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Each Monday morning, Whatifsports.com's NCAA college football simulation engine will provide you with game predictions for every D-1 FBS game that upcoming week. The college football simulation engine generates detailed information for each game including the home team's chances of winning (Home Win%) and the average points scored for both teams. Make sure to share the college football information you gained here with your friends by either checking out our NCAA football widgets on the WhatIf To Go page or clicking on the social networking share bar at the top and bottom of this article.
Check out our 2010 College Football Season-to-Date page to follow our accuracy and for Locks and Upsets of the Week available on Wednesdays.
The statistical inputs to the thousands of college football simulations are based on rigorous analysis of each team's roster, depth charts and statistically based player rankings. Roster modifications are made in cases of injury or suspension and those player's are removed from their team's game simulation for that week.
Games of the Week: Oklahoma at Missouri and LSU at Auburn
At times, college football's number one ranking carries with it a reputation and shelf-life that exists about as long as a prom king's reign.
In order to qualify for the throne you must be, in most instances, a popular and respectable football program with a history of success. Teams must be Proactive in cleaning up blemishes on offense, defense and special teams to get the votes. Clean cut and Tebow-esque is embraced.
However, Zach's control of Bayside's scepter is short-lived after word gets out that he's been cavorting with a girl from rival Valley.
That or you get exploited by South Carolina and Wisconsin.
Boom! Welcome back to the land of the peasants.
If the metaphor fits, wear it. It's now Oregon and Oklahoma's turn to don the crown. By default, as they were enjoying a bye week, the Ducks move to the top spot in the AP ranking. With wins over Florida State, at Cincinnati and most importantly Texas, Boomer Sooner has earned elite status in the first edition of the BCS standings.
Oklahoma's reward for a 6-0 start, another road war in the Big 12. Bob Stoops' will have his hands full preparing for the Missouri Tigers as they have quietly crept up into the Top 20.
Gary Pinkel's defense is the best you've never heard of, and to be fair their strength of schedule is the reason why, but when you shut down the Texas A&M offense to the tune of nine points, you are doing something right. The Tigers are holding opponents to 10.8 points per game, second best in the nation behind TCU.
Quarterback Blaine Gabbert is the main reason why the Tigs passing offense is ranked in the top 20. Seven weeks into the season, he's amassed over 1500 yards through the air and 10 touchdowns. The sophomore quarterback has offensive stats comparable to Michigan State's Kirk Cousins and Arizona's Nick Foles. As a whole, the Missouri's offense is ranked 24th in points per game (34.5). Although, their schedule includes such non-conference gems McNeese State, Miami (Ohio) and soon-to-be Pac-10 refugee Colorado.
Considering Sam Bradford missed most of the 2009 season with a shoulder injury, Oklahoma has transitioned nicely under Landry Jones in 2010. To go along with the No. 1 BCS ranking, the Sooners are currently inside the Top 20 in total offense. Their passing game is averaging 303 yards each contest while senior running back DeMarco Murray is carrying the ground game with eleven touchdowns and over 155 yds/gm.
The only glaring weakness in the OU resume is their road test came at Cincinnati where the Sooners allowed Zach Collaros to pass for over 300 yards and nearly handed the game to the Bearcats in the fourth quarter. It may have been a bump in the road, however, as Oklahoma is ranked 28th in the country in points allowed per game at 19.
Using our college football simulation engine, we simulated the Sooners vs Tigers 101 times, and in a nail-biter the Sooners come out ahead 52.5-percent of the time by an average score of 32-31.
LSU at Auburn
If there was any doubt that Les Miles and LSU have a horseshoe, four-leaf clover and rabbit's foot buried someplace where the sun don't shine, the Tigers' first-half effort against McNeese State this past Saturday definitely exposed what most educated college football fans already knew.
This team is on borrowed time.
The final score may have read 32-10, but the FCS Cowboys only trailed their FBS big brother by six at the half. The same McNeese program that earlier this season lost to the definition of college football excellence, Cal Poly (ranked 23rd in FCS), was down six points to sixth best team as determined by the BCS.
This system works fine.
If you believe in the theory of course correction, Auburn's play on the field this Saturday should speak on the behalf of North Carolina, Tennessee, Florida and the little guy.
Auburn, along with Arkansas, rewrote the SEC record books over the weekend. Cam Newton is like the Denard Robinson of the South, but the Heisman chatter took a bit longer to reach this quarterback as most of the attention was paid to another team within Alabama's state lines.
Newton is responsible for 25 Tiger touchdowns through the first seven weeks of the season. He's passed for over 1200 yards and rushed for over 800. Auburn is currently ranked 6th in the country in rush yards/gm, pounding the turf for over 283 a contest.
All things being fair, the LSU Tigers defense does deserve some kudos for their efforts. The 11th best defense is holding opponents to less than 15 points a game.
