2011 NFL Week 16 Picks and Predictions from WhatIfSports.com From WhatIfSports.com image

2011 NFL Week 16 Picks and Predictions

NFL Week 16 box scores and stats included

By Joel Beall and Jake Westrich - WhatIfSports.com
UPDATE: December 22nd, 2011

Each Tuesday, WhatIfSports.com's NFL simulation engine will provide you with predictions, box scores and statistics for every NFL game that week. The NFL simulation engine generates detailed information including the home team's chances of winning (Home Win %), average score and comprehensive box score link. If you want to share your new found NFL knowledge with friends and family, make sure to check out our NFL Widgets on the WhatIf To Go page or click on the social networking share bar located at the top and bottom of the article.

The statistical inputs to the thousands of NFL games simulated are based on rigorous analysis of each team's roster, depth chart and statistically based player ranking. Roster modifications have been made for injuries and suspensions and those players are not part of their team's game simulation.

To account for injuries and roster moves announced late in the week, we will be re-simulating some games on Thursdays throughout the 2011 NFL season.

Check out our 2011 NFL Season-to-Date page to follow our accuracy week-to-week and find Locks and Upsets of the Week.

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Game of the Week: Giants at Jets

It may be the biggest metropolitan area in the country, but Gotham's bragging rights can be possessed by just one pigskin company. Add in playoff implications for both teams to fan the flames of the New York football rivalry and you have all the makings of an instant classic. The Battle of the Big Apple between the Giants and Jets serves as our WhatIfSports.com Game of the Week.

The Jets enter Saturday's contest with a slight edge over Cincinnati for the final AFC Wild Card spot, owning a tie breaker over the Bengals based on best win percentage in common games. Yet even with this advantage, the Jets will hardly walk into MetLife Stadium this weekend with their usual infamous swagger. After winning three straight contests, the Jets were manhandled by the Eagles in Week 15 to the tune of 45-19. With a matchup against the formidable Dolphins looming in the season finale, Gang Green has little room for error.

Not that there isn't hope for Rex Ryan's squad. Following a breakout performance in the 2009 playoffs, Shonn Greene was envisioned as the franchise's future backfield mate with fellow draftee Mark Sanchez. Alas, the following season delivered little fruition to this claim, as the Iowa product was so-so in split time with LaDainian Tomlinson. And through September of the current campaign, this trend seemed to continue, with Greene posting a pedestrian 134 yards in three games on the month.

Yet the onset of October delivered a more nimble and agile back, with Greene gaining 807 yards on 184 carries (4.39 yards per attempt) in that time span. This fulfillment has revitalized a stagnant Jets ground game, and helps alleviate the erratic tendencies of Sanchez and the passing attack.

The G-Men lay on the opposite end of the offensive spectrum. Injuries to Ahmad Bradshaw and inconsistent play from Brandon Jacobs have led to a dormant rushing assault, one that ranks last in the league with 86.1 yards per game. Luckily for the Giants, Eli Manning has taken the next step to becoming an elite quarterback. The "same echelon as Tom Brady" talk may have been a tad premature, and Manning is certainly still capable of an unreliable game or two (as illustrated by three interceptions in Week 15's loss to the Redskins), but the former first overall pick has submitted his finest season to date. In just 14 contests, Manning has a career-high in passing yards (4,362), owns a 91.7 QB rating (second only to his 93.1 mark in 2009), and has cut down his propensity of picks (15 interceptions on the season, down from 25 a year ago). He may never live up to his big brother's accomplishments, but Giants fans have to feel assured with Manning under center.

So who wins this clash of NYC football titans? According to the award-winning WhatIfSports.com simulation engine, the Jets come out on top 60.1 percent of the time by an average margin of 24-20. For the rest of this week's scores, check below:

Please note: The Browns/Ravens, Bears/Packers, Rams/Steelers and Jaguars/Titans games were resimulated on 12/22 to account for injuries and roster updates.

NFL Week 16
MatchupWin%Avg Score
Cleveland Browns18.813Boxscore
@ Baltimore Ravens81.225Simulate Game
Chicago Bears21.516Boxscore
@ Green Bay Packers78.526Simulate Game
St. Louis Rams24.714Boxscore
@ Pittsburgh Steelers75.324Simulate Game
Miami Dolphins28.019Boxscore
@ New England Patriots72.027Simulate Game
Tampa Bay Buccaneers34.224Boxscore
@ Carolina Panthers65.828Simulate Game
New York Giants39.920Boxscore
@ New York Jets60.124Simulate Game
Jacksonville Jaguars41.418Boxscore
@ Tennessee Titans58.621Simulate Game
Philadelphia Eagles43.221Boxscore
@ Dallas Cowboys56.822Simulate Game
Atlanta Falcons44.725Boxscore
@ New Orleans Saints55.327Simulate Game
Arizona Cardinals46.919Boxscore
@ Cincinnati Bengals53.120Simulate Game
San Diego Chargers47.124Boxscore
@ Detroit Lions52.925Simulate Game
Minnesota Vikings48.620Boxscore
@ Washington Redskins51.421Simulate Game
Oakland Raiders50.821Boxscore
@ Kansas City Chiefs49.220Simulate Game
Denver Broncos55.620Boxscore
@ Buffalo Bills44.418Simulate Game
San Francisco 49ers77.021Boxscore
@ Seattle Seahawks23.012Simulate Game
Houston Texans78.226Boxscore
@ Indianapolis Colts21.816Simulate Game

Joel Beall is the Assistant Content Manager for WhatIfSports.com. He can be reached at jbeall@whatifsports.com.

Jake Westrich is the Digital Content Coordinator for WhatIfSports.com. He can be reached at jwestrich@whatifsports.com.

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