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Each Monday, WhatIfSports.com's NCAA college football simulation engine will provide you with game predictions for every D-1 FBS game that upcoming week. The college football simulation engine generates detailed information for each game including each team's chances of winning (Win%) and the average points scored for both teams. Make sure to share the college football information you gained here with your friends by either checking out our NCAA football widgets on the WhatIf To Go page or clicking on the social networking share bar at the top and bottom of this article.
Check out our 2011 College Football Season-to-Date page to follow our accuracy and for Upsets of the Week available on Wednesdays.
The statistical inputs to the thousands of college football simulations are based on rigorous analysis of each team's roster, depth charts and statistically based player rankings. Roster modifications are made in cases of injury or suspension and those players are removed from their team's game simulation for that week.
Game of the Week: Nebraska at Wisconsin
Consider it another great example of baptism by fire. Nebraska's debut in the Big Ten will come under the lights when the Cornhuskers travel to Camp Randall this Saturday. The ninth-ranked team in the nation faces eighth-ranked Wisconsin in our Game of the Week.
Bo Pelini's offense focuses on two things when on the field: 1) running the ball 2) running the ball some more. Their rushing offense is currently ranked eighth (272.5 ypg). The Huskers are led by mobile quarterback Taylor Martinez who has 63 carries for 421 yards with seven touchdowns. Nipping at his heels is junior running back Rex Burkhead with 63 carries for 420 yards and seven touchdowns. The balanced rushing attack is eerie.
Uncharacteristic of most Pelini programs, Nebraska is currently 56th in the nation in rushing defense. They've allowed 133.3 rush yards per game through their first four games. Nebraska is 46th in scoring defense at 22 points per game. The defense will need to address those gaps if they want to slow down Wisconsin.
The arrival of Russell Wilson hasn't slowed down the Badgers' rushing attack. As a team, Wisconsin is averaging 5.7 yards per carry with 16 rushing touchdowns (t-2nd with Nebraska).
But their 26th-ranked passing attack isn't to be ignored. Wilson has built a nice rapport with Nick Toon (21 receptions and five touchdowns) in the early going.
Wisconsin's 23rd-ranked rush defense (89.3 yards per game) will be tested on Saturday, but if they can slow down Taylor Martinez, the simulation engine thinks the Badgers are strong enough to come away with the win.
We simulated the Badgers and Cornhuskers 101 times and it's Wisconsin coming away with the win 65.8 percent of the time by an average score of 28-19.
Clemson at Virginia Tech
For the third consecutive week the Clemson Tigers face a Top 25 program in Virginia Tech. To this point, Dabo Swinney's crew has passed every test. Florida State was the latest Goliath slain thanks, in part, to Tajh Boyd's 344 passing yards and three touchdowns against the Seminoles, who were without their starting quarterback. That upset win followed victories over Auburn, Wofford and Troy.
The Hokies' path to Week 5 has been much cushier with wins over Appalachian State, East Carolina (17-10 final), Arkansas State and Marshall. Frank Beamer's boys still lock things down on defense with the sixth-best scoring defense at 10 points per game. They are fourth in total yards allowed per game at just over 231.
We simulated the Tigers and Hokies 101 times and it's the Tigers pulling the upset 52 percent of the time by an average score of 28-27.
