Posted by MikeT23 on 2/7/2014 3:16:00 PM (view original):
Posted by zbrent716 on 2/7/2014 3:10:00 PM (view original):
Posted by MikeT23 on 2/7/2014 3:08:00 PM (view original):
Again, that's the game played on a stat sheet.
Back to the original example.
1st/3rd, 2 out. Martinez walks, Davis comes to the plate.
1st/3rd, 2 out. Martinez cannot walk and is swinging.
Which is more likely to produce a run?
Can we agree that scenario 2 is more likely to produce multiple runs?
If so, I'd be willing to look at numbers to answer the actual question you asked.
I think scenario 1 is more likely to produce multiple runs. You have 2 runners in scoring position. But, if you believe Martinez is a better hitter than Davis, it's also more likely to produce 0 runs.
Sorry, yes, I mis-typed. Walking is more likely to lead to multiple runs.
OK, I'll look at your question, but can you tell me what season(s) you were using? I just checked a half-dozen boxes and the people batting behind Edgar were Tino Martinez, John Olerud, and Jay Buhner. So what season(s) should I be looking at?