2015 baseball HOF ballot. Topic

Posted by burnsy483 on 2/10/2014 2:52:00 PM (view original):
Quick example:

See the 1st inning.  Guy on 2nd, 2 outs, Edgar walks.  The expected winning percentage goes up.  Should he have swung and see if he would get a hit?

http://www.baseball-reference.com/boxes/SEA/SEA199604210.shtml

Would you prefer Russ Davis to be swinging?
2/10/2014 3:01 PM
Posted by MikeT23 on 2/10/2014 2:59:00 PM (view original):
Posted by burnsy483 on 2/10/2014 2:49:00 PM (view original):
Yes, you're talking about rare situations where you don't know the mindset of the player, but pretending you do, and using it as a reason on why he shouldn't be a HOFer.

Yes, we can move on.
Again, no one has said EM shouldn't be in the HOF solely because he walked a lot.   Please quote that post if it exists.
I didn't say it was the sole reason, either.  Just that you're using it as a reason.  
2/10/2014 3:04 PM
Posted by MikeT23 on 2/10/2014 3:01:00 PM (view original):
Posted by burnsy483 on 2/10/2014 2:52:00 PM (view original):
Quick example:

See the 1st inning.  Guy on 2nd, 2 outs, Edgar walks.  The expected winning percentage goes up.  Should he have swung and see if he would get a hit?

http://www.baseball-reference.com/boxes/SEA/SEA199604210.shtml

Would you prefer Russ Davis to be swinging?
I'd prefer a 25% chance of getting a hit with 2 guys on than a 30% chance of a hit with 1 guy on.  The 1st option generates more runs than the 2nd option.
2/10/2014 3:05 PM
Posted by burnsy483 on 2/10/2014 3:05:00 PM (view original):
Posted by MikeT23 on 2/10/2014 3:01:00 PM (view original):
Posted by burnsy483 on 2/10/2014 2:52:00 PM (view original):
Quick example:

See the 1st inning.  Guy on 2nd, 2 outs, Edgar walks.  The expected winning percentage goes up.  Should he have swung and see if he would get a hit?

http://www.baseball-reference.com/boxes/SEA/SEA199604210.shtml

Would you prefer Russ Davis to be swinging?
I'd prefer a 25% chance of getting a hit with 2 guys on than a 30% chance of a hit with 1 guy on.  The 1st option generates more runs than the 2nd option.
So that's a "yes"?

You prefer Russ Davis being responsible for driving in run over Edgar Martinez.    Got it. 
2/10/2014 3:09 PM
Posted by tecwrg on 2/10/2014 2:56:00 PM (view original):
Posted by burnsy483 on 2/10/2014 2:49:00 PM (view original):
Yes, you're talking about rare situations where you don't know the mindset of the player, but pretending you do, and using it as a reason on why he shouldn't be a HOFer.

Yes, we can move on.
Walks are not my argument against EM's HOF credentials.
So you're just arguing for the sake of arguing.  Right?
2/10/2014 3:10 PM
Posted by MikeT23 on 2/10/2014 3:09:00 PM (view original):
Posted by burnsy483 on 2/10/2014 3:05:00 PM (view original):
Posted by MikeT23 on 2/10/2014 3:01:00 PM (view original):
Posted by burnsy483 on 2/10/2014 2:52:00 PM (view original):
Quick example:

See the 1st inning.  Guy on 2nd, 2 outs, Edgar walks.  The expected winning percentage goes up.  Should he have swung and see if he would get a hit?

http://www.baseball-reference.com/boxes/SEA/SEA199604210.shtml

Would you prefer Russ Davis to be swinging?
I'd prefer a 25% chance of getting a hit with 2 guys on than a 30% chance of a hit with 1 guy on.  The 1st option generates more runs than the 2nd option.
So that's a "yes"?

You prefer Russ Davis being responsible for driving in run over Edgar Martinez.    Got it. 
Well, Davis would have 2 guys on base to drive in over 1.  2>1.  Maths is hard.
2/10/2014 3:10 PM
Posted by burnsy483 on 2/10/2014 3:05:00 PM (view original):
Posted by MikeT23 on 2/10/2014 3:01:00 PM (view original):
Posted by burnsy483 on 2/10/2014 2:52:00 PM (view original):
Quick example:

See the 1st inning.  Guy on 2nd, 2 outs, Edgar walks.  The expected winning percentage goes up.  Should he have swung and see if he would get a hit?