With Auburn scoring 65 against the Razorbacks, LSU should be content yielding 30 to the Tigs at home.
Using our college football simulation engine, we simulated LSU vs Auburn 101 times, and Gene Chizik's Tigers came out ahead 67.3-percent of the time by an average score of 30-24.
College Football Week 8
|Eastern Michigan Eagles||5.9||8||Boxscore|
|@ Virginia Cavaliers||94.1||33|
|Duke Blue Devils||7.9||17||Boxscore|
|@ Virginia Tech Hokies||92.1||40|
|North Carolina Tar Heels||24.8||19||Boxscore|
|@ Miami (FL) Hurricanes||75.2||29|
|@ Boston College Eagles||62.4||28|
|Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets||64.4||29||Boxscore|
|@ Clemson Tigers||35.6||27|
|Rutgers Scarlet Knights||11.9||11||Boxscore|
|@ Pittsburgh Panthers||88.1||31|
|@ West Virginia Mountaineers||82.2||30|
|South Florida Bulls||20.8||17||Boxscore|
|@ Cincinnati Bearcats||79.2||31|
|@ Louisville Cardinals||35.6||23|
|@ Ohio State Buckeyes||95.0||39|
|@ Iowa Hawkeyes||69.3||30|
|@ Illinois Fighting Illini||51.5||31|
|Michigan State Spartans||65.3||32||Boxscore|
|@ Northwestern Wildcats||34.7||29|
|Penn State Nittany Lions||95.0||36||Boxscore|
|@ Minnesota Golden Gophers||5.0||13|
|Ball State Cardinals||15.8||16||Boxscore|
|@ Toledo Rockets||84.2||33|
|Central Michigan Chippewas||26.7||19||Boxscore|
|@ Northern Illinois Huskies||73.3||30|
|Western Michigan Broncos||39.6||20||Boxscore|
|@ Akron Zips||60.4||24|
|Kent State Golden Flashes||55.4||20||Boxscore|
|@ Bowling Green Falcons||44.6||19|
|@ Buffalo Bulls||14.9||18|
|@ Miami (OH) RedHawks||5.0||12|
|Washington State Cougars||5.0||15||Boxscore|
|@ Stanford Cardinal||95.0||48|
|@ Oregon Ducks||95.0||38|
|@ Arizona Wildcats||91.1||37|
|Arizona State Sun Devils||52.5||29||Boxscore|
|@ California Golden Bears||47.5||29|
|@ Mississippi State Bulldogs||90.1||41|
|@ Arkansas Razorbacks||87.1||44|
|@ Auburn Tigers||67.3||30|
|@ Kentucky Wildcats||24.8||23|
|Alabama Crimson Tide||95.0||34||Boxscore|
|@ Tennessee Volunteers||5.0||13|
|South Carolina Gamecocks||95.0||40||Boxscore|
|@ Vanderbilt Commodores||5.0||11|
|New Mexico State Aggies||5.0||10||Boxscore|
|@ Idaho Vandals||95.0||46|
|@ Utah State Aggies||35.6||31|
|Fresno State Bulldogs||92.1||35||Boxscore|
|@ San Jose State Spartans||7.9||16|
|Notre Dame Fighting Irish||83.2||30||Boxscore|
|@ Navy Midshipmen||16.8||20|
|Iowa State Cyclones||5.0||10||Boxscore|
|@ Texas Longhorns||95.0||38|
|Kansas State Wildcats||20.8||19||Boxscore|
|@ Baylor Bears||79.2||32|
|@ Oklahoma State Cowboys||61.4||31|
|@ Missouri Tigers||47.5||31|
|Texas Tech Red Raiders||82.2||32||Boxscore|
|@ Colorado Buffaloes||17.8||20|
|Texas A&M Aggies||95.0||39||Boxscore|
|@ Kansas Jayhawks||5.0||18|
|@ UCF Knights||95.0||40|
|Tulane Green Wave||23.8||22||Boxscore|
|@ UTEP Miners||76.2||35|
|Marshall Thundering Herd||25.7||19||Boxscore|
|@ East Carolina Pirates||74.3||30|
|@ Southern Methodist Mustangs||61.4||35|
|Colorado State Rams||5.0||11||Boxscore|
|@ Utah Utes||95.0||42|
|Air Force Falcons||5.0||13||Boxscore|
|@ TCU Horned Frogs||95.0||44|
|@ Brigham Young Cougars||68.3||24|
|San Diego State Aztecs||95.0||36||Boxscore|
|@ New Mexico Lobos||5.0||12|
|Western Kentucky Hilltoppers||16.8||13||Boxscore|
|@ Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns||83.2||30|
|@ Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders||58.4||29|
|Florida Atlantic Owls||42.6||27||Boxscore|
|@ Arkansas State Red Wolves||57.4||30|
Ryan Fowler is the Content Manager for Whatifsports.com. He can be reached at firstname.lastname@example.org.