2011 NCAA Tournament Bracket Predictions From WhatIfSports.com image

2011 NCAA Tournament Bracket Predictions

Results of 2,001 NCAA tournament simulations

By Ryan Fowler - Whatifsports.com
March 14, 2011

The 2011 NCAA basketball tournament features an expanded field of 68 teams and still a cloud of controversy hovers above.

How would you like to be Virginia Tech head coach Seth Greenberg or Colorado's Tad Boyle? The Hokies' bubble burst for the third consecutive year, while many believe the Buffaloes deserved to, at the very least, play in Dayton's first round. Instead, the UAB Blazers, VCU Rams, USC Trojans, and Clemson Tigers will fight it out to join the field of 64 on Thursday and Friday.

The 60 teams already in the second round, including No. 1 seeds Ohio State, Kansas, Duke and Pittsburgh, pose some questionable seeding and compelling storylines as the tournaments plays out.

<a href="http://msn.foxsports.com/video?vid=fdab9267-5475-4db3-b877-5c369ace8263" target="_new" title="">WhatIfSports: NCAA Simulation</a>

Whatifsports.com is here to help you with every bracket pool that you signed up for this week. Our 2011 March Madness NCAA Bracket Preview is your #1 resource to gain the upper edge in your office or family bracket pool.

Using our highly sophisticated, college basketball simulation engine, we "played" the entire 2011 NCAA basketball tournament 2,001 times. Our simulation predictions are based on the statistical make-up of each team and are adjusted for roster trends including injuries, depth chart changes and each player's average minutes per game.

So, after 2,001 simulations of the 2011 NCAA basketball tournament the computers selected the Kansas Jayhawks (20.3 percent chance of winning championship) as the favorite to win the national championship. The computer simulations predict the Pittsburgh Panthers have the second best chance of winning the title at 9.3 percent.

The next most likely national champion are the Buckeyes of Ohio State. The No. 1 seeded Bucks possess the third highest chance (7.9 percent) of cutting down the nets. Louisville (6.8 percent) followed by Washington (6.7 percent) round out the computer's tournament favorites.

To the right you will find a handy Whatifsports.com NCAA Basketball Tournament Widget. You can add this feature to any social networking site including Facebook and Myspace. In a concise, sleek design, this widget allows you to share Whatifsports.com's predictions with all your friends.

Print Whatifsports.com's Predictions Bracket

Print a blank 2011 NCAA Tournament Bracket

Dayton's First Round Simulations

Some NCAA bracket pool rules may force you to predict Wednesday's and Thursday's first round games between Clemson vs. UAB and USC vs. VCU. Because our Bracket Preview is formatted to simulate a 64-team field, we simulated these first round games 2,001 times and advanced who our computer believed had the best chance of winning to the second round.

2011 NCAA Tournament First Round Simulation - Dayton, Ohio
MatchupWin%Avg Score
UAB Blazers39.162
Clemson Tigers60.965

Clemson advances to play West Virginia.

Note: UAB has a 33.5 percent chance to beat West Virginia.

2011 NCAA Tournament First Round Simulation - Dayton, Ohio
MatchupWin%Avg Score
VCU Rams66.970
USC Trojans33.165

VCU advances to play Georgetown.

Note: USC has a 14.7 percent chance to beat Georgetown.


Ryan Fowler is the Content Manager for Whatifsports.com. He can be reached at rfowler@whatifsports.com.

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