http://www.baseball-reference.com/boxes/SEA/SEA199604210.shtml

Would you prefer Russ Davis to be swinging?
I'd prefer a 25% chance of getting a hit with 2 guys on than a 30% chance of a hit with 1 guy on.  The 1st option generates more runs than the 2nd option.
What if you only need one run?  Is 25% still better that 30%?
2/10/2014 3:10 PM
Posted by tecwrg on 2/10/2014 3:11:00 PM (view original):
Posted by burnsy483 on 2/10/2014 3:05:00 PM (view original):
Posted by MikeT23 on 2/10/2014 3:01:00 PM (view original):
Posted by burnsy483 on 2/10/2014 2:52:00 PM (view original):
Quick example:

See the 1st inning.  Guy on 2nd, 2 outs, Edgar walks.  The expected winning percentage goes up.  Should he have swung and see if he would get a hit?

http://www.baseball-reference.com/boxes/SEA/SEA199604210.shtml

Would you prefer Russ Davis to be swinging?
I'd prefer a 25% chance of getting a hit with 2 guys on than a 30% chance of a hit with 1 guy on.  The 1st option generates more runs than the 2nd option.
What if you only need one run?  Is 25% still better that 30%?
So those rare situations again.  Yes, I'd rather Edgar Martinez be looking to drive in the runner from 2nd than Russ Davis.  Teams would probably be walking Edgar Martinez in that situation, because they agree.
2/10/2014 3:12 PM
Posted by tecwrg on 2/10/2014 2:46:00 PM (view original):
Posted by bad_luck on 2/10/2014 2:38:00 PM (view original):
Posted by tecwrg on 2/10/2014 2:32:00 PM (view original):
Posted by bad_luck on 2/10/2014 2:27:00 PM (view original):
Posted by MikeT23 on 2/10/2014 2:23:00 PM (view original):
Posted by bad_luck on 2/10/2014 2:22:00 PM (view original):
Posted by MikeT23 on 2/10/2014 2:19:00 PM (view original):
Posted by bad_luck on 2/10/2014 1:54:00 PM (view original):
Posted by MikeT23 on 2/10/2014 1:49:00 PM (view original):
The guys behind EM weren't very adept at scoring him.   27.5% of the time.    Didn't find anyone else less than 30.
So what? Martinez isn't clairvoyant. He doesn't know ahead of time if this will be one if the 27% or one of the 73%. Short of a home run, all he can do is get on base and hope for the best. Getting on base, with a hit or a walk, helps the team.
Are you saying he's so dumb that he didn't realize he was ending a lot of innings standing on a bag?
As opposed to ending them walking back to the dugout after making an out?

You. Are. Retarded.
Why does he have to walk or make an out?   Can't he hit at all?

Dumb. *******.  ***.
Sure. Roughly 30% of the time it will be a hit. Want to guess where he will be standing after most of those hits? First base, the exact same place he winds up after a walk.

What the next hitter does or doesn't do is irrelevant when evaluating Martinez's performance.
Do runners score from second or third (assuming no force) on a walk?  Do they go from first to third on a walk?

With runners on base, is "a walk's as good as a hit" always true?
Jesus Christ.

In almost all situations, adding base runners is a good thing, even if you aren't scoring immediately.

Martinez had roughly 1200 non intentional walks in his career. If he went to the plate trying to avoid a walk he's trading 1200 walks for about 300 hits. That's a terrible deal.

Talking to you is like talking to a wall.  Except that the wall is smarter than you since it doesn't respond.

"In almost all situations, adding base runners is a good thing, even if you aren't scoring immediately."

So there are some situations when "adding base runners" is NOT necessarily a good thing?  That's kind of sounds like the point I've been making.  EM passively accepting a walk so that the lesser guy behind him can make the third (and game-ending) out doesn't sound like good baseball.

Thanks for finally validating that.  Are we done now?

You see the rhetorical jump you just made there?

There are rare situations where you might want a hitter to avoid a walk and just put the ball in play. No one is arguing this.

Then the jump to Martinez and the idea that unlike every other great hitter, his high OBP is somehow a bad thing. This is idea is dumb. Very, very dumb. Even for you.
2/10/2014 3:12 PM
Posted by burnsy483 on 2/10/2014 3:11:00 PM (view original):
Posted by tecwrg on 2/10/2014 2:56:00 PM (view original):
Posted by burnsy483 on 2/10/2014 2:49:00 PM (view original):
Yes, you're talking about rare situations where you don't know the mindset of the player, but pretending you do, and using it as a reason on why he shouldn't be a HOFer.

Yes, we can move on.
Walks are not my argument against EM's HOF credentials.
So you're just arguing for the sake of arguing.  Right?

No, I'm arguing in an apparently futile attempt to combat stupidity.

2/10/2014 3:12 PM
Posted by tecwrg on 2/10/2014 3:12:00 PM (view original):
Posted by burnsy483 on 2/10/2014 3:11:00 PM (view original):
Posted by tecwrg on 2/10/2014 2:56:00 PM (view original):
Posted by burnsy483 on 2/10/2014 2:49:00 PM (view original):
Yes, you're talking about rare situations where you don't know the mindset of the player, but pretending you do, and using it as a reason on why he shouldn't be a HOFer.

