College Football Week 7 Picks and Predictions from From image

College Football Week 7 Picks and Predictions

Week 7 predictions for every D-I/FBS college football game

By Ryan Fowler and Jake Westrich -
UPDATE: October 13, 2011

Each Monday,'s NCAA college football simulation engine will provide you with game predictions for every D-1 FBS game that upcoming week. The college football simulation engine generates detailed information for each game including each team's chances of winning (Win%) and the average points scored for both teams. Make sure to share the college football information you gained here with your friends by either checking out our NCAA football widgets on the WhatIf To Go page or clicking on the social networking share bar at the top and bottom of this article.

Check out our 2011 College Football Season-to-Date page to follow our accuracy and for Upsets of the Week available on Wednesdays.

The statistical inputs to the thousands of college football simulations are based on rigorous analysis of each team's roster, depth charts and statistically based player rankings. Roster modifications are made in cases of injury or suspension and those players are removed from their team's game simulation for that week.

Game of the Week: Michigan at Michigan State

They are maize, blue, and all be damned, bowl eligible six weeks into the season. The Michigan Wolverines outscored the Northwestern Wildcats 28-0 in the second half to improve to 6-0 on the season. Brady Hoke is the first to start his Wolverines' head coaching career 6-0 since Bennie Oosterbaan in 1948.

It wasn't that long ago when Michigan's defense was the laughing-stock of the FBS. Their 12.5 points allowed per game currently rank eighth in all of college football. What's even more impressive is the fact that they've outscored opposing teams 114-21 in the second half this season. Yeah, the Wolverines have only allowed 21 second half points six games into the season. They've also forced 17 turnovers.

Then there is Denard Robinson and his weekly stab at breaking another school or national record. The versatile quarterback has accounted for at least three touchdowns in each of the past five games.

Michigan State heads into their in-state rivalry coming off a bye week. The Spartans' last win came against Ohio State, where they held the Buckeyes to seven points. At the time, this seemed like a huge accomplishment, but after witnessing OSU play the last few weeks, the weight of the win is much lighter.

MSU's offensive stats won't run up and punch you in the face. Kirk Cousins is 101-149 for nearly 1200 passing yards on the season with six touchdown passes, but four picks. Leveon Bell is averaging 5.1 yards per carry to go along with six touchdowns. The team's 28.0 points per game rank in the bottom half of all FBS schools.

Using our college football simulation engine, we "played" the Wolverines and Spartans 101 times and its Michigan eeking out the win 50.5 percent of the time by an average score of 32-31.

Arizona State at Oregon

A dislocated elbow may not keep LaMichael James out of the lineup this Saturday against Arizona State. During a radio interview after their Week 6 win over California, James said he suffered the same injury in high school and was out on the field the next week. We'll monitor his health status throughout the week, but as of right now, we left him out of the simulation.

Even without James, the Ducks offense is just as fast and efficient. On the rare occasion they go to the air, quarterback Darron Thomas has thrown 15 touchdowns and only two picks this season. Running backs, De'Anthony Thomas and Kenjon Barner are averaging 7.6 and 6.2 yards per carry, respectively, with five touchdowns combined.

Since losing to Illinois back in Week 3, ASU has ripped off three straight wins against USC, Oregon State and Utah. The Sun Devils' rush defense sits in the middle of the FBS pack, having allowed 119.7 yards per game on the ground. This will be tested against the Ducks.

Their offense is led by quarterback Brock Osweiler who has completed 68 percent of his passes this season. Running back Cameron Marshall has rushed for 347 yards on 81 carries and scored seven times. Aaron Pflugrad has hauled in 25 passes for 372 yards with four touchdowns to this point.

We simulated the Ducks and the Sun Devils 101 times and its Oregon taking it 79.2 percent of the time by an average score 36-24.

Please note: The South Carolina/Mississippi State and Tennessee/LSU games were resimulated on 10/13 to account for injuries and roster updates.

