College Football Week 1 Picks and Predictions from WhatIfSports.com From WhatIfSports.com image

College Football Week 1 Picks and Predictions

Week 1 predictions for every D-I/FBS college football game

By Ryan Fowler - WhatIfSports.com
Aug. 29, 2011

Each Monday, WhatIfSports.com's NCAA college football simulation engine will provide you with game predictions for every D-1 FBS game that upcoming week. The college football simulation engine generates detailed information for each game including each team's chances of winning (Win%) and the average points scored for both teams. Make sure to share the college football information you gained here with your friends by either checking out our NCAA football widgets on the WhatIf To Go page or clicking on the social networking share bar at the top and bottom of this article.

Check out our 2011 College Football Season-to-Date page to follow our accuracy and for Upsets of the Week available on Wednesdays.

The statistical inputs to the thousands of college football simulations are based on rigorous analysis of each team's roster, depth charts and statistically based player rankings. Roster modifications are made in cases of injury or suspension and those players are removed from their team's game simulation for that week.

Game of the Week: Boise State vs Georgia

<a href="http://msn.foxsports.com/video?vid=e8463018-4d57-4035-8fe0-13cfd58de702" target="_new" title="">WhatIfSports.com: CFB Week 1</a>

It's week one of the 2011 college football season and, ohhh, does it feel so good.

Finally, we're talking tailgating instead of investigating, beers instead of jeers and good times instead of hard time.

LSU is trying its best to ruin my party with some off-the-field allegations and arrest warrants, but the Bayou Bengals will not succeed.

It's go time for college football fans and the WhatIfSports.com college football simulation engine. We now begin the four month journey where we strive to exceed our 75 percent accuracy on college football predictions set last season.

Our Week 1 Game of the Week pairs everybody's favorite BCS bridesmaid, Boise State, against a Georgia squad ready to lay last season's 6-7 record to rest.

To be fair, the Bulldogs started the 2010 season behind the eight ball with A.J. Green suspended for selling his jersey and before Mark Richt knew what hit him, his team was 1-4.

It doesn't get any easier in 2011 with Green now in the NFL and a young tandem leading the offense. Sophomore quarterback Aaron Murray will look to freshman running back Isaiah Crowell to relieve the pressure to pass to two inexperienced wide outs.

Like it has so many times, the script gets flipped when talking about the Broncos. Their experience and hyper offense make them the favorite in week one. Back for his eighth season (kidding but it seems like it) is senior quarterback Kellen Moore. The guy finished fourth in the Heisman chase last season and will no doubt lose to media-darling and top NFL prospect Andrew Luck this year, but will once again vie to crash the BCS National Championship Game.

Moore has one of his favorite targets back in tight end Kyle Efaw (senior WR Tyler Shoemaker returns too) and senior running back Doug Martin at the ready when his arm needs a rest. The Broncos ranked second in the nation in scoring last season (45.1 ppg); so don't expect a low score against the Dawgs.

Coach Richt possesses a 73.8 winning percentage in a decade at Georgia. For that number to increase following their game against the Broncs, the kids will have to outplay the adults.

Using our college football simulation engine we "played" Boise State versus Georgia 101 times and it's the Broncos coming away with the win 59.4 percent of the time by an average score of 35-30.

Please note the Miami (FL) vs Maryland game was re-simulated on 9/2/11.

