College Football Week 14 Picks and Predictions From WhatIfSports.com image

College Football Week 14 Picks and Predictions

Week 14 predictions for every D-I/FBS college football game

WhatIfSports.com
November 25, 2013

Each Monday, WhatIfSports.com's NCAA college football simulation engine will provide you with game predictions for every D-1 FBS game that upcoming week. The college football simulation engine generates detailed information for each game including each team's chances of winning (Win%) and the average points scored for both teams. Make sure to share the college football information you gained here with your friends by either checking out our NCAA football widgets on the WhatIf To Go page or clicking on the social networking share bar at the top and bottom of this article.

Check out our 2013 College Football Season-to-Date page to follow our accuracy and for Upsets of the Week.

The statistical inputs to the thousands of college football simulations are based on rigorous analysis of each team's roster, depth charts and statistically based player rankings. Roster modifications are made in cases of injury or suspension and those players are removed from their team's game simulation for that week.

Game of the Week: Alabama at Auburn

With one finger raised and aimed directly at Columbus, Bo Schembechler must be spinning in his grave. At least for this season, Michigan is a shell of its former self. Al Borges' offense is 62nd in passing, 100th in rushing and ranked 96th overall in the country. Greg Mattison's once-heralded defense is hovering around 50th in the country. The Wolverines have lost four out of their last six games.

Ohio State heads to Ann Arbor as a 12 1/2-point favorite. The 12 1/2-point spread is the largest in this series since 2010, when the Buckeyes were a 16 1/2-point point road underdog. Ohio State won the game, 37-7 (Source: MLive.com).

Roughly 700 miles south, No. 1 Alabama will square off against No. 4 Auburn in the annual Iron Bowl. Once again, the road team is heavily favored as Vegas is handing the Tigers 10 points up front. The Tide's average margin of victory is more than 33 points over its last nine games.

The Tigers' rushing attack (320 YPG) led by Tre Mason must thrive on Saturday against Alabama's fourth-ranked rush defense (91.2 YAPG). It's the ol' unstoppable force hitting an immovable object adage.

Mason has rushed for 115-or-more yards in three straight games and 100-or-more yards in six games this season. He's scored at least one touchdown in all but one game (Mississippi State) this season.

Quarterback Nick Marshall compliments Mason out of the backfield with 823 yards on 123 carries and nine touchdowns.

The Tigers' defense mimics "bend, but don't break" units. They allow 153 rushing and 253 passing yards per game 53rd and 100th in the country respectively but boast a 30th-ranked scoring defense at only 22 points allowed per game.

What is there to say about Alabama that hasn't been gnawed on like Nick Saban's pregame oatmeal cream pie? The Tide's passing, rush and scoring defense all rank inside the country's top seven.

A.J. McCarron has taken care of the ball all season with only five interceptions. The quarterback only has 13 interceptions in three full seasons at Alabama. What a lovely lookin' statistic.

We simulated the Tide and Tigers 101 times and it's Alabama winning 72.8 percent of the time by an average score of 25-17.