College Football Week 7
MatchupWin%Avg Score 
Miami (FL) Hurricanes45.524Boxscore
@ North Carolina Tar Heels54.525 
Clemson Tigers79.230Boxscore
@ Maryland Terrapins20.819 
Virginia Tech Hokies80.233Boxscore
@ Wake Forest Demon Deacons19.822 
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets82.228Boxscore
@ Virginia Cavaliers17.816 
Florida State Seminoles83.234Boxscore
@ Duke Blue Devils16.821 
Louisville Cardinals22.821Boxscore
@ Cincinnati Bearcats77.229 
Navy Midshipmen50.524Boxscore
@ Rutgers Scarlet Knights49.523 
Utah Utes55.927Boxscore
@ Pittsburgh Panthers44.125 
South Florida Bulls79.728Boxscore
@ Connecticut Huskies20.317 
Indiana Hoosiers 5.013Boxscore
@ Wisconsin Badgers95.047 
Northwestern Wildcats33.722Boxscore
@ Iowa Hawkeyes66.329 
Purdue Boilermakers34.720Boxscore
@ Penn State Nittany Lions65.327 
Michigan Wolverines50.532Boxscore
@ Michigan State Spartans49.531 
Ohio State Buckeyes55.425Boxscore
@ Illinois Fighting Illini44.621 
Ball State Cardinals10.417Boxscore
@ Ohio Bobcats89.630 
Eastern Michigan Eagles10.916Boxscore
@ Central Michigan Chippewas89.133 
Buffalo Bulls18.817Boxscore
@ Temple Owls81.229 
Western Michigan Broncos30.729Boxscore
@ Northern Illinois Huskies69.336 
Miami (OH) RedHawks51.522Boxscore
@ Kent State Golden Flashes48.521 
Toledo Rockets73.332Boxscore
@ Bowling Green Falcons26.721 
Arizona State Sun Devils20.824Boxscore
@ Oregon Ducks79.236 
Colorado Buffaloes33.723Boxscore
@ Washington Huskies66.329 
Brigham Young Cougars50.526Boxscore
@ Oregon State Beavers49.525 
USC Trojans72.328Boxscore
@ California Golden Bears27.722 
Stanford Cardinal95.045Boxscore
@ Washington State Cougars 5.020 
Florida Gators44.624Boxscore
@ Auburn Tigers55.425 
South Carolina Gamecocks52.526Boxscore
@ Mississippi State Bulldogs47.524 
LSU Tigers90.130Boxscore
@ Tennessee Volunteers 9.916 
Georgia Bulldogs91.133Boxscore
@ Vanderbilt Commodores 8.916 
Alabama Crimson Tide94.139Boxscore
@ Mississippi Rebels 5.914 
New Mexico Lobos11.414Boxscore
@ Nevada Wolf Pack88.632 
Utah State Aggies37.625Boxscore
@ Fresno State Bulldogs62.431 
Idaho Vandals76.226Boxscore
@ New Mexico State Aggies23.818 
Hawaii Warriors85.137Boxscore
@ San Jose State Spartans14.922 
Iowa State Cyclones13.916Boxscore
@ Missouri Tigers86.129 
Baylor Bears42.633Boxscore
@ Texas A&M Aggies57.435 
Kansas State Wildcats52.529Boxscore
@ Texas Tech Red Raiders47.527 
Oklahoma State Cowboys78.736Boxscore
@ Texas Longhorns21.326 
Oklahoma Sooners95.043Boxscore
@ Kansas Jayhawks 5.015 
UAB Blazers17.824Boxscore
@ Tulsa Golden Hurricane82.238 
UCF Knights33.729Boxscore
@ Southern Methodist Mustangs66.334 
UTEP Miners35.623Boxscore
@ Tulane Green Wave64.430 
Rice Owls36.624Boxscore
@ Marshall Thundering Herd63.428 
East Carolina Pirates94.137Boxscore
@ Memphis Tigers 5.913 
UNLV Rebels18.816Boxscore
@ Wyoming Cowboys81.224 
San Diego State Aztecs60.426Boxscore
@ Air Force Falcons39.623 
Boise State Broncos95.046Boxscore
@ Colorado State Rams 5.015 
Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks35.624Boxscore
@ Troy Trojans64.429 
North Texas Mean Green47.525Boxscore
@ Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns52.526 
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers56.425Boxscore
@ Florida Atlantic Owls43.622 
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Ryan Fowler is the Content Manager for He can be reached at

Jake Westrich is the Digital Content Coordinator for He can be reached at

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