College Football Week 5
|@ Maryland Terrapins||95.0||48|
|@ Miami (FL) Hurricanes||95.0||53|
|@ Virginia Cavaliers||75.2||26|
|Wake Forest Demon Deacons||42.6||21||Boxscore|
|@ Boston College Eagles||57.4||24|
|Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets||44.6||28||Boxscore|
|@ North Carolina State Wolfpack||55.4||29|
|@ Virginia Tech Hokies||48.0||27|
|Bowling Green Falcons||5.0||15||Boxscore|
|@ West Virginia Mountaineers||95.0||38|
|Marshall Thundering Herd||21.8||17||Boxscore|
|@ Louisville Cardinals||78.2||25|
|Rutgers Scarlet Knights||26.7||20||Boxscore|
|@ Syracuse Orange||73.3||27|
|South Florida Bulls||45.5||24||Boxscore|
|@ Pittsburgh Panthers||54.5||26|
|Western Michigan Broncos||46.5||24||Boxscore|
|@ Connecticut Huskies||53.5||26|
|Minnesota Golden Gophers||7.9||16||Boxscore|
|@ Michigan Wolverines||92.1||35|
|@ Wisconsin Badgers||65.8||28|
|@ Illinois Fighting Illini||54.5||26|
|Michigan State Spartans||57.4||26||Boxscore|
|@ Ohio State Buckeyes||42.6||23|
|Notre Dame Fighting Irish||82.2||30||Boxscore|
|@ Purdue Boilermakers||17.8||19|
|Penn State Nittany Lions||92.6||35||Boxscore|
|@ Indiana Hoosiers||7.4||17|
|Kent State Golden Flashes||27.7||17||Boxscore|
|@ Ohio Bobcats||72.3||25|
|@ Temple Owls||50.0||27|
|@ Eastern Michigan Eagles||32.2||18|
|Northern Illinois Huskies||75.2||32||Boxscore|
|@ Central Michigan Chippewas||24.8||23|
|@ Miami (OH) RedHawks||14.9||19|
|@ Stanford Cardinal||95.0||39|
|Oregon State Beavers||15.8||21||Boxscore|
|@ Arizona State Sun Devils||84.2||31|
|Washington State Cougars||32.2||26||Boxscore|
|@ Colorado Buffaloes||67.8||32|
|@ Utah Utes||61.4||29|
|@ USC Trojans||51.5||29|
|@ LSU Tigers||93.1||33|
|@ Tennessee Volunteers||92.1||31|
|Mississippi State Bulldogs||33.7||25||Boxscore|
|@ Georgia Bulldogs||66.3||30|
|@ South Carolina Gamecocks||65.3||30|
|Alabama Crimson Tide||78.2||27||Boxscore|
|@ Florida Gators||21.8||17|
|@ Fresno State Bulldogs||52.5||31|
|@ Louisiana Tech Bulldogs||30.7||28|
|Utah State Aggies||17.3||20||Boxscore|
|@ Brigham Young Cougars||82.7||32|
|Tulane Green Wave||45.5||23||Boxscore|
|@ Army Black Knights||54.5||24|
|Air Force Falcons||55.0||24||Boxscore|
|@ Navy Midshipmen||45.0||22|
|Ball State Cardinals||5.0||12||Boxscore|
|@ Oklahoma Sooners||95.0||47|
|@ Texas A&M Aggies||50.5||33|
|@ Kansas State Wildcats||35.6||28|
|Texas Tech Red Raiders||84.7||34||Boxscore|
|@ Kansas Jayhawks||15.3||20|
|@ Iowa State Cyclones||12.9||15|
|North Texas Mean Green||14.9||27||Boxscore|
|@ Tulsa Golden Hurricane||85.1||38|
|@ Southern Miss Golden Eagles||79.2||37|
|North Carolina Tar Heels||75.2||32||Boxscore|
|@ East Carolina Pirates||24.8||25|
|@ UTEP Miners||15.8||25|
|Nevada Wolf Pack||5.0||21||Boxscore|
|@ Boise State Broncos||95.0||43|
|Southern Methodist Mustangs||19.8||27||Boxscore|
|@ TCU Horned Frogs||80.2||37|
|San Jose State Spartans||36.6||22||Boxscore|
|@ Colorado State Rams||63.4||26|
|New Mexico State Aggies||39.6||19||Boxscore|
|@ New Mexico Lobos||60.4||22|
|@ Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders||91.1||30|
|@ Troy Trojans||76.2||34|
|Florida Atlantic Owls||41.1||22||Boxscore|
|@ Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns||58.9||26|
|Duke Blue Devils||62.4||29||Boxscore|
|@ FIU Golden Panthers||37.6||26|
|Arkansas State Red Wolves||71.3||32||Boxscore|
|@ Western Kentucky Hilltoppers||28.7||24|
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