College Football Week 6 Picks and Predictions From WhatIfSports.com image

College Football Week 6 Picks and Predictions

Week 6 predictions for every D-I/FBS college football game

By Ryan Fowler and Jake Westrich - WhatIfSports.com
UPDATE: October 4, 2012

Each Monday, WhatIfSports.com's NCAA college football simulation engine will provide you with game predictions for every D-1 FBS game that upcoming week. The college football simulation engine generates detailed information for each game including each team's chances of winning (Win%) and the average points scored for both teams. Make sure to share the college football information you gained here with your friends by either checking out our NCAA football widgets on the WhatIf To Go page or clicking on the social networking share bar at the top and bottom of this article.

Check out our 2012 College Football Season-to-Date page to follow our accuracy and for Upsets of the Week available on Wednesdays.

The statistical inputs to the thousands of college football simulations are based on rigorous analysis of each team's roster, depth charts and statistically based player rankings. Roster modifications are made in cases of injury or suspension and those players are removed from their team's game simulation for that week.

Game of the Week: Georgia at South Carolina

Alabama and LSU hog the SEC headlines, but Georgia and South Carolina deserve your full attention this week.

Mark Richt's Bulldogs improved to 5-0 on the season after outlasting Tennessee in a 51-44 track meet last Saturday. Quarterback Aaron Murray leads a balanced attack that is ranked inside the Top 12 in total offense. The passing game is 29th at over 285 yards per game with Murray throwing 12 touchdowns and only three interceptions. Michael Bennett is his favorite receiver, by far, as he's hauled in 24 passes for 345 yards and four scores. Todd Gurley and Keith Marshall are a two-headed beast in the backfield and the rush attack ranks eighth in the nation at better than 250 yards on the ground per game. Gurley averages 7.9 yards per carry, with Marshall picking up 8.2 per rush. The duo has combined for 14 touchdowns in five games.

UGA's offense will be put to the test as the Gamecocks' are 13th in the nation in total defense and sixth in points allowed per game. Steve Spurrier's crew, also 5-0, has only allowed 11.2 points per game through the first five.

It's been about a year since running back Marcus Lattimore blew out his knee and was forced to miss most of the 2011 season. The workhorse has carried the ball 92 times for 440 yards (4.8 yards per carry) with five touchdowns this season. An early-season quarterback carousel spun in favor of Connor Shaw who has received the start the last two weeks over Dylan Thompson. Shaw completed 20 straight passes in the Gamecocks' win over Missouri to boost his completion percentage, which currently rests at 78.1.

We simulated the Dawgs and Gamecocks 101 times and its Georgia coming away with the SEC East win on the road 59.4 percent of the time by an average score of 24-20.

Please note: The Georgia-South Carolina and Iowa State-TCU games were resimulated on 10/4 to account for the injury to Georgia wide receiver Michael Bennett and the suspension of TCU quarterback Casey Paschall.