College Football Week 14
MatchupWin%Avg Score 
Georgia Bulldogs55.923Boxscore
@ Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets44.121 
Duke Blue Devils61.427Boxscore
@ North Carolina Tar Heels38.622 
Boston College Eagles63.425Boxscore
@ Syracuse Orange36.620 
Virginia Tech Hokies65.323Boxscore
@ Virginia Cavaliers34.716 
Maryland Terrapins66.824Boxscore
@ North Carolina State Wolfpack33.219 
Miami (FL) Hurricanes66.825Boxscore
@ Pittsburgh Panthers33.221 
Purdue Boilermakers17.820Boxscore
@ Indiana Hoosiers82.230 
Penn State Nittany Lions34.721Boxscore
@ Wisconsin Badgers65.325 
Minnesota Golden Gophers35.617Boxscore
@ Michigan State Spartans64.422 
Iowa Hawkeyes40.119Boxscore
@ Nebraska Cornhuskers59.923 
Northwestern Wildcats51.523Boxscore
@ Illinois Fighting Illini48.521 
Ohio State Buckeyes69.325Boxscore
@ Michigan Wolverines30.718 
Miami (OH) RedHawks 9.417Boxscore
@ Ball State Cardinals90.634 
Western Michigan Broncos12.917Boxscore
@ Northern Illinois Huskies87.133 
Massachusetts Minutemen16.815Boxscore
@ Ohio Bobcats83.227 
Eastern Michigan Eagles37.122Boxscore
@ Central Michigan Chippewas62.927 
Bowling Green Falcons59.423Boxscore
@ Buffalo Bulls40.619 
Toledo Rockets73.831Boxscore
@ Akron Zips26.223 
Oregon State Beavers31.723Boxscore
@ Oregon Ducks68.330 
Colorado Buffaloes32.220Boxscore
@ Utah Utes67.826 
Washington State Cougars38.626Boxscore
@ Washington Huskies61.431 
Notre Dame Fighting Irish45.518Boxscore
@ Stanford Cardinal54.520 
Arizona Wildcats48.024Boxscore
@ Arizona State Sun Devils52.025 
UCLA Bruins49.524Boxscore
@ USC Trojans50.525 
Arkansas Razorbacks23.318Boxscore
@ LSU Tigers76.727 
Wake Forest Demon Deacons28.716Boxscore
@ Vanderbilt Commodores71.322 
Texas A&M Aggies46.525Boxscore
@ Missouri Tigers53.526 
Clemson Tigers55.423Boxscore
@ South Carolina Gamecocks44.621 
Ole Miss Rebels62.426Boxscore
@ Mississippi State Bulldogs37.620 
Tennessee Volunteers69.325Boxscore
@ Kentucky Wildcats30.719 
Alabama Crimson Tide72.825Boxscore
@ Auburn Tigers27.217 
Florida State Seminoles86.128Boxscore
@ Florida Gators13.914 
Idaho Vandals42.625Boxscore
@ New Mexico State Aggies57.427 
Texas Tech Red Raiders48.026Boxscore
@ Texas Longhorns52.028 
Iowa State Cyclones48.525Boxscore
@ West Virginia Mountaineers51.526 
Baylor Bears70.327Boxscore
@ TCU Horned Frogs29.718 
Kansas State Wildcats73.325Boxscore
@ Kansas Jayhawks26.717 
Southern Miss Golden Eagles29.721Boxscore
@ UAB Blazers70.327 
UTEP Miners42.624Boxscore
@ Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders57.427 
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs43.626Boxscore
@ Texas-San Antonio Roadrunners56.427 
FIU Golden Panthers43.121Boxscore
@ Florida Atlantic Owls56.923 
Tulane Green Wave46.523Boxscore
@ Rice Owls53.525 
East Carolina Pirates56.928Boxscore
@ Marshall Thundering Herd43.125 
North Texas Mean Green59.423Boxscore
@ Tulsa Golden Hurricane40.620 
New Mexico Lobos18.821Boxscore
@ Boise State Broncos81.233 
Air Force Falcons39.121Boxscore
@ Colorado State Rams60.925 
Wyoming Cowboys41.624Boxscore
@ Utah State Aggies58.427 
San Diego State Aztecs59.426Boxscore
@ UNLV Rebels40.624 
Army Black Knights59.424Boxscore
@ Hawaii Rainbow Warriors40.620 
Fresno State Bulldogs67.332Boxscore
@ San Jose State Spartans32.722 
BYU Cougars81.229Boxscore
@ Nevada Wolf Pack18.818 
Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks44.624Boxscore
@ Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns55.425 
Texas State Bobcats45.525Boxscore
@ Troy Trojans54.526 
Arkansas State Red Wolves45.523Boxscore
@ Western Kentucky Hilltoppers54.525 
South Alabama Jaguars87.131Boxscore
@ Georgia State Panthers12.918 
South Florida Bulls11.914Boxscore
@ UCF Knights88.126 
Temple Owls38.620Boxscore
@ Memphis Tigers61.422 
SMU Mustangs40.626Boxscore
@ Houston Cougars59.430 
Rutgers Scarlet Knights62.425Boxscore
@ Connecticut Huskies37.619 
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Ryan Fowler is the Content Manager for WhatIfSports.com. He can be reached at rfowler@whatifsports.com.

Jake Westrich is the Digital Content Coordinator for WhatIfSports.com. He can be reached at jwestrich@whatifsports.com.

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