Yes, we can move on.
Walks are not my argument against EM's HOF credentials.
So you're just arguing for the sake of arguing.  Right?

No, I'm arguing in an apparently futile attempt to combat stupidity.

Then you should be making a different argument.
2/10/2014 3:13 PM
Posted by burnsy483 on 2/10/2014 3:10:00 PM (view original):
Posted by MikeT23 on 2/10/2014 3:09:00 PM (view original):
Posted by burnsy483 on 2/10/2014 3:05:00 PM (view original):
Posted by MikeT23 on 2/10/2014 3:01:00 PM (view original):
Posted by burnsy483 on 2/10/2014 2:52:00 PM (view original):
Quick example:

See the 1st inning.  Guy on 2nd, 2 outs, Edgar walks.  The expected winning percentage goes up.  Should he have swung and see if he would get a hit?

http://www.baseball-reference.com/boxes/SEA/SEA199604210.shtml

Would you prefer Russ Davis to be swinging?
I'd prefer a 25% chance of getting a hit with 2 guys on than a 30% chance of a hit with 1 guy on.  The 1st option generates more runs than the 2nd option.
So that's a "yes"?

You prefer Russ Davis being responsible for driving in run over Edgar Martinez.    Got it. 
Well, Davis would have 2 guys on base to drive in over 1.  2>1.  Maths is hard.

Common sense obviously doesn't exist. 

Would you say that EM is a better HITTER than RD?

2/10/2014 3:17 PM
Posted by bad_luck on 2/10/2014 3:12:00 PM (view original):
Posted by tecwrg on 2/10/2014 2:46:00 PM (view original):
Posted by bad_luck on 2/10/2014 2:38:00 PM (view original):
Posted by tecwrg on 2/10/2014 2:32:00 PM (view original):
Posted by bad_luck on 2/10/2014 2:27:00 PM (view original):
Posted by MikeT23 on 2/10/2014 2:23:00 PM (view original):
Posted by bad_luck on 2/10/2014 2:22:00 PM (view original):
Posted by MikeT23 on 2/10/2014 2:19:00 PM (view original):
Posted by bad_luck on 2/10/2014 1:54:00 PM (view original):
Posted by MikeT23 on 2/10/2014 1:49:00 PM (view original):
The guys behind EM weren't very adept at scoring him.   27.5% of the time.    Didn't find anyone else less than 30.
So what? Martinez isn't clairvoyant. He doesn't know ahead of time if this will be one if the 27% or one of the 73%. Short of a home run, all he can do is get on base and hope for the best. Getting on base, with a hit or a walk, helps the team.
Are you saying he's so dumb that he didn't realize he was ending a lot of innings standing on a bag?
As opposed to ending them walking back to the dugout after making an out?

You. Are. Retarded.
Why does he have to walk or make an out?   Can't he hit at all?

Dumb. *******.  ***.
Sure. Roughly 30% of the time it will be a hit. Want to guess where he will be standing after most of those hits? First base, the exact same place he winds up after a walk.

What the next hitter does or doesn't do is irrelevant when evaluating Martinez's performance.
Do runners score from second or third (assuming no force) on a walk?  Do they go from first to third on a walk?

With runners on base, is "a walk's as good as a hit" always true?
Jesus Christ.

In almost all situations, adding base runners is a good thing, even if you aren't scoring immediately.

Martinez had roughly 1200 non intentional walks in his career. If he went to the plate trying to avoid a walk he's trading 1200 walks for about 300 hits. That's a terrible deal.

Talking to you is like talking to a wall.  Except that the wall is smarter than you since it doesn't respond.

"In almost all situations, adding base runners is a good thing, even if you aren't scoring immediately."

So there are some situations when "adding base runners" is NOT necessarily a good thing?  That's kind of sounds like the point I've been making.  EM passively accepting a walk so that the lesser guy behind him can make the third (and game-ending) out doesn't sound like good baseball.

Thanks for finally validating that.  Are we done now?

You see the rhetorical jump you just made there?

There are rare situations where you might want a hitter to avoid a walk and just put the ball in play. No one is arguing this.

Then the jump to Martinez and the idea that unlike every other great hitter, his high OBP is somehow a bad thing. This is idea is dumb. Very, very dumb. Even for you.
Where have I ever said that his high OBP was a bad thing?

You have no idea what we've been arguing, do you?
2/10/2014 3:19 PM
Mike - yes.

And?
2/10/2014 3:21 PM
If you have to ask, there's no point in me answering. 

As I said, common sense is not a commodity that you possess. 
2/10/2014 3:29 PM
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