Related FeaturesWhatIfSports NFL Season-to-Date
FOXSports.com - NFL
Each Tuesday morning, we will preview every NFL game of the upcoming week. All of our NFL content, including our most recent power rankings and links to the pre-season preview are located here.
The inputs to the 10,001 simulations of each upcoming game are based on a rigorous analysis of each team that considers strength-of-schedule-adjusted team and player ratings and then makes modifications for injuries and depth at each position. To see other picks like our Upset and Locks of the Week, as well as our season-to-date performance, click here.
Game of the Week: #6 Bengals 20 @ #4 Chargers 24
The Colts clinched a first round bye back in September it seems and just last week locked up homefield advantage throughout the playoffs. The other first round bye is up for grabs in San Diego this weekend as the Bengals visit the Chargers in a huge AFC showdown with major playoff implications.
With a win and a Denver loss, the Chargers win the AFC West and with simply a win, the Bengals win the AFC North. The Bengals would control their playoff seeding destiny with a win and with games against Kansas City and the Jets to close out the season, a win in San Diego would be crucial, especially coming off a loss in Minnesota.
Both teams coming into this game ranked in the top 6 of our Week 15 power rankings. We simulated the Chargers vs. Bengals 10,001 times to find the winner and the Chargers won 57.2% of the time by an average score of 23.5-19.5.
The Chargers win with the help of Philip Rivers who has still never lost in December in his NFL career. Rivers throws for an average of 267 yards and 1.7 TDs. The running game never really got established for the Chargers but credit Mike Zimmer's stellar run defense for that. Tomlinson and Sproles combined for under 70 yards.
Meanwhile, the Bengals used their three-headed running game to their benefit. Cedric Benson, Bernard Scott, and Larry Johnson carried the ball a combined 28 times for 125 yards. But the Bengals' passing game struggled, as it has for most of the season.Click on the Boxscore below to the average results from 10,001 simulations of that game. Or click on Simulate Game to play the game once and view stats and play-by-play from that simulation.
NFL Week 15
|@ New York Jets||86.8||27||Simulate Game|
|@ Denver Broncos||83.5||25||Simulate Game|
|@ Baltimore Ravens||84.0||28||Simulate Game|
|Tampa Bay Buccaneers||30.5||16||Boxscore|
|@ Seattle Seahawks||69.5||24||Simulate Game|
|@ Tennessee Titans||66.2||25||Simulate Game|
|Green Bay Packers||35.2||22||Boxscore|
|@ Pittsburgh Steelers||64.8||28||Simulate Game|
|@ New Orleans Saints||60.3||30||Simulate Game|
|@ San Diego Chargers||57.2||24||Simulate Game|
|San Francisco 49ers||49.0||19||Boxscore|
|@ Philadelphia Eagles||51.0||22||Simulate Game|
|@ Jacksonville Jaguars||46.8||22||Simulate Game|
|@ Carolina Panthers||45.9||24||Simulate Game|
|@ Kansas City Chiefs||45.2||21||Simulate Game|
|@ St. Louis Rams||45.0||21||Simulate Game|
|New York Giants||61.7||20||Boxscore|
|@ Washington Redskins||38.3||18||Simulate Game|
|New England Patriots||63.9||20||Boxscore|
|@ Buffalo Bills||36.1||18||Simulate Game|
|@ Detroit Lions||43.1||22||Simulate Game|
Other Notable Games in Week 15
The Colts and Saints both remain unbeaten 14 games into the season. The Colts beat the Jaguars, who are battling for a Wild Card spot by an extremely slim margin of 23.1-22.1. Peyton Manning threw for 250 yards and the Colts ran for 125 yards as a team as the win 53.2% of the time. The Saints handed the Cowboys their third straight December loss 60.3% of the time by an average score 30.4-25.1.
The Steelers snap a 5 game losing streak by beating the Green Bay Packers 64.8% of the time and the Titans stayed alive in the AFC playoff picture beating the Dolphins 66.2% of the time.
Other Notable Names in Week 15
In Baltimore, Ray Rice and Joe Flacco put up huge numbers against the Bears. Rice had 94 yards rushing (0.9 TD) and 36 yards receiving while Flacco threw for almost 235 yards and both are in our top 12 of our Fantasy Football Projections for week 15.
Joshua Cribbs helped the Browns win their second straight game. He ran for 77 yards and had 17 yards receiving (0.7 and 0.1 TDs respectively). Cribbs is our top ranked WR (based mostly on his rushing stats) and 29th overall.
WhatIfSports.com is a division of FOX Sports Interactive specializing in fantasy football simulation analysis and football sim games. With any comments, questions or topic suggestions, we can be reached at BtB@whatifsports.com. Thanks!