College Football Week 1
MatchupWin%Avg Score 
Liberty Flames 5.07Boxscore
@ North Carolina State Wolfpack95.052 
William & Mary Tribe 5.09Boxscore
@ Virginia Cavaliers95.041 
Richmond Spiders 5.07Boxscore
@ Duke Blue Devils95.043 
Western Carolina Catamounts 5.08Boxscore
@ Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets95.047 
Appalachian State Mountaineers 5.07Boxscore
@ Virginia Tech Hokies95.060 
Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks 5.018Boxscore
@ Florida State Seminoles95.038 
James Madison Dukes 5.07Boxscore
@ North Carolina Tar Heels95.052 
Troy Trojans21.322Boxscore
@ Clemson Tigers78.734 
Northwestern Wildcats48.523Boxscore
@ Boston College Eagles51.524 
Miami (FL) Hurricanes34.721Boxscore
@ Maryland Terrapins65.325 
Murray State Racers 5.08Boxscore
@ Louisville Cardinals95.045 
North Carolina Central Eagles 5.06Boxscore
@ Rutgers Scarlet Knights95.042 
Fordham Rams 5.08Boxscore
@ Connecticut Huskies95.047 
Austin Peay Governors 5.06Boxscore
@ Cincinnati Bearcats95.054 
Marshall Thundering Herd 5.912Boxscore
@ West Virginia Mountaineers94.135 
Buffalo Bulls 7.915Boxscore
@ Pittsburgh Panthers92.136 
Wake Forest Demon Deacons26.219Boxscore
@ Syracuse Orange73.829 
UNLV Rebels 5.09Boxscore
@ Wisconsin Badgers95.047 
Youngstown State Penguins 5.07Boxscore
@ Michigan State Spartans95.057 
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles 5.07Boxscore
@ Iowa Hawkeyes95.050 
Akron Zips 5.07Boxscore
@ Ohio State Buckeyes95.042 
Indiana State Sycamores 5.07Boxscore
@ Penn State Nittany Lions95.056 
Chattanooga Mocs 5.06Boxscore
@ Nebraska Cornhuskers95.056 
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders23.817Boxscore
@ Purdue Boilermakers76.226 
Arkansas State Red Wolves23.820Boxscore
@ Illinois Fighting Illini76.232 
Western Michigan Broncos23.826Boxscore
@ Michigan Wolverines76.237 
South Carolina State Bulldogs 5.07Boxscore
@ Central Michigan Chippewas95.043 
Villanova Wildcats 5.09Boxscore
@ Temple Owls95.049 
New Hampshire Wildcats 5.07Boxscore
@ Toledo Rockets95.048 
Howard Bison11.911Boxscore
@ Eastern Michigan Eagles88.127 
Army Black Knights11.918Boxscore
@ Northern Illinois Huskies88.134 
Indiana Hoosiers92.132Boxscore
@ Ball State Cardinals 7.917 
San Jose State Spartans 5.08Boxscore
@ Stanford Cardinal95.050 
Idaho State Bengals 5.08Boxscore
@ Washington State Cougars95.041 
Eastern Washington Eagles 5.08Boxscore
@ Washington Huskies95.047 
UC Davis Aggies 5.07Boxscore
@ Arizona State Sun Devils95.054 
Montana State Bobcats 5.08Boxscore
@ Utah Utes95.058 
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks 5.07Boxscore
@ Arizona Wildcats95.053 
Minnesota Golden Gophers 5.015Boxscore
@ USC Trojans95.039 
Sacramento State Hornets 5.08Boxscore
@ Oregon State Beavers95.050 
LSU Tigers22.823Boxscore
@ Oregon Ducks77.233 
Fresno State Bulldogs37.623Boxscore
@ California Golden Bears62.429 
Florida Atlantic Owls 5.09Boxscore
@ Florida Gators95.038 
Montana Grizzlies 5.07Boxscore
@ Tennessee Volunteers95.048 
Missouri State Bears 5.07Boxscore
@ Arkansas Razorbacks95.059 
Elon Phoenix 5.08Boxscore
@ Vanderbilt Commodores95.040 
Kent State Golden Flashes 5.07Boxscore
@ Alabama Crimson Tide95.038 
Utah State Aggies14.918Boxscore
@ Auburn Tigers85.135 
Boise State Broncos59.435Boxscore
@ Georgia Bulldogs40.630 
Brigham Young Cougars63.429Boxscore
@ Mississippi Rebels36.626 
Bowling Green Falcons31.720Boxscore
@ Idaho Vandals68.327 
Colorado Buffaloes32.729Boxscore
@ Hawaii Warriors67.334 
Ohio Bobcats95.036Boxscore
@ New Mexico State Aggies 5.010 
Delaware Blue Hens 5.08Boxscore
@ Navy Midshipmen95.048 
South Florida Bulls27.720Boxscore
@ Notre Dame Fighting Irish72.329 
Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns 5.015Boxscore
@ Oklahoma State Cowboys95.045 
Rice Owls 5.514Boxscore
@ Texas Longhorns95.537 
Texas State Bobcats 5.09Boxscore
@ Texas Tech Red Raiders95.051 
Northern Iowa Panthers 5.07Boxscore
@ Iowa State Cyclones95.042 
McNeese State Cowboys 5.08Boxscore
@ Kansas Jayhawks95.039 
Eastern Kentucky Colonels 5.08Boxscore
@ Kansas State Wildcats95.048 
Tulsa Golden Hurricane 6.926Boxscore
@ Oklahoma Sooners93.144 
Miami (OH) RedHawks 6.915Boxscore
@ Missouri Tigers93.131 
Southern Methodist Mustangs30.728Boxscore
@ Texas A&M Aggies69.336 
TCU Horned Frogs81.237Boxscore
@ Baylor Bears18.826 
Southeastern Louisiana Lions 5.07Boxscore
@ Tulane Green Wave95.038 
Stony Brook Seawolves 5.09Boxscore
@ UTEP Miners95.036 
Charleston Southern Buccaneers 5.09Boxscore
@ UCF Knights95.054 
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs24.829Boxscore
@ Southern Miss Golden Eagles75.238 
UCLA Bruins48.530Boxscore
@ Houston Cougars51.531 
Mississippi State Bulldogs95.048Boxscore
@ Memphis Tigers 5.07 
South Carolina Gamecocks95.040Boxscore
@ East Carolina Pirates 5.020 
Weber State Wildcats 5.08Boxscore
@ Wyoming Cowboys95.034 
Cal Poly Mustangs 5.09Boxscore
@ San Diego State Aztecs95.056 
South Dakota Coyotes 5.07Boxscore
@ Air Force Falcons95.048 
Colorado State Rams81.228Boxscore
@ New Mexico Lobos18.817 
North Texas Mean Green30.723Boxscore
@ FIU Golden Panthers69.331 
Kentucky Wildcats86.129Boxscore
@ Western Kentucky Hilltoppers13.917 

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Ryan Fowler is the content manager for WhatIfSports.com. He can be reached at rfowler@whatifsports.com.

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