day!
Harry: No way!
Lloyd: I'll give you three to one odds.
Harry: No.
Lloyd: Five to one.
Harry: No.
Lloyd: Ten to one?
Harry: You're on!
Lloyd: I'm gonna get ya!
Harry: Nuh uh!
Lloyd: I don't know how, but I'm gonna get ya.

Sports bookmakers in Las Vegas and around the globe search out the Harry's of the world come Super Bowl season. They lure them in with Lloyd Christmas like tactics and provide stakes both amusing and financially rewarding if enough cash were laid down. The only difference is the house is smart and smarter than you.

Nevertheless, gamblers around the world are salivating at the thought of hundreds upon hundreds of proposition bets (prop bets) hovering around Super Bowl XLIV's grand stage.

Due to time constraints concentrated its energy on ten of those prop bets.

 Super Bowl XLIV Prop Bets

Prop Bet Vegas Odds Prediction
Carrie Underwood's National Anthem Time O/U - 1:42 1:42.32
Archie Manning On Camera (Live) O/U - 4 Times 6.73 Times
Kim Kardashian On Camera (Live) O/U - 2.5 3.11 Times
"The Who" Smash a Guitar Yes +155
No -190
Yes - 97.1%
Coin Toss Heads -105
No -105
Heads - 50.12%

Minutes upon minutes of research were used to study how long it will take Carrie Underwood to belt out the Star Spangled Banner.

Las Vegas thinks it will take her around 1-minute and 42-seconds. We predict she will hold that last note a smidge too long and put her over the allotted time.

Archie Manning already beat Peyton heads up, but should receive plenty of face time during Super Bowl in-game coverage this year. The over/under on how many times the elder Manning would appear on camera during the game started at (O/U 2.5), but has since shot up to (O/U 4). believes with Peyton being the focal point for the majority of the game and assuming Eli is in the same suite as his pops, the likelihood of Archie ONLY being on camera 4 times a wee bit too low for our liking. predicts Archie will appear on camera more than six times.

Kim Kardashian's success rate for winning this bet depends on the play of her man Reggie Bush. The reality star may receive one complimentary camera-love-moment before she's cut off. Then it's up to Bush to accomplish something relevant on the field. The O/U on how many times we can keep up with Kim during the game is 2.5., we are here for you guys, predicts we will see her more often with a little over 3 cameos during the game.

Things that are not safe inside Sun Life Stadium during Super Bowl XLIV: Carrie Underwood around a bunch of drunken Dolphin fans who thought their team was playing, Kim Kardashian around a bunch of drunken members of the Jersey Shore cast (yes, there may be a "Situation" developing), and any guitar held by a member of "The Who" during their halftime performance.
The Who predicts there is over a 97% chance that a guitar explodes into smithereens (not the musical group, but also from New Jersey) on stage at some point.

And then there is the infamous coin flip prop bet. But this isn't 50/50 and tails does fail in this circumstance. Heads gets the nod at 50.1%.

We also put our computers to work on some of the more popular in-game prop bets that have popped up over the past few days. We could spend hours breaking down the various in-game wagers, but here are five to tide you over.

 Super Bowl MVP

Player Team Pos % Chance
Drew Brees NO QB 27.4%
Peyton Manning IND QB 26.7%
Pierre Thomas NO RB 17.9%
Joseph Addai IND RB 10.5%
Reggie Bush NO RB 6.4%
Reggie Wayne IND WR 5.0%
Marques Colston NO WR 1.4%
Pierre Garcon IND WR 1.2%
Will Smith NO DE 0.8%
Donald Brown IND RB 0.6%

 First Player to Score a Touchdown

Player Team Pos % Chance
Pierre Thomas NO RB 18.58%
Joseph Addai IND RB 11.89%
Reggie Bush NO RB 10.09%
Reggie Wayne IND WR 9.59%
Marques Colston NO WR 7.69%
Pierre Garcon IND WR 6.69%
Devery Henderson NO WR 6.59%
Jeremey Shockey NO TE 5.89%
David Thomas NO WR 2.7%
Austin Collie IND WR 2.5%

 First Team to Score a Touchdown

Team Prediction
Colts 43.6%
Saints 56.2%

 Over/Under - 56.5 Total Points

Team Prediction
Over 39.6%
Under 60.2%

 More Yards Drew Brees or Dan Marino (318 - Super Bowl XIX)

Team Prediction
Over 7.4%
Under 92.4%

That last prop bet got me to thinking. Could Dan Marino lead the Colts or Saints to a Super Bowl victory this year? Well for a quick, fun, free answer make sure to check out our Dream Teams tool. Just swap out either quarterback and draft Marino from his best season or any season. With no salary cap, your Dream Team could be exaclty that. So, what are you waiting for?! Get it in the game for FREE today!

Ryan Fowler is the Digital Content Manager for and can be reached at

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