College Football Week 15 Picks and Predictions From WhatIfSports.com image

College Football Week 15 Picks and Predictions

Army vs. Navy prediction

By Ryan Fowler and Jake Westrich - WhatIfSports.com
December 3, 2012

Each Monday, WhatIfSports.com's NCAA college football simulation engine will provide you with game predictions for every D-1 FBS game that upcoming week. The college football simulation engine generates detailed information for each game including each team's chances of winning (Win%) and the average points scored for both teams. Make sure to share the college football information you gained here with your friends by either checking out our NCAA football widgets on the WhatIf To Go page or clicking on the social networking share bar at the top and bottom of this article.

Check out our 2012 College Football Season-to-Date page to follow our accuracy and for Upsets of the Week.

The statistical inputs to the thousands of college football simulations are based on rigorous analysis of each team's roster, depth charts and statistically based player rankings. Roster modifications are made in cases of injury or suspension and those players are removed from their team's game simulation for that week.

Game of the Week: Army vs. Navy

Since 1997, Army's football program has only enjoyed one winning season, in 2010, when the Cadets finished 7-6. They've only won twice in 2012, over Boston College and Air Force, but a win against Navy this Saturday would add a piece of hardware to the mantle as the Commander-in-Chief's trophy is on the line.

Army will also look to beat the Midshipmen (7-4) for the first time in 11 tries. Good news for the Cadets is that they are 3-2 in games where the trophy has been on the line.

Nothing has changed for the two offenses as both Army and Navy continue to run the rock all four quarters. The Cadets finished the regular season first the country in rushing at 369 yards per game (67 att./game) with 31 touchdowns. The Midshipmen finished sixth in the country at over 286 yards per game with 25 touchdowns.

In an ironic twist, Army's bread and butter on offense is its Achilles' heel on defense as they allow 238 rush yards per game 122nd out of 124 in the country and have allowed 33 ground scores this season. Navy is 61st against the rush and has allowed 17 touchdowns this season.

We simulated the Cadets and Midshipmen 101 times and it's Navy winning 68.3 percent of the time by an average score of 26-20.

Coming next week: our 2012 College Football Bowl Game simulations for all 35 games. Later this month: December Madness 2012 our 16-team college football tournament where Ohio State earns a bid as they try to knock off top-seeded Notre Dame.

College Football Week 15
MatchupWin%Avg Score 
Navy Midshipmen68.326Boxscore
vs. Army Black Knights31.720 
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Ryan Fowler is the Content Manager for WhatIfSports.com. He can be reached at rfowler@whatifsports.com.

Jake Westrich is the Digital Content Coordinator for WhatIfSports.com. He can be reached at jwestrich@whatifsports.com.

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