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Each Tuesday morning, Whatifsports.com's NFL simulation engine will provide you with predictions, box scores and statistics for every NFL game that week. The NFL simulation engine generates detailed information including the home team's chances of winning (Home Win %), average score and comprehensive box score link. If you want to share your new found NFL knowledge with friends and family, make sure to check out our NFL Widgets on the WhatIf To Go page or click on the social networking share bar located at the top and bottom of the article.
The statistical inputs to the thousands of NFL games simulated are based on rigorous analysis of each team's roster, depth chart and statistically based player ranking. Roster modifications have been made for injuries and suspensions and those players are not part of their team's game simulation.
To account for injuries and roster moves announced late in the week, we will be re-simulating some games on Thursdays throughout the 2010 NFL season.
Check out our 2010 NFL Season-to-Date page to follow our accuracy week-to-week and find Locks and Upsets of the Week.
We encourage you to interact with our 2010 NFL SimMatchup feature (which is FREE) to simulate any of the games below as many times as you want. You also have the option of adjusting the depth charts to your liking.
Game of the Week: Bears vs Giants
One was shipped out of Denver in favor of our quarterback who once backed up Rex Grossman. The other had been fired by the Rams, the 49ers, and (gasp!) the Lions. Suffice it to say, Chicago fans had their doubts about the beginning of the Jay Cutler-Mike Martz Era. These apprehensions were not alleviated after protection problems surfaced in the preseason, which included embarrassing losses to Arizona, Oakland, and Cleveland.
Yet heading into Week 4, the Bears remain the last unbeaten NFC team in the 2010 season. And while Chicago did face Detroit in Week 1, the Bears have battled against projected playoff teams Dallas and Green Bay.
The defense has played admirably in the first three weeks of the season, keeping Aaron Rodgers and Tony Romo relatively at bay. But the big story is the resurgence of Cutler, who was raked through the coals this offseason after a 26-INT, 7-win performance in 2009. Making matters worse was the early success of Kyle Orton in Denver, as well as remarks from Brian Urlacher expressing disappointment in the departure of Orton in favor of the Bronco QB. However, through three games in 2010, Cutler has thrown for 870 yards and 6 touchdowns with just two interceptions and a QB rating of 109.7. While it's too early to coronate Cutler as Chicago's savior, the former Vanderbilt product is showing why Denver drafted him with the 11th overall pick in the 2006 Draft.
Cutler's resurrection is owed in no small part to Martz, who has turned into somewhat of a coaching vagabond in the past decade. Though his hubris occasionally rubs others the wrong way, there's no questioning the results derived by Martz. Celebrated as the architect of "The Greatest Show on Turf" in St. Louis, Martz additionally engineered offensive attacks in Detroit and San Francisco. While he was not able to replicate his success with the Rams, a genuine indication of Martz's talents is illustrated by his former teams' performances the year after Martz's departure. For instance, Detroit went from a 7-9 team in Martz's last year in 2007 to the first 0-16 squad in NFL history in 2008.
For now, it appears that Cutler and Martz have translated this "us-against-the-world" mentality into prosperity. The Bears currently have the most efficient passing game in the NFC, and are second only to Dallas in passing yards. The first half of the season should prove to be opportunistic for Chicago, with upcoming matchups against Carolina, Seattle, and Buffalo. The last month will be a true litmus test, as the Bears encounter New England, Minnesota, New York (Jets), and Green Bay.
But before the Windy City faithful can begin to have Super Bowl aspirations, the Bears must journey to New Jersey to combat the Giants. New York is 1-2 following a discombobulated defeat to Tennessee over the weekend, as the Giants committed five personal fouls and were negligent with the ball (three turnovers). A loss to Chicago would place Tom Coughlin on the proverbial hot seat for the sixth time in seven years in New York. One would think the Giants, a team that features veteran-laden lineups on both sides of the ball, would be too proud to start the campaign 1-3. Apparently the WhatIfSports engines shared this sentiment, as the simulations indicate New York as victors with a 68.3% winning percentage. Cutler and company were held in check, as the average score computes to 25-17 in favor of the Giants.
For the rest of this week's predictions from WhatIfSports, check below:
Please note: Most of the Week 4 schedule was re-simulated on 9/30 to account for injuries and personale moves.
NFL Week 4
|@ Green Bay Packers||93.0||30||Simulate Game|
|@ San Diego Chargers||93.0||34||Simulate Game|
|@ New Orleans Saints||73.3||28||Simulate Game|
|@ New York Giants||68.3||25||Simulate Game|
|@ Tennessee Titans||60.9||25||Simulate Game|
|@ Philadelphia Eagles||59.3||22||Simulate Game|
|San Francisco 49ers||42.5||19||Boxscore|
|@ Atlanta Falcons||57.5||22||Simulate Game|
|@ Pittsburgh Steelers||43.9||18||Simulate Game|
|@ Cleveland Browns||43.7||19||Simulate Game|
|New England Patriots||61.3||23||Boxscore|
|@ Miami Dolphins||38.7||20||Simulate Game|
|New York Jets||64.1||18||Boxscore|
|@ Buffalo Bills||35.9||15||Simulate Game|
|@ Oakland Raiders||35.7||23||Simulate Game|
|@ Jacksonville Jaguars||26.3||20||Simulate Game|
|@ St. Louis Rams||19.6||17||Simulate Game|
Ryan Fowler is the Content Manager for Whatifsports.com. He can be reached at firstname.lastname@example.org.