Posted by burnsy483 on 3/3/2015 1:28:00 PM (view original):
Posted by MikeT23 on 3/3/2015 1:20:00 PM (view original):
Team construction matters. As I pointed out earlier, good teams that strike out a lot are using players who do something useful when they're not striking out(like an Adam Dunn who strikes out 28% of his plate appearances but does something positive in 36% of his PA). Bad teams use a Brett Wallace who whiffs 33% of the time while only doing something positive 31% of the time.
As far as whiffing, they're practically the same guy but Dunn is much more valuable.
This sounds like a reason to use BL's model. If you use tec's model it makes Adam Dunn look like Brett Wallace. No?
No, tec's model gives them equal weight.
A league average is a league average. There's no room for smarter GMs, better managers, pitching match-ups, etc, etc. It's just what happened in baseball.
No one is debating on whether Boston is better run than the Cubs. And that's what happens when you break it down to teams.
I'm pretty sure tec's entire point is "Scoring is down, strikeouts are up." Not in Boston or Anaheim but in baseball. He can correct me if I'm wrong.