College Football Week 6
MatchupWin%Avg Score 
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets31.724Boxscore
@ Clemson Tigers68.330 
Virginia Tech Hokies46.523Boxscore
@ North Carolina Tar Heels53.524 
Virginia Cavaliers55.427Boxscore
@ Duke Blue Devils44.624 
Florida State Seminoles64.425Boxscore
@ North Carolina State Wolfpack35.619 
Wake Forest Demon Deacons65.325Boxscore
@ Maryland Terrapins34.720 
Connecticut Huskies31.216Boxscore
@ Rutgers Scarlet Knights68.822 
Miami (OH) RedHawks34.720Boxscore
@ Cincinnati Bearcats65.327 
Pittsburgh Panthers59.427Boxscore
@ Syracuse Orange40.624 
South Florida Bulls59.924Boxscore
@ Temple Owls40.120 
Illinois Fighting Illini30.218Boxscore
@ Wisconsin Badgers69.825 
Nebraska Cornhuskers40.124Boxscore
@ Ohio State Buckeyes59.927 
Northwestern Wildcats42.624Boxscore
@ Penn State Nittany Lions57.425 
Michigan Wolverines57.924Boxscore
@ Purdue Boilermakers42.120 
Michigan State Spartans77.229Boxscore
@ Indiana Hoosiers22.818 
Massachusetts Minutemen13.918Boxscore
@ Western Michigan Broncos86.134 
Buffalo Bulls24.318Boxscore
@ Ohio Bobcats75.726 
Central Michigan Chippewas28.723Boxscore
@ Toledo Rockets71.329 
Northern Illinois Huskies56.427Boxscore
@ Ball State Cardinals43.624 
Kent State Golden Flashes61.920Boxscore
@ Eastern Michigan Eagles38.116 
Bowling Green Falcons73.328Boxscore
@ Akron Zips26.719 
Washington Huskies30.725Boxscore
@ Oregon Ducks69.330 
Washington State Cougars39.627Boxscore
@ Oregon State Beavers60.430 
Arizona Wildcats46.525Boxscore
@ Stanford Cardinal53.526 
UCLA Bruins57.424Boxscore
@ California Golden Bears42.620 
USC Trojans81.231Boxscore
@ Utah Utes18.820 
Vanderbilt Commodores46.520Boxscore
@ Missouri Tigers53.521 
Arkansas Razorbacks48.523Boxscore
@ Auburn Tigers51.524 
Georgia Bulldogs54.521Boxscore
@ South Carolina Gamecocks45.520 
LSU Tigers64.422Boxscore
@ Florida Gators35.618 
Mississippi State Bulldogs71.824Boxscore
@ Kentucky Wildcats28.215 
Texas A&M Aggies79.226Boxscore
@ Mississippi Rebels20.817 
UNLV Rebels28.723Boxscore
@ Louisiana Tech Bulldogs71.332 
New Mexico State Aggies47.524Boxscore
@ Idaho Vandals52.525 
Utah State Aggies33.222Boxscore
@ Brigham Young Cougars66.827 
Miami (FL) Hurricanes39.624Boxscore
@ Notre Dame Fighting Irish60.428 
Boston College Eagles72.325Boxscore
@ Army Black Knights27.718 
Kansas Jayhawks27.720Boxscore
@ Kansas State Wildcats72.328 
Iowa State Cyclones43.624Boxscore
@ TCU Horned Frogs56.426 
Oklahoma Sooners65.331Boxscore
@ Texas Tech Red Raiders34.727 
West Virginia Mountaineers66.326Boxscore
@ Texas Longhorns33.722 
Southeastern Louisiana Lions 5.09Boxscore
@ UAB Blazers95.037 
North Texas Mean Green25.723Boxscore
@ Houston Cougars74.331 
East Carolina Pirates43.624Boxscore
@ UCF Knights56.426 
Tulsa Golden Hurricane54.028Boxscore
@ Marshall Thundering Herd46.027 
Southern Methodist Mustangs67.328Boxscore
@ UTEP Miners32.721 
Rice Owls75.229Boxscore
@ Memphis Tigers24.821 
Boise State Broncos86.132Boxscore
@ Southern Miss Golden Eagles13.917 
Wyoming Cowboys28.720Boxscore
@ Nevada Wolf Pack71.328 
Navy Midshipmen36.623Boxscore
@ Air Force Falcons63.426 
Hawaii Warriors36.621Boxscore
@ San Diego State Aztecs63.424 
Texas State Bobcats40.122Boxscore
@ New Mexico Lobos59.925 
Fresno State Bulldogs75.228Boxscore
@ Colorado State Rams24.820 
Tulane Green Wave24.321Boxscore
@ Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns75.728 
Arkansas State Red Wolves54.527Boxscore
@ FIU Golden Panthers45.526 
Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks64.431Boxscore
@ Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders35.625 
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Ryan Fowler is the Content Manager for WhatIfSports.com. He can be reached at rfowler@whatifsports.com.

Jake Westrich is the Digital Content Coordinator for WhatIfSports.com. He can be reached at jwestrich@whatifsports